Games › Procedural Generation › Procedural Generation + Heist
Should I ship a Heist Procedural Generation game?
Procedural Generation + Heist
Only 14 developers shipped a Heist Procedural Generation game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, The Precinct, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 34 more are announced, ×3.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $3.4k, ×5.4 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $270; 1 in 20 cleared $7.0M, ×11228 the market median. Revenue is up 720% on the market; 34 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $269 (exactly $269) |
|---|---|
| Median | $3.4k (exactly $3,418) |
| Top 25% | $268k (exactly $268,021) |
| Top 5% | $7.1M (exactly $7,050,949) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 14 |
| Released games | 27 |
| Announced | 34 |
| Effort | 6 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $6.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 720% on the market, supply 80% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 15%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Procedural Generation
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
- Heist
- effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
- Systems
- Procedural Generation; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, PvE, Co-op
- Price point
- $6.99 typical · top 25% priced $29.99 or above
- Art
- 5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Atmospheric, First-Person
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $29.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.
The top 10 games average 85% positive over 16,629 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $270. 8 in 10 of the 6 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 34 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.8 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Procedural Generation with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + SnowFair
- + Traditional RoguelikeFair
- + DetectiveFair
- + Word GameFair
- + TypingFair
- + IdlerFair
- + LogicFair
- + Walking SimulatorFair
- + Precision PlatformerFair
- + Hidden ObjectFair
- + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds
- + TrainsPoor odds
Comparable games
The Precinct 2025 · $7.1M 
112 Operator 2020 · $4.3M 
Burglin' Gnomes 2026 · $1.4M 
Dark Hours 2025 · $1.0M 
Jackal 2026 · $268k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | The Precinct | $29.99 | 7,837 87% | 235k | $7.1M (exactly $7,050,949) | Fallen Tree Games Ltd | |
| | 112 Operator | older | $24.99 | 5,688 88% | 171k | $4.3M (exactly $4,264,294) | Jutsu Games |
| | Burglin' Gnomes | $9.99 | 4,635 83% | 139k | $1.4M (exactly $1,389,110) | Fobri | |
| | Dark Hours | $9.99 | 3,481 81% | 104k | $1.0M (exactly $1,043,256) | Piece of Cake studios | |
| | Jackal | $14.99 | 596 88% | 18k | $268k (exactly $268,021) | Transhuman Design | |
 | The Swindle | older | $14.99 | 502 64% | 15k | $226k (exactly $225,749) | Size Five Games |
 | Panther VR | · EA older | $9.99 | 100 60% | 3.0k | $30k (exactly $29,970) | Wolfdog Interactive |
 | Unseen Diplomacy | older | $2.99 | 154 90% | 4.6k | $14k (exactly $13,814) | Triangular Pixels |
 | The Memory Thieves | · EA | $6.99 | 40 80% | 1.2k | $8.4k (exactly $8,388) | Otherside Studio |
 | Burgle Bros. | older | $3.99 | 55 83% | 1.7k | $6.6k (exactly $6,584) | Fowers Games |
 | Loot Gobblin' Together | $7.99 | 20 90% | 600 | $4.8k (exactly $4,794) | J6 Games | |
 | Unseen Diplomacy 2 | $18.99 | 6 83% | 180 | $3.4k (exactly $3,418) | Triangular Pixels | |
 | Cloak And Coin | · EA | $4.99 | 6 100% | 180 | $898 (exactly $898) | netDOT |
 | Security Control | · EA | $4.99 | 5 60% | 150 | $748 (exactly $748) | Greavette Games |
 | One Last Job | $2.99 | 3 100% | 90 | $269 (exactly $269) | Triple Eye Games |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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