Do I ship it?

Games › Turn-Based Tactics › Turn-Based Tactics + Hacking

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Hacking Turn-Based Tactics?

Turn-Based Tactics + Hacking

Only 13 developers shipped a Hacking Turn-Based Tactics in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, 868-BACK, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 21 more are announced, ×2.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $720, ×1.1 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $240; 1 in 20 cleared $73k, ×117 the market median. Revenue is up 200% on the market; 21 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.1 times the market baseline, revenue up 200% on the market, 21 announced, ×2.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Turn-Based Tactics + Hacking
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 13
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $179 → $7.5k (still earning) → $1.2k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Turn-Based Tactics + Hacking: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 13
Bottom 30% $240 (exactly $240)
Median $719 (exactly $719)
Top 25% $4.4k (exactly $4,404)
Top 5% $73k (exactly $73,163)
Developers, 2 yr 13
Released games 28
Announced 21
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 200% on the market, supply 125% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 14%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Turn-Based Tactics
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Hacking
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Turn-Based Tactics
Price point
$7.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 94% positive over 254 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $240, median $720, 1 in 4 over $4.4k, 1 in 20 over $73k.

3 in 10 developers made under $240. All of the 6 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 21 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.3 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Turn-Based Tactics with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + TanksFair24 devs · median $3.0k · 24 announced
  2. + AutomationFair28 devs · median $2.9k · 36 announced
  3. + ProgrammingFair14 devs · median $2.4k · 16 announced
  4. + DiceFair47 devs · median $1.6k · 53 announced
  5. + MiningFair10 devs · median $1.5k · 8 announced
  6. + Time ManagementFair65 devs · median $1.4k · 69 announced
  7. + IdlerFair47 devs · median $1.3k · 48 announced
  8. + Psychological HorrorFair55 devs · median $1.0k · 56 announced
  9. + Traditional RoguelikeFair78 devs · median $629 · 95 announced
  10. + PsychologicalFair34 devs · median $629 · 40 announced
  11. + PuzzleFair263 devs · median $598 · 308 announced
  12. + PlatformerLong shot15 devs · median $360 · 18 announced

All 189 pairs on the Turn-Based Tactics page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Screeps: World 2016 · $1.2M Jack Move 2022 · $488k Quantum Protocol 2020 · $244k Midnight Protocol 2021 · $107k 868-BACK 2026 · $73k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Screeps: World older $19.99 1,934 86% 58k $1.2M (exactly $1,159,820) Screeps, LLC
Jack Move older $19.99 813 80% 24k $488k (exactly $487,556) So Romantic
Quantum Protocol older $12.99 625 90% 19k $244k (exactly $243,562) Kaio Meris
Midnight Protocol older $14.99 237 87% 7.1k $107k (exactly $106,579) LuGus Studios
868-BACK $19.99 122 98% 3.7k $73k (exactly $73,163) Michael Brough
NET.CRAWL $9.99 46 95% 1.4k $14k (exactly $13,786) Everyone is Solid
Kinetype · EA $6.99 36 83% 1.1k $7.5k (exactly $7,549) Morlytic
Hacker Man older $19.99 8 12% 240 $4.8k (exactly $4,798) GamesBraz
Dataminers $6.99 21 95% 630 $4.4k (exactly $4,404) Electrocosmos
Electioneering · EA older $14.99 6 33% 180 $2.7k (exactly $2,698) Cosmo's Tuxedo
Null State $9.99 4 100% 120 $1.2k (exactly $1,199) Triple Eye Games
Meridian $9.99 4 100% 120 $1.2k (exactly $1,199) Turn Based Hedgehog
Disintegral $11.99 2 100% 60 $719 (exactly $719) Will Sykes Games
NETBREAK $6.99 3 66% 90 $629 (exactly $629) Splice
HEXADEL $0.99 15 86% 450 $446 (exactly $446) Planetary Gears
RxB - Cyber security management game $7.99 1 0% 30 $240 (exactly $240) Serious Games Interactive ApS

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.