Do I ship it?

Games › Procedural Generation › Procedural Generation + Gothic

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Gothic Procedural Generation game?

Procedural Generation + Gothic

Of 21 developers who shipped a Gothic Procedural Generation game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 57 more are announced, ×4.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.4k, ×3.0 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $600; 1 in 20 cleared $470k, ×997 the market median. Revenue is down 80% on the market; 57 games are announced against 12 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 3.0 times the market baseline, revenue down 80% on the market, 57 announced, ×4.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Procedural Generation + Gothic
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 21
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $7.2k → $25k → $1.4k → $5.0k (still earning) → $5.1k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Procedural Generation + Gothic: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 21
Bottom 30% $599 (exactly $599)
Median $1.4k (exactly $1,435)
Top 25% $14k (exactly $14,086)
Top 5% $474k (exactly $473,526)
Developers, 2 yr 21
Released games 39
Announced 57
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 80% on the market, supply 35% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 8%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Procedural Generation
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Gothic
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Procedural Generation; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Roguelite, Action, Action RPG
Price point
$6.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Pixel Graphics, 2D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.

The top 10 games average 91% positive over 5,686 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $600, median $1.4k, 1 in 4 over $14k, 1 in 20 over $470k.

3 in 10 developers made under $600. 8 in 10 of the 9 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 57 games are announced against 12 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.8 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Procedural Generation with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + SnowFair11 devs · median $3.0k · 16 announced
  2. + Traditional RoguelikeFair71 devs · median $2.0k · 93 announced
  3. + DetectiveFair29 devs · median $1.5k · 30 announced
  4. + Word GameFair22 devs · median $1.3k · 23 announced
  5. + TypingFair26 devs · median $1.1k · 11 announced
  6. + IdlerFair98 devs · median $807 · 107 announced
  7. + LogicFair137 devs · median $478 · 149 announced
  8. + Walking SimulatorFair57 devs · median $449 · 62 announced
  9. + Precision PlatformerFair49 devs · median $449 · 42 announced
  10. + Hidden ObjectFair58 devs · median $418 · 56 announced
  11. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds31 devs · median $77k · 95 announced
  12. + TrainsPoor odds22 devs · median $30k · 35 announced

All 222 pairs on the Procedural Generation page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Darkest Dungeon® II 2023 · $29M Void War 2025 · $2.2M Sin Spire 2026 · $474k Scarlet Tower 2024 · $384k Loot River 2022 · $266k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Darkest Dungeon® II older $39.99 24,249 74% 727k $29M (exactly $29,091,525) Red Hook Studios
Void War $19.99 3,653 94% 110k $2.2M (exactly $2,190,704) Tundra
Sin Spire $9.99 1,580 88% 47k $474k (exactly $473,526) Krasue Games
Scarlet Tower older $6.99 1,831 81% 55k $384k (exactly $383,961) Pyxeralia LLC
Loot River older $24.99 355 69% 11k $266k (exactly $266,144) straka.studio
Our Darker Purpose older $14.99 553 82% 17k $249k (exactly $248,684) Avidly Wild Games
Nosferatu: The Wrath of Malachi older $2.99 1,581 90% 47k $142k (exactly $141,816) Idol FX
The Banished Vault older $24.99 189 78% 5.7k $142k (exactly $141,693) Lunar Division
Golden Krone Hotel older $9.99 313 94% 9.4k $94k (exactly $93,806) Vulgat
Penny Blood: Hellbound $24.99 81 83% 2.4k $61k (exactly $60,726) NatsumeAtari, STUDIO WILDROSE
Black Dragon Mage · EA $5.99 140 70% 4.2k $25k (exactly $25,158) datablob
Demiurges $14.99 36 88% 1.1k $16k (exactly $16,189) Berih
Ascendant $9.99 47 70% 1.4k $14k (exactly $14,086) Imagisphere
When the Light Dies $4.99 80 71% 2.4k $12k (exactly $11,976) Electric Monkeys, Secret Level Studios
Last Bullet $6.99 28 100% 840 $5.9k (exactly $5,872) ToxicByteGames
Seven Blasphemies $9.99 17 100% 510 $5.1k (exactly $5,095) Crit42 Studio
Queen Slayer $6.99 24 54% 720 $5.0k (exactly $5,033) Mantaray161

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.