Do I ship it?

GamesPlatformerPlatformer + Gothic

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Gothic Platformer?

Platformer + Gothic

Of 42 developers who shipped a Gothic Platformer in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 90 more are announced, ×3.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.7k, ×3.6 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $240; 1 in 20 cleared $98k, ×207 the market median. Revenue is up 105% on the market; 90 games are announced against 28 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 3.6 times the market baseline, revenue up 105% on the market, 90 announced, ×3.2 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Platformer + Gothic
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 42
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $331k → $3.9k → $1.6k → $1.7k → $1.9k → $1.4k → $1.8k (still earning) → $959 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Platformer + Gothic: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 42
Bottom 30% $239 (exactly $239)
Median $1.7k (exactly $1,723)
Top 25% $6.4k (exactly $6,369)
Top 5% $98k (exactly $98,375)
Developers, 2 yr 42
Released games 127
Announced 90
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 105% on the market, supply 85% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 12%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Platformer
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Gothic
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Platformer; 7 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Adventure, Action-Adventure
Price point
$7.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Pixel Graphics, Side Scroller
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.

The top 10 games average 85% positive over 9,075 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $240, median $1.7k, 1 in 4 over $6.3k, 1 in 20 over $98k.

3 in 10 developers made under $240. All of the 15 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 90 games are announced against 28 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.2 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Platformer with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Dating SimStrong odds19 devs · median $3.0k · 15 announced
  2. + PinballStrong odds10 devs · median $2.5k · 6 announced
  3. + Combat RacingFair28 devs · median $899 · 38 announced
  4. + FMVFair9 devs · median $899 · 10 announced
  5. + SimulationFair281 devs · median $628 · 235 announced
  6. + Grid-Based MovementFair23 devs · median $539 · 18 announced
  7. + AutomationFair13 devs · median $449 · 16 announced
  8. + Turn-Based TacticsLong shot15 devs · median $360 · 18 announced
  9. + LGBTQ+Poor odds42 devs · median $7.2k · 90 announced
  10. + Co-op CampaignPoor odds32 devs · median $6.5k · 90 announced
  11. + JRPGPoor odds14 devs · median $5.8k · 38 announced
  12. + SkateboardingPoor odds14 devs · median $4.8k · 23 announced

All 206 pairs on the Platformer page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Blasphemous older $24.99 54,724 90% 1.6M $41M (exactly $41,026,583) The Game Kitchen
Bloodstained: Ritual of the Night older $39.99 29,588 93% 888k $35M (exactly $35,496,724) ArtPlay
Alice: Madness Returns older $9.99 27,795 90% 834k $8.3M (exactly $8,330,162) Spicy Horse Games
Have a Nice Death older $24.99 9,729 85% 292k $7.3M (exactly $7,293,831) Magic Design Studios
Mina the Hollower $19.99 7,562 88% 227k $4.5M (exactly $4,534,931) Yacht Club Games
The Last Faith older $27.99 4,661 83% 140k $3.9M (exactly $3,913,842) Kumi Souls Games
Valfaris older $24.99 1,782 86% 53k $1.3M (exactly $1,335,965) Steel Mantis
Castlevania Advance Collection older $19.99 2,149 91% 64k $1.3M (exactly $1,288,755) KONAMI
Bloodstained: Curse of the Moon older $9.99 3,823 94% 115k $1.1M (exactly $1,145,753) INTI CREATES CO., LTD.
Minoria older $19.99 1,827 82% 55k $1.1M (exactly $1,095,652) Bombservice
Legacy of Kain: Ascendance $19.99 423 27% 13k $254k (exactly $253,673) Bit Bot Media
Monster High™ Skulltimate Secrets™ $39.99 82 71% 2.5k $98k (exactly $98,375) Petoons Studio, Casual Brothers Ltd.
Toziuha Night: Order of the Alchemists $18.99 139 79% 4.2k $79k (exactly $79,188) Danny Garay
IGNOBLE $6.99 331 82% 9.9k $69k (exactly $69,411) Retromagine
THE CANON OF BALLS $3.99 287 98% 8.6k $34k (exactly $34,354) Helios Monk
Beholgar 2 $11.99 77 80% 2.3k $28k (exactly $27,697) Serkan Bakar
VELASTER · EA $10.99 83 87% 2.5k $27k (exactly $27,365) ODYSSEYER
Vampire's Best Friend $9.99 73 98% 2.2k $22k (exactly $21,878) SinksAdventure
The Dark Heart of Balor $14.99 18 72% 540 $8.1k (exactly $8,095) Game Artists, LLC

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.