Should I ship a Gothic JRPG?
JRPG + Gothic
Only 12 developers shipped a Gothic JRPG in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Trainee Death Simulator, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 27 more are announced, ×4.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $7.2k, ×11 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $1.1k; 1 in 20 cleared $310k, ×500 the market median. Revenue is up 920% on the market; 27 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $1.1k (exactly $1,079) |
|---|---|
| Median | $7.2k (exactly $7,182) |
| Top 25% | $66k (exactly $65,825) |
| Top 5% | $314k (exactly $313,756) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 12 |
| Released games | 33 |
| Announced | 27 |
| Effort | 6 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $10.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 920% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.
Free games: 3%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
What it takes
- Effort
- 6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
- Systems
- JRPG
- Price point
- $10.99 typical
Why players buy here
The top 10 games average 89% positive over 2,916 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $1.1k. 8 in 10 of the 6 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 27 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.5 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
JRPG with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + FMVStrong odds
- + Mystery DungeonStrong odds
- + NinjaFair
- + RomanceFair
- + Visual NovelFair
- + ManagementFair
- + Souls-likeFair
- + Point & ClickFair
- + LootFair
- + RoguelikeFair
- + 2D PlatformerFair
- + Artificial IntelligenceFair
Comparable games
ASTLIBRA Revision 2022 · $23M 
Fear & Hunger 2: Termina 2022 · $5.1M 
Dragon Star Varnir 2019 · $543k 
Trainee Death Simulator 2024 · $314k 
绯红编年史 ~ Chronicle of Scarlet ~ 2025 · $272k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | ASTLIBRA Revision | older | $24.99 | 30,262 95% | 908k | $23M (exactly $22,687,421) | KEIZO |
| | Fear & Hunger 2: Termina | older | $11.99 | 14,232 97% | 427k | $5.1M (exactly $5,119,250) | Miro Haverinen |
| | Dragon Star Varnir | older | $39.99 | 453 78% | 14k | $543k (exactly $543,464) | Idea Factory, Compile Heart |
| | Trainee Death Simulator | $5.99 | 1,746 92% | 52k | $314k (exactly $313,756) | Bone Nail | |
| | 绯红编年史 ~ Chronicle of Scarlet ~ | $12.99 | 697 88% | 21k | $272k (exactly $271,621) | Charge Piggy Studio | |
 | LEGRAND LEGACY: Tale of the Fatebounds | older | $19.99 | 300 67% | 9.0k | $180k (exactly $179,910) | SEMISOFT |
 | Lair Land Story | older | $14.99 | 226 84% | 6.8k | $102k (exactly $101,632) | CIRCLE Ent., Arc System Works, Initory… (CIRCLE Ent., Arc System Works, Initory Studio) |
 | Seventh Lair | older | $7.99 | 385 93% | 12k | $92k (exactly $92,284) | NOVECT |
 | MELFIAS －Azure and Crimson Verge－ | $11.99 | 183 89% | 5.5k | $66k (exactly $65,825) | dorgel | |
 | Elminage Gothic | older | $9.99 | 185 67% | 5.6k | $55k (exactly $55,444) | Starfish-SD Inc |
 | Forsaker:DingDing&Blade | $10.99 | 124 75% | 3.7k | $41k (exactly $40,883) | 圣剑提灯制作组 [BladeLanternStudios] | |
 | RAVENSBURG | $14.99 | 45 95% | 1.4k | $20k (exactly $20,236) | Lilian Duleroux | |
 | Obnulenie | $3.99 | 60 63% | 1.8k | $7.2k (exactly $7,182) | Artsiom Tsiareshka | |
 | Blood Soaked Bastard! | $1.99 | 51 92% | 1.5k | $3.0k (exactly $3,045) | Kill_Mind_Creator | |
 | Throne Requiem | $19.99 | 4 25% | 120 | $2.4k (exactly $2,399) | Michael Richard Lannon | |
 | BYTE | $11.99 | 3 100% | 90 | $1.1k (exactly $1,079) | James Martini | |
 | Regotown | $2.99 | 3 66% | 90 | $269 (exactly $269) | GolGrot |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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