Do I ship it?

GamesImmersive SimImmersive Sim + God Game

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a God Game Immersive Sim?

Immersive Sim + God Game

Of 41 developers who shipped a God Game Immersive Sim in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 67 more are announced, ×3.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 8 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $360, ×0.2 the market's $1.5k for a 8 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $180. 67 games are announced against 19 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.5 per shipper, while revenue is down 40% on the market.

Deciding numbers: median 0.2 times the market baseline, revenue down 40% on the market, 67 announced, ×3.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Immersive Sim + God Game
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 41
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $4.8k → $297 → $299 → $1.2k → $599 → $539 → $538 (still earning) → $90 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Immersive Sim + God Game: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 41
Bottom 30% $179 (exactly $179)
Median $359 (exactly $359)
Top 25% $4.3k (exactly $4,313)
Top 5% $63k (exactly $63,173)
Developers, 2 yr 41
Released games 136
Announced 67
Effort 8 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $3.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 40% on the market, supply 15% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 15%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Immersive Sim
effort 8 / 10 · low · effort 8 sits in the low band
God Game
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
8 / 10 · online systems, open world
Systems
Immersive Sim, God Game; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Simulation, Sandbox, Strategy
Price point
$3.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
3 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Relaxing, 3D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $3.99.

The top 10 games average 72% positive over 3,063 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $180, median $360, 1 in 4 over $4.3k, 1 in 20 over $63k.

3 in 10 developers made under $180. Nearly all of the 26 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 67 games are announced against 19 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.5 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Immersive Sim with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FMVStrong odds112 devs · median $63k · 58 announced
  2. + Trading Card GameStrong odds18 devs · median $30k · 13 announced
  3. + MinigamesStrong odds15 devs · median $24k · 11 announced
  4. + WesternStrong odds17 devs · median $4.4k · 14 announced
  5. + BoxingStrong odds16 devs · median $2.7k · 12 announced
  6. + Job SimulatorFair152 devs · median $20k · 180 announced
  7. + Asynchronous MultiplayerFair8 devs · median $17k · 10 announced
  8. + Dating SimFair295 devs · median $13k · 296 announced
  9. + RomanceFair254 devs · median $12k · 266 announced
  10. + LGBTQ+Fair87 devs · median $11k · 93 announced
  11. + Visual NovelFair399 devs · median $7.8k · 453 announced
  12. + Split ScreenFair12 devs · median $6.0k · 14 announced

All 219 pairs on the Immersive Sim page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Universe Sandbox · EA older $29.99 27,843 96% 835k $25M (exactly $25,050,347) Giant Army
SimCity™ 4 Deluxe Edition older $19.99 8,495 81% 255k $5.1M (exactly $5,094,452) EA - Maxis, Aspyr (Mac)
The Tenants older $19.99 7,071 79% 212k $4.2M (exactly $4,240,479) EndGameLoop Games
MMORPG Tycoon 2 · EA older $24.99 2,977 86% 89k $2.2M (exactly $2,231,857) VectorStorm Pty Ltd
Crossroads Inn Anniversary Edition older $14.99 3,579 55% 107k $1.6M (exactly $1,609,476) Klabater
JIANGHU CHRONICLES $17.99 2,046 70% 61k $1.1M (exactly $1,104,226) 一品阁
WW2 Rebuilder older $19.99 1,504 84% 45k $902k (exactly $901,949) Madnetic Games
TasteMaker older $11.99 1,249 83% 37k $449k (exactly $449,265) Jelle Booij
Fish Game older $24.99 589 93% 18k $442k (exactly $441,573) A Shell in the Pit Games, Creative Ink… (A Shell in the Pit Games, Creative Ink Games)
Mini Airways - ATC simulator older $9.99 1,339 92% 40k $401k (exactly $401,298) CCC Games, Erabit
Nature & Life - Drunk On Nectar $14.99 263 87% 7.9k $118k (exactly $118,271) Venugopalan Sreedharan
吾皇万岁 $4.99 422 68% 13k $63k (exactly $63,173) AI GAME STUDIO
The Fool's Apprentice $16.99 42 52% 1.3k $21k (exactly $21,407) The Planar Danse
Sacrifice $6.99 61 85% 1.8k $13k (exactly $12,792) Basue no okiya
Church Simulator $3.99 99 78% 3.0k $12k (exactly $11,850) EY GAMES
soul Interface · EA $12.99 25 76% 750 $9.7k (exactly $9,742) soulless technologies
Galactic Simulator2: Stargate $5.99 42 78% 1.3k $7.5k (exactly $7,547) PcZ Games
Cats in Cozy Rooms $4.99 44 97% 1.3k $6.6k (exactly $6,587) AGE Zero, Odd Grape Studio
Command by Voice: World Conquest · EA $9.99 19 52% 570 $5.7k (exactly $5,694) Side Meicai

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.