Do I ship it?

GamesTacticalTactical + Gambling

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Gambling Tactical game?

Tactical + Gambling

Of 30 developers who shipped a Gambling Tactical game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 50 more are announced, ×2.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.9k, ×3.1 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $480; 1 in 20 cleared $81k, ×131 the market median. Revenue is down 15% on the market; 50 games are announced against 20 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 3.1 times the market baseline, revenue down 15% on the market, 50 announced, ×2.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Tactical + Gambling
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 30
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $478 → $2.7k → $4.0k → $1.0k (still earning) → $1.3k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Tactical + Gambling: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 30
Bottom 30% $478 (exactly $478)
Median $1.9k (exactly $1,946)
Top 25% $5.7k (exactly $5,694)
Top 5% $82k (exactly $81,989)
Developers, 2 yr 30
Released games 66
Announced 50
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 15% on the market, supply 100% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 29%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Tactical
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Gambling
effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Tactical, Gambling; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Strategy, Roguelike, Roguelite
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $13.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Pixel Graphics
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $13.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 89% positive over 5,525 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $480, median $1.9k, 1 in 4 over $5.6k, 1 in 20 over $81k.

3 in 10 developers made under $480. 8 in 10 of the 17 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 50 games are announced against 20 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.5 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Tactical with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Football (American)Strong odds12 devs · median $5.8k · 8 announced
  2. + Mystery DungeonStrong odds20 devs · median $2.5k · 15 announced
  3. + Dating SimFair13 devs · median $11k · 9 announced
  4. + 6DOFFair14 devs · median $2.4k · 19 announced
  5. + Word GameFair23 devs · median $1.8k · 12 announced
  6. + TypingFair16 devs · median $1.2k · 9 announced
  7. + DwarvesFair7 devs · median $1.0k · 10 announced
  8. + Traditional RoguelikeFair38 devs · median $987 · 57 announced
  9. + Dynamic NarrationFair13 devs · median $899 · 16 announced
  10. + Farming SimFair12 devs · median $897 · 10 announced
  11. + SolitaireFair25 devs · median $479 · 22 announced
  12. + LGBTQ+Fair20 devs · median $479 · 21 announced

All 226 pairs on the Tactical page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Sol Cesto $13.99 4,838 91% 145k $2.0M (exactly $2,030,509) Tambouille, Géraud Zucchini, Chariospir… (Tambouille, Géraud Zucchini, Chariospirale)
Slot & Dungeons $8.99 304 83% 9.1k $82k (exactly $81,989) MUC GAMES
FINAL SPIN older $4.99 195 91% 5.9k $29k (exactly $29,192) bati, loardjosef
Spinera $6.99 123 77% 3.7k $26k (exactly $25,793) Arvis Games
Chasing the Dawn / CTD $8.99 54 98% 1.6k $15k (exactly $14,564) Wave Games
Anomaly Mahjong $4.99 94 65% 2.8k $14k (exactly $14,072) YUTAMARO WORLD
Who Trained the Hero? -Spin of Fate- $8.99 51 60% 1.5k $14k (exactly $13,755) Game Studio Inc., KADOKAWA
Glassbreakers: Champions of Moss $19.99 22 63% 660 $13k (exactly $13,193) Polyarc
The MoneyMakers Rallye older $3.99 85 88% 2.6k $10k (exactly $10,174) The Unknown Machine
Plinko Panic! · EA older $7.99 36 91% 1.1k $8.6k (exactly $8,629) AcidicDuck
Poker TD $9.99 19 63% 570 $5.7k (exactly $5,694) ViralCloud
Straight Up Poker SE $29.99 5 60% 150 $4.5k (exactly $4,498) Jon Wolfe
Sunday League Manager: Horse and Spoon $8.99 15 93% 450 $4.0k (exactly $4,046) christianosway

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.