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Should I ship a Gambling Tactical game?
Tactical + Gambling
Of 30 developers who shipped a Gambling Tactical game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 50 more are announced, ×2.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $1.9k, ×3.1 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $480; 1 in 20 cleared $81k, ×131 the market median. Revenue is down 15% on the market; 50 games are announced against 20 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $478 (exactly $478) |
|---|---|
| Median | $1.9k (exactly $1,946) |
| Top 25% | $5.7k (exactly $5,694) |
| Top 5% | $82k (exactly $81,989) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 30 |
| Released games | 66 |
| Announced | 50 |
| Effort | 6 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $4.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 15% on the market, supply 100% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 29%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
What it takes
- Effort
- 6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
- Systems
- Tactical, Gambling; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Strategy, Roguelike, Roguelite
- Price point
- $4.99 typical · top 25% priced $13.99 or above
- Art
- 4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Pixel Graphics
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $13.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.
The top 10 games average 89% positive over 5,525 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $480. 8 in 10 of the 17 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 50 games are announced against 20 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.5 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Tactical with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Football (American)Strong odds
- + Mystery DungeonStrong odds
- + Dating SimFair
- + 6DOFFair
- + Word GameFair
- + TypingFair
- + DwarvesFair
- + Traditional RoguelikeFair
- + Dynamic NarrationFair
- + Farming SimFair
- + SolitaireFair
- + LGBTQ+Fair
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Sol Cesto | $13.99 | 4,838 91% | 145k | $2.0M (exactly $2,030,509) | Tambouille, Géraud Zucchini, Chariospir… (Tambouille, Géraud Zucchini, Chariospirale) | |
| | Slot & Dungeons | $8.99 | 304 83% | 9.1k | $82k (exactly $81,989) | MUC GAMES | |
| | FINAL SPIN | older | $4.99 | 195 91% | 5.9k | $29k (exactly $29,192) | bati, loardjosef |
| | Spinera | $6.99 | 123 77% | 3.7k | $26k (exactly $25,793) | Arvis Games | |
| | Chasing the Dawn / CTD | $8.99 | 54 98% | 1.6k | $15k (exactly $14,564) | Wave Games | |
| | Anomaly Mahjong | $4.99 | 94 65% | 2.8k | $14k (exactly $14,072) | YUTAMARO WORLD | |
| | Who Trained the Hero? -Spin of Fate- | $8.99 | 51 60% | 1.5k | $14k (exactly $13,755) | Game Studio Inc., KADOKAWA | |
| | Glassbreakers: Champions of Moss | $19.99 | 22 63% | 660 | $13k (exactly $13,193) | Polyarc | |
| | The MoneyMakers Rallye | older | $3.99 | 85 88% | 2.6k | $10k (exactly $10,174) | The Unknown Machine |
| | Plinko Panic! | · EA older | $7.99 | 36 91% | 1.1k | $8.6k (exactly $8,629) | AcidicDuck |
| | Poker TD | $9.99 | 19 63% | 570 | $5.7k (exactly $5,694) | ViralCloud | |
| | Straight Up Poker SE | $29.99 | 5 60% | 150 | $4.5k (exactly $4,498) | Jon Wolfe | |
| | Sunday League Manager: Horse and Spoon | $8.99 | 15 93% | 450 | $4.0k (exactly $4,046) | christianosway |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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