Do I ship it?

GamesTacticalTactical + Dwarves

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Dwarf Tactical game?

Tactical + Dwarves

Only 7 developers shipped a Dwarf Tactical game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Hold The Mine, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 10 more are announced.

Verdict: fair, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.0k, ×1.7 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $630. Momentum is unreadable here, too few recent games; 10 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.7 times the market baseline, revenue too few recent games to read momentum, 10 announced, ×1.7 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Tactical + Dwarves
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 7

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Tactical + Dwarves: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 7
Bottom 30% $629 (exactly $629)
Median $1.0k (exactly $1,048)
Top 25% $121k (exactly $121,419)
Top 5% $152k (exactly $151,999)
Developers, 2 yr 7
Released games 33
Announced 10
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $8.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 500% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 30%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Tactical
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Dwarves
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Tactical
Price point
$8.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $59.99 or above; the middle game at $14.99.

The top 10 games average 81% positive over 273,383 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $630, median $1.0k, 1 in 4 over $120k, 1 in 20 over $150k.

3 in 10 developers made under $630. 10 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Tactical with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Football (American)Strong odds12 devs · median $5.8k · 8 announced
  2. + Mystery DungeonStrong odds20 devs · median $2.5k · 15 announced
  3. + Dating SimFair13 devs · median $11k · 9 announced
  4. + 6DOFFair14 devs · median $2.4k · 19 announced
  5. + Word GameFair23 devs · median $1.8k · 12 announced
  6. + TypingFair16 devs · median $1.2k · 9 announced
  7. + Traditional RoguelikeFair38 devs · median $987 · 57 announced
  8. + Dynamic NarrationFair13 devs · median $899 · 16 announced
  9. + Farming SimFair12 devs · median $897 · 10 announced
  10. + SolitaireFair25 devs · median $479 · 22 announced
  11. + LGBTQ+Fair20 devs · median $479 · 21 announced
  12. + PuzzleFair282 devs · median $449 · 311 announced

All 226 pairs on the Tactical page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Total War: WARHAMMER III older $59.99 104,822 71% 3.1M $189M (exactly $188,648,153) CREATIVE ASSEMBLY, Feral Interactive
Total War: WARHAMMER II older $59.99 85,134 92% 2.6M $153M (exactly $153,215,660) CREATIVE ASSEMBLY, Feral Interactive (M… (CREATIVE ASSEMBLY, Feral Interactive (Mac), Feral Interactive (Linux))
Total War: WARHAMMER older $59.99 32,105 79% 963k $58M (exactly $57,779,368) CREATIVE ASSEMBLY, Feral Interactive (L… (CREATIVE ASSEMBLY, Feral Interactive (Linux), Feral Interactive (Mac))
Dragon Age: Origins - Ultimate Edition older $29.99 28,721 85% 862k $26M (exactly $25,840,284) BioWare
Age of Wonders III older $29.99 7,020 81% 211k $6.3M (exactly $6,315,894) Triumph Studios
Shadowrun Returns older $14.99 9,521 88% 286k $4.3M (exactly $4,281,594) Harebrained Schemes
Might & Magic X - Legacy older $29.99 3,178 65% 95k $2.9M (exactly $2,859,247) Ubisoft
Warhammer Quest (Classic) older $29.99 897 71% 27k $807k (exactly $807,031) Rodeo Games, Twistplay
Blood Bowl: Chaos Edition (Classic) older $14.99 1,386 79% 42k $623k (exactly $623,284) Cyanide Studios
Aarklash: Legacy older $15.99 599 76% 18k $287k (exactly $287,340) Cyanide Studio
Hold The Mine · EA $14.99 338 83% 10k $152k (exactly $151,999) Hookaria Games
Union of Gnomes $14.99 270 80% 8.1k $121k (exactly $121,419) Hoolignomes
À La Mine $8.99 12 91% 360 $3.2k (exactly $3,236) Studio Dés Kréatifs
Dwarf Guild Mania $6.99 5 80% 150 $1.0k (exactly $1,048) Quarkblue
Robugs $6.99 3 66% 90 $629 (exactly $629) Marcin Rodzon
Dwarven Rails $9.99 2 100% 60 $599 (exactly $599) Kogekisaru
Dwarven Rampart $7.99 1 100% 30 $240 (exactly $240) Alaabale

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.