Do I ship it?

GamesFishingFishing + Walking Simulator

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Fishing Walking Simulator?

Fishing + Walking Simulator

Only 14 developers shipped a Fishing Walking Simulator in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Ultimate Fishing® Simulator 2, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 27 more are announced, ×3.9 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.9k, ×4.1 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $450; 1 in 20 cleared $1.2M, ×2622 the market median. Revenue is up 105% on the market; 27 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 4.1 times the market baseline, revenue up 105% on the market, 27 announced, ×3.9 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Fishing + Walking Simulator
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 14
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $3.6k → $13k → $76k → $1.9k (still earning) → $119 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Fishing + Walking Simulator: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 14
Bottom 30% $450 (exactly $450)
Median $1.9k (exactly $1,930)
Top 25% $41k (exactly $40,989)
Top 5% $1.2M (exactly $1,245,577)
Developers, 2 yr 14
Released games 32
Announced 27
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 105% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 19%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Fishing
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Walking Simulator
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Fishing, Walking Simulator
Price point
$6.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 73% positive over 3,326 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $450, median $1.9k, 1 in 4 over $40k, 1 in 20 over $1.2M.

3 in 10 developers made under $450. 7 in 10 of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 27 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.9 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Fishing with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FarmingFair31 devs · median $18k · 26 announced
  2. + AutomationFair40 devs · median $3.4k · 46 announced
  3. + IncrementalFair64 devs · median $1.8k · 87 announced
  4. + Score AttackFair11 devs · median $719 · 8 announced
  5. + ArcadeFair51 devs · median $716 · 64 announced
  6. + Co-opPoor odds39 devs · median $70k · 73 announced
  7. + RomancePoor odds14 devs · median $47k · 29 announced
  8. + Online Co-OpPoor odds34 devs · median $36k · 85 announced
  9. + EconomyPoor odds49 devs · median $23k · 66 announced
  10. + CapitalismPoor odds15 devs · median $23k · 18 announced
  11. + AgriculturePoor odds48 devs · median $18k · 80 announced
  12. + Dating SimPoor odds13 devs · median $15k · 30 announced

All 77 pairs on the Fishing page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Call of the Wild: The Angler™ older $29.99 6,122 63% 184k $5.5M (exactly $5,507,963) Expansive Worlds
Ultimate Fishing® Simulator 2 $19.99 2,077 66% 62k $1.2M (exactly $1,245,577) Silent Bear Studio, SHINING GAMES
Fears to Fathom - Woodbury Getaway older $9.99 3,470 86% 104k $1.0M (exactly $1,039,959) Rayll Studios
Fishing Adventure older $4.99 1,479 85% 44k $221k (exactly $221,406) MasterCode
Manny's older $7.99 671 91% 20k $161k (exactly $160,839) Bonemeal Productions
Sushi Ben $11.99 261 82% 7.8k $94k (exactly $93,882) Big Brane Studios, Inc.
Loan Shark $3.99 635 84% 19k $76k (exactly $76,010) Studio Ortica
Clawfish older $2.99 603 92% 18k $54k (exactly $54,089) David Czarnowski
Sinker sound · EA $7.99 171 98% 5.1k $41k (exactly $40,989) Chavafei
Isle of Jura older $4.99 191 76% 5.7k $29k (exactly $28,593) EM Games
Little Wings Deliveries $4.99 87 88% 2.6k $13k (exactly $13,024) SkyBrave, Vort Digital, Jonathan Kihlst… (SkyBrave, Vort Digital, Jonathan Kihlström, Mount West Music)
Shippin $7.99 12 100% 360 $2.9k (exactly $2,876) Big Trident Studios
Cat Simulator: Meow $0.99 65 60% 2.0k $1.9k (exactly $1,930) Cat Studio
Open Fishing 2 $6.99 8 62% 240 $1.7k (exactly $1,678) Kunstaat
Missing The Point $7.99 5 100% 150 $1.2k (exactly $1,198) Burner Phone
DarkShine · EA $3.00 5 100% 150 $450 (exactly $450) DScorp

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.