Do I ship it?

Games › Fishing › Fishing + Roguelike

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Fishing Roguelike?

Fishing + Roguelike

Of 22 developers who shipped a Fishing Roguelike in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 35 more are announced, ×2.7 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $2.5k, ×5.3 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $1.1k; 1 in 20 cleared $130k, ×279 the market median. Revenue is up 150% on the market; 35 games are announced against 13 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 5.3 times the market baseline, revenue up 150% on the market, 35 announced, ×2.7 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Fishing + Roguelike
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 22
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $13k → $3.3k → $2.5k → $4.3k (still earning) → $2.9k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Fishing + Roguelike: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 22
Bottom 30% $1.0k (exactly $1,048)
Median $2.5k (exactly $2,516)
Top 25% $43k (exactly $42,906)
Top 5% $133k (exactly $132,644)
Developers, 2 yr 22
Released games 45
Announced 35
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 150% on the market, supply 45% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 16%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Fishing
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Roguelike
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Fishing, Roguelike; 7 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Roguelite, Action Roguelike
Price point
$7.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
3 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Pixel Graphics, 2D, 3D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.

The top 10 games average 84% positive over 2,206 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $1.1k, median $2.5k, 1 in 4 over $42k, 1 in 20 over $130k.

3 in 10 developers made under $1.1k. 7 in 10 of the 10 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 35 games are announced against 13 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.7 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Fishing with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FarmingFair31 devs · median $18k · 26 announced
  2. + AutomationFair40 devs · median $3.4k · 46 announced
  3. + IncrementalFair64 devs · median $1.8k · 87 announced
  4. + Score AttackFair11 devs · median $719 · 8 announced
  5. + ArcadeFair51 devs · median $716 · 64 announced
  6. + Co-opPoor odds39 devs · median $70k · 73 announced
  7. + RomancePoor odds14 devs · median $47k · 29 announced
  8. + Online Co-OpPoor odds34 devs · median $36k · 85 announced
  9. + EconomyPoor odds49 devs · median $23k · 66 announced
  10. + CapitalismPoor odds15 devs · median $23k · 18 announced
  11. + AgriculturePoor odds48 devs · median $18k · 80 announced
  12. + Dating SimPoor odds13 devs · median $15k · 30 announced

All 77 pairs on the Fishing page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Rogue Heroes: Ruins of Tasos 2021 · $1.6M FATE 2013 · $981k FATE: Reawakened 2025 · $568k Lake of Creatures 2024 · $133k FATE: The Cursed King 2014 · $116k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Rogue Heroes: Ruins of Tasos older $19.99 2,705 77% 81k $1.6M (exactly $1,622,188) Heliocentric Studios
FATE older $7.99 4,092 95% 123k $981k (exactly $980,852) WildTangent
FATE: Reawakened $24.99 758 73% 23k $568k (exactly $568,273) gamigo US Inc., Tableflip Entertainment… (gamigo US Inc., Tableflip Entertainment AB)
Lake of Creatures $12.49 354 92% 11k $133k (exactly $132,644) ANTENNA GAMES
FATE: The Cursed King older $7.99 484 93% 15k $116k (exactly $116,015) WildTangent
Hungry Horrors · EA $14.99 209 98% 6.3k $94k (exactly $93,987) Clumsy Bear Studio
Sea of Survivors · EA older $6.99 415 81% 12k $87k (exactly $87,026) Nah Yeah Games
Garlant: My Story older $10.99 234 84% 7.0k $77k (exactly $77,150) Flt Studio
Knights End $7.99 286 90% 8.6k $69k (exactly $68,554) Knight Shift Studios
FISH FEAR ME $9.99 214 84% 6.4k $64k (exactly $64,136) HEATHER FLOWERS
Nautical Survival $7.99 179 97% 5.4k $43k (exactly $42,906) Idan Rooze
The One Fish · EA $7.99 149 71% 4.5k $36k (exactly $35,715) re:try
Fishing Mega-Game $4.99 29 89% 870 $4.3k (exactly $4,341) Peep
Surviving Skeleton Island $9.99 14 64% 420 $4.2k (exactly $4,196) Bert Games
Net Gains $6.99 14 92% 420 $2.9k (exactly $2,936) Alec Frey

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.