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Should I ship a Fishing Procedural Generation game?
Fishing + Procedural Generation
Only 17 developers shipped a Fishing Procedural Generation game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Salt 2: Shores of Gold, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 41 more are announced, ×3.7 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $2.2k, ×4.5 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $1.5k; 1 in 20 cleared $1.3M, ×2755 the market median. Revenue is down 90% on the market; 41 games are announced against 11 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $1.4k (exactly $1,438) |
|---|---|
| Median | $2.2k (exactly $2,157) |
| Top 25% | $49k (exactly $48,712) |
| Top 5% | $1.3M (exactly $1,308,545) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 17 |
| Released games | 36 |
| Announced | 41 |
| Effort | 4 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $6.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 90% on the market, supply 85% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 8%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Fishing
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
- Procedural Generation
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
- Systems
- Fishing, Procedural Generation; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Management, Simulation
- Price point
- $6.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
- Art
- 4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Relaxing, Pixel Graphics
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.
The top 10 games average 85% positive over 4,212 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $1.5k. 5 in 10 of the 8 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 41 games are announced against 11 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.7 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Fishing with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + FarmingFair
- + AutomationFair
- + IncrementalFair
- + Score AttackFair
- + ArcadeFair
- + Co-opPoor odds
- + RomancePoor odds
- + Online Co-OpPoor odds
- + EconomyPoor odds
- + CapitalismPoor odds
- + AgriculturePoor odds
- + Dating SimPoor odds
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Salt 2: Shores of Gold | $19.99 | 2,182 85% | 65k | $1.3M (exactly $1,308,545) | Lavaboots Studios | |
| | Ecosystem | $19.99 | 601 76% | 18k | $360k (exactly $360,420) | Tom Johnson | |
| | Intergalactic Fishing | older | $14.99 | 379 95% | 11k | $170k (exactly $170,436) | Boat Anchor Games |
| | Lake of Creatures | $12.49 | 354 92% | 11k | $133k (exactly $132,644) | ANTENNA GAMES | |
| | FATE: The Cursed King | older | $7.99 | 484 93% | 15k | $116k (exactly $116,015) | WildTangent |
| | Black Hole Fishing | $5.99 | 571 88% | 17k | $103k (exactly $102,609) | SDG Games | |
| | Creatura | older | $14.99 | 214 67% | 6.4k | $96k (exactly $96,236) | Koksny.com |
| | Call of Boba | · EA | $12.99 | 125 67% | 3.8k | $49k (exactly $48,712) | Tomatoast, Tomatoast |
| | Zen Aquarium | $4.99 | 302 93% | 9.1k | $45k (exactly $45,209) | Astro Cat | |
| | PostCollapse | older | $7.99 | 127 56% | 3.8k | $30k (exactly $30,442) | Ambiera |
| | Tales from The Dancing Moon | $17.99 | 34 88% | 1.0k | $18k (exactly $18,350) | DjMonkey | |
| | Moorage | · EA | $7.99 | 10 100% | 300 | $2.4k (exactly $2,397) | Daedalus Studios |
| | The Honest Little Fisher | $7.99 | 9 88% | 270 | $2.2k (exactly $2,157) | Kiene & Sohn | |
| | Stranded Without A Phone | $2.99 | 24 100% | 720 | $2.2k (exactly $2,153) | Gilligames |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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