Do I ship it?

GamesFishingFishing + Platformer

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Fishing Platformer?

Fishing + Platformer

Only 12 developers shipped a Fishing Platformer in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Doloc Town, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 19 more are announced, ×2.1 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $4.5k, ×9.5 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $1.2k; 1 in 20 cleared $1.8M, ×3997 the market median. Revenue is up 85% on the market; 19 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 9.5 times the market baseline, revenue up 85% on the market, 19 announced, ×2.1 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Fishing + Platformer
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 12
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $4.5k → $175k (still earning) → $4.1k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Fishing + Platformer: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 12
Bottom 30% $1.1k (exactly $1,134)
Median $4.5k (exactly $4,497)
Top 25% $175k (exactly $174,725)
Top 5% $1.9M (exactly $1,898,650)
Developers, 2 yr 12
Released games 35
Announced 19
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 85% on the market, supply 200% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 20%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Fishing
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Platformer
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Fishing, Platformer
Price point
$9.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 92% positive over 4,808 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $1.2k, median $4.5k, 1 in 4 over $170k, 1 in 20 over $1.8M.

3 in 10 developers made under $1.2k. 19 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.1 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Fishing with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FarmingFair31 devs · median $18k · 26 announced
  2. + AutomationFair40 devs · median $3.4k · 46 announced
  3. + IncrementalFair64 devs · median $1.8k · 87 announced
  4. + Score AttackFair11 devs · median $719 · 8 announced
  5. + ArcadeFair51 devs · median $716 · 64 announced
  6. + Co-opPoor odds39 devs · median $70k · 73 announced
  7. + RomancePoor odds14 devs · median $47k · 29 announced
  8. + Online Co-OpPoor odds34 devs · median $36k · 85 announced
  9. + EconomyPoor odds49 devs · median $23k · 66 announced
  10. + CapitalismPoor odds15 devs · median $23k · 18 announced
  11. + AgriculturePoor odds48 devs · median $18k · 80 announced
  12. + Dating SimPoor odds13 devs · median $15k · 30 announced

All 77 pairs on the Fishing page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Spiritfarer®: Farewell Edition older $29.99 47,176 94% 1.4M $42M (exactly $42,444,247) Thunder Lotus
Doloc Town $19.99 3,166 94% 95k $1.9M (exactly $1,898,650) RedSaw Games Studio
I Am Fish older $19.99 2,917 75% 88k $1.7M (exactly $1,749,325) Bossa Studios
Phoenotopia: Awakening older $19.99 2,755 82% 83k $1.7M (exactly $1,652,173) Cape Cosmic
Here Comes Niko! older $24.99 1,050 92% 32k $787k (exactly $787,185) Frog Vibes
Voodoo Fishin' · EA $9.99 800 81% 24k $240k (exactly $239,760) Lost Arcade
FISH · EA $9.99 583 94% 17k $175k (exactly $174,725) dmcaguy
Everdeep Aurora $19.99 177 89% 5.3k $106k (exactly $106,147) Nautilus Games
Fantasy Fishing Town older $6.99 81 77% 2.4k $17k (exactly $16,986) RainbowStudio
Koboo: The Tree Spirit older $14.99 35 82% 1.1k $16k (exactly $15,740) Jerome Labelle, Simon Labelle
Capri Care · EA $12.99 13 100% 390 $5.1k (exactly $5,066) Jdfskitz, Kiyoshirei, Dark_KissQ121
Goldfish $14.99 10 80% 300 $4.5k (exactly $4,497) Gabry Corti
Upstream $7.99 18 100% 540 $4.3k (exactly $4,315) Gllama Games
Cattopia $7.99 17 88% 510 $4.1k (exactly $4,075) Timesoft
Eat or DIE! $1.99 19 84% 570 $1.1k (exactly $1,134) The Big Studio
Focus Froggy $4.99 5 100% 150 $748 (exactly $748) BRTL Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.