Do I ship it?

GamesFishingFishing + Naval

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Naval Fishing game?

Fishing + Naval

Only 13 developers shipped a Naval Fishing game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, The Quinfall, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 40 more are announced, ×5.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $12k, ×19 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $3.3k; 1 in 20 cleared $3.6M, ×5762 the market median. Revenue is up 3720% on the market; 40 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 19.1 times the market baseline, revenue up 3720% on the market, 40 announced, ×5.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Fishing + Naval
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 13
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $3.2k → $69k → $43k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Fishing + Naval: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 13
Bottom 30% $3.2k (exactly $3,232)
Median $12k (exactly $11,994)
Top 25% $69k (exactly $68,804)
Top 5% $3.6M (exactly $3,618,278)
Developers, 2 yr 13
Released games 28
Announced 40
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 3720% on the market, supply 60% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 21%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Fishing
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Naval
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Fishing; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Action-Adventure, Exploration
Price point
$7.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, First-Person, Atmospheric
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.

The top 10 games average 56% positive over 15,075 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $3.3k, median $12k, 1 in 4 over $68k, 1 in 20 over $3.6M.

3 in 10 developers made under $3.3k. 8 in 10 of the 6 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 40 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year, ×5.0 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Fishing with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FarmingFair31 devs · median $18k · 26 announced
  2. + AutomationFair40 devs · median $3.4k · 46 announced
  3. + IncrementalFair64 devs · median $1.8k · 87 announced
  4. + Score AttackFair11 devs · median $719 · 8 announced
  5. + ArcadeFair51 devs · median $716 · 64 announced
  6. + Co-opPoor odds39 devs · median $70k · 73 announced
  7. + RomancePoor odds14 devs · median $47k · 29 announced
  8. + Online Co-OpPoor odds34 devs · median $36k · 85 announced
  9. + EconomyPoor odds49 devs · median $23k · 66 announced
  10. + CapitalismPoor odds15 devs · median $23k · 18 announced
  11. + AgriculturePoor odds48 devs · median $18k · 80 announced
  12. + Dating SimPoor odds13 devs · median $15k · 30 announced

All 77 pairs on the Fishing page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
The Quinfall $9.99 12,073 50% 362k $3.6M (exactly $3,618,278) Vawraek Technology Inc.
Fishing: North Atlantic - Enhanced Edition older $34.99 2,535 76% 76k $2.7M (exactly $2,660,990) Misc Games
Fishing: Barents Sea older $24.99 2,393 79% 72k $1.8M (exactly $1,794,032) Misc Games
Salt 2: Shores of Gold $19.99 2,182 85% 65k $1.3M (exactly $1,308,545) Lavaboots Studios
Deadliest Catch: The Game older $19.99 1,519 51% 46k $911k (exactly $910,944) 4Fishing
World Ship Simulator older $19.99 177 16% 5.3k $106k (exactly $106,147) Odin Game Studio
Water You Doing? $7.99 294 59% 8.8k $70k (exactly $70,472) DiSolve Studios
Following Seas · EA $14.99 153 76% 4.6k $69k (exactly $68,804) Whipstaff Games
Crabmeat $7.99 181 86% 5.4k $43k (exactly $43,386) Nicholas McDonnell, Mitchell Pasmans
Dreaming Isles $6.99 79 51% 2.4k $17k (exactly $16,566) YawningDad
Fathom's End · EA $19.99 20 95% 600 $12k (exactly $11,994) Lonely Anchor
Dockside Dreams – Fish & Cook Simulator $7.99 22 59% 660 $5.3k (exactly $5,273) C51 Games
Undesired Catch $3.99 44 86% 1.3k $5.3k (exactly $5,267) Ferran Costa Casanova
Sea Town - Fish Market Simulator $3.99 27 48% 810 $3.2k (exactly $3,232) Alice Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.