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Should I ship a Fishing Multiple Endings game?
Fishing + Multiple Endings
Only 16 developers shipped a Fishing Multiple Endings game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Spindle, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 24 more are announced, ×2.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $1.9k, ×4.1 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $210; 1 in 20 cleared $180k, ×398 the market median. Revenue is up 10% on the market; 24 games are announced against 11 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $210 (exactly $210) |
|---|---|
| Median | $1.9k (exactly $1,946) |
| Top 25% | $47k (exactly $46,685) |
| Top 5% | $189k (exactly $188,905) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 16 |
| Released games | 38 |
| Announced | 24 |
| Effort | 4 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $6.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 10% on the market, supply 120% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 11%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Fishing
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
- Multiple Endings
- effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
What it takes
- Effort
- 4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
- Systems
- Fishing, Multiple Endings; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Choices Matter, Exploration
- Price point
- $6.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
- Art
- 5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Pixel Graphics, Top-Down
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.
The top 10 games average 85% positive over 1,708 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $210. All of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 24 games are announced against 11 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.2 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Fishing with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + FarmingFair
- + AutomationFair
- + IncrementalFair
- + Score AttackFair
- + ArcadeFair
- + Co-opPoor odds
- + RomancePoor odds
- + Online Co-OpPoor odds
- + EconomyPoor odds
- + CapitalismPoor odds
- + AgriculturePoor odds
- + Dating SimPoor odds
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Slow living with Princess | older | $19.99 | 580 87% | 17k | $348k (exactly $347,826) | KADOKAWA, TSUKURITE. |
| | Lakeview Valley | older | $14.99 | 710 82% | 21k | $319k (exactly $319,287) | Roope Tamminen |
| | Spindle | $19.99 | 315 95% | 9.5k | $189k (exactly $188,905) | Wobble Ghost | |
| | LEGRAND LEGACY: Tale of the Fatebounds | older | $19.99 | 300 67% | 9.0k | $180k (exactly $179,910) | SEMISOFT |
| | Creator Chronicles | $11.99 | 424 64% | 13k | $153k (exactly $152,513) | Origin Studio | |
| | myPOPGOES | older | $4.99 | 752 86% | 23k | $113k (exactly $112,574) | Kane Carter |
| | Dating Simulator | older | $4.99 | 417 55% | 13k | $62k (exactly $62,425) | piratecat games |
| | NTR Hunter | $14.99 | 119 78% | 3.6k | $54k (exactly $53,514) | Team18 | |
| | Don't Sleep With The Fishes | $1.99 | 782 95% | 23k | $47k (exactly $46,685) | Taiki | |
| | ValiDate: Struggling Singles in your Area | older | $14.99 | 86 66% | 2.6k | $39k (exactly $38,674) | Veritable Joy Studios |
| | Castaway Hand | $9.99 | 22 36% | 660 | $6.6k (exactly $6,593) | BAOCHUAN | |
| | Cattopia | $7.99 | 17 88% | 510 | $4.1k (exactly $4,075) | Timesoft | |
| | For One Year | $9.99 | 7 85% | 210 | $2.1k (exactly $2,098) | Hushberry Games LLC | |
| | All That Glitters | $4.99 | 13 100% | 390 | $1.9k (exactly $1,946) | lestudiodetrop | |
| | Missing The Point | $7.99 | 5 100% | 150 | $1.2k (exactly $1,198) | Burner Phone | |
| | Sailing The Winds | $5.99 | 4 50% | 120 | $719 (exactly $719) | PS Games |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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