Do I ship it?

GamesFishingFishing + Multiple Endings

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Fishing Multiple Endings game?

Fishing + Multiple Endings

Only 16 developers shipped a Fishing Multiple Endings game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Spindle, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 24 more are announced, ×2.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.9k, ×4.1 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $210; 1 in 20 cleared $180k, ×398 the market median. Revenue is up 10% on the market; 24 games are announced against 11 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 4.1 times the market baseline, revenue up 10% on the market, 24 announced, ×2.2 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Fishing + Multiple Endings
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 16
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $19k → $1.9k → $449 (still earning) → $54k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Fishing + Multiple Endings: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 16
Bottom 30% $210 (exactly $210)
Median $1.9k (exactly $1,946)
Top 25% $47k (exactly $46,685)
Top 5% $189k (exactly $188,905)
Developers, 2 yr 16
Released games 38
Announced 24
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 10% on the market, supply 120% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 11%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Fishing
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Multiple Endings
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Fishing, Multiple Endings; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Choices Matter, Exploration
Price point
$6.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Pixel Graphics, Top-Down
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.

The top 10 games average 85% positive over 1,708 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $210, median $1.9k, 1 in 4 over $46k, 1 in 20 over $180k.

3 in 10 developers made under $210. All of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 24 games are announced against 11 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.2 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Fishing with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FarmingFair31 devs · median $18k · 26 announced
  2. + AutomationFair40 devs · median $3.4k · 46 announced
  3. + IncrementalFair64 devs · median $1.8k · 87 announced
  4. + Score AttackFair11 devs · median $719 · 8 announced
  5. + ArcadeFair51 devs · median $716 · 64 announced
  6. + Co-opPoor odds39 devs · median $70k · 73 announced
  7. + RomancePoor odds14 devs · median $47k · 29 announced
  8. + Online Co-OpPoor odds34 devs · median $36k · 85 announced
  9. + EconomyPoor odds49 devs · median $23k · 66 announced
  10. + CapitalismPoor odds15 devs · median $23k · 18 announced
  11. + AgriculturePoor odds48 devs · median $18k · 80 announced
  12. + Dating SimPoor odds13 devs · median $15k · 30 announced

All 77 pairs on the Fishing page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Slow living with Princess older $19.99 580 87% 17k $348k (exactly $347,826) KADOKAWA, TSUKURITE.
Lakeview Valley older $14.99 710 82% 21k $319k (exactly $319,287) Roope Tamminen
Spindle $19.99 315 95% 9.5k $189k (exactly $188,905) Wobble Ghost
LEGRAND LEGACY: Tale of the Fatebounds older $19.99 300 67% 9.0k $180k (exactly $179,910) SEMISOFT
Creator Chronicles $11.99 424 64% 13k $153k (exactly $152,513) Origin Studio
myPOPGOES older $4.99 752 86% 23k $113k (exactly $112,574) Kane Carter
Dating Simulator older $4.99 417 55% 13k $62k (exactly $62,425) piratecat games
NTR Hunter $14.99 119 78% 3.6k $54k (exactly $53,514) Team18
Don't Sleep With The Fishes $1.99 782 95% 23k $47k (exactly $46,685) Taiki
ValiDate: Struggling Singles in your Area older $14.99 86 66% 2.6k $39k (exactly $38,674) Veritable Joy Studios
Castaway Hand $9.99 22 36% 660 $6.6k (exactly $6,593) BAOCHUAN
Cattopia $7.99 17 88% 510 $4.1k (exactly $4,075) Timesoft
For One Year $9.99 7 85% 210 $2.1k (exactly $2,098) Hushberry Games LLC
All That Glitters $4.99 13 100% 390 $1.9k (exactly $1,946) lestudiodetrop
Missing The Point $7.99 5 100% 150 $1.2k (exactly $1,198) Burner Phone
Sailing The Winds $5.99 4 50% 120 $719 (exactly $719) PS Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.