Do I ship it?

GamesJRPGJRPG + Fishing

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Fishing JRPG?

JRPG + Fishing

Only 13 developers shipped a Fishing JRPG in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Sea Fantasy, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 16 more are announced, ×5.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 6 / 10 build.

Only 3 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $5.4k against a market of $630. 16 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 8.6 times the market baseline, revenue up 4685% on the market, 16 announced, ×5.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
JRPG + Fishing
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 13
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $25k → $1.2k → $5.1k → $9.9k
Outcomes for JRPG + Fishing: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 13
Bottom 30% $327 (exactly $327)
Median $5.4k (exactly $5,398)
Top 25% $47k (exactly $46,792)
Top 5% $263k (exactly $263,074)
Developers, 2 yr 13
Released games 39
Announced 16
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 4685% on the market, supply 70% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 13%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

JRPG
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Fishing
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
JRPG, Fishing; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry RPG, Adventure, Character Customization
Price point
$9.99 typical · top 25% priced $59.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, 3D, Anime
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $59.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 79% positive over 1,241 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $330, median $5.4k, 1 in 4 over $46k, 1 in 20 over $260k.

3 in 10 developers made under $330. 8 in 10 of the 11 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 16 games are announced against 3 developers who shipped in the last year, ×5.3 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

JRPG with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FMVStrong odds12 devs · median $54k · 6 announced
  2. + Mystery DungeonStrong odds43 devs · median $21k · 23 announced
  3. + NinjaFair7 devs · median $19k · 10 announced
  4. + RomanceFair153 devs · median $13k · 164 announced
  5. + Visual NovelFair219 devs · median $13k · 265 announced
  6. + ManagementFair37 devs · median $9.4k · 35 announced
  7. + Souls-likeFair31 devs · median $8.6k · 35 announced
  8. + Point & ClickFair41 devs · median $8.4k · 45 announced
  9. + LootFair34 devs · median $5.5k · 41 announced
  10. + RoguelikeFair85 devs · median $5.2k · 103 announced
  11. + 2D PlatformerFair150 devs · median $4.2k · 157 announced
  12. + Artificial IntelligenceFair25 devs · median $4.0k · 21 announced

All 142 pairs on the JRPG page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Battle Chasers: Nightwar older $29.99 5,573 87% 167k $5.0M (exactly $5,014,028) Airship Syndicate
Potion Permit older $19.99 4,358 78% 131k $2.6M (exactly $2,613,493) MassHive Media
Rune Factory 5 older $39.99 1,940 76% 58k $2.3M (exactly $2,327,418) Marvelous Inc.
Rune Factory 4 Special older $29.99 2,070 88% 62k $1.9M (exactly $1,862,379) Marvelous Inc.
Phoenotopia: Awakening older $19.99 2,755 82% 83k $1.7M (exactly $1,652,173) Cape Cosmic
Rune Factory 3 Special older $39.99 734 94% 22k $881k (exactly $880,580) Marvelous Inc.
Sea Fantasy $14.99 585 86% 18k $263k (exactly $263,074) METASLA
LEGRAND LEGACY: Tale of the Fatebounds older $19.99 300 67% 9.0k $180k (exactly $179,910) SEMISOFT
Dragon Song Tavern: Cozy & Adventurous $19.90 274 71% 8.2k $164k (exactly $163,578) Etherous Games Limited
Summer Beach $24.99 181 66% 5.4k $136k (exactly $135,696) Sakura Cat
Shujinkou $59.99 26 92% 780 $47k (exactly $46,792) Rice Games Inc
Dosa Divas $19.99 56 94% 1.7k $34k (exactly $33,583) Outerloop Games
Monmusu Paradise ~Visitors~ $4.99 66 74% 2.0k $9.9k (exactly $9,880) Siluman Soft
Reel Fishing: Days of Summer $29.99 6 83% 180 $5.4k (exactly $5,398) Tachyon Inc., Natsume Inc.
You reincarnated into the game world and fucked the NPCs!-Animation- $4.99 34 64% 1.0k $5.1k (exactly $5,090) Peperoon
The Farming Frontier $9.99 2 100% 60 $599 (exactly $599) Cuneyt Aliustaoglu
A Fishy RPG $0.99 11 45% 330 $327 (exactly $327) LGV

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.