Do I ship it?

GamesFishingFishing + Horror

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Horror Fishing game?

Fishing + Horror

Of 23 developers who shipped a Horror Fishing game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 47 more are announced, ×3.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $5.4k, ×11 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $450; 1 in 20 cleared $400k, ×844 the market median. Revenue is up 820% on the market; 47 games are announced against 14 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 11.4 times the market baseline, revenue up 820% on the market, 47 announced, ×3.4 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Fishing + Horror
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 23
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $9.4k → $88k → $28k → $43k (still earning) → $179 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Fishing + Horror: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 23
Bottom 30% $449 (exactly $449)
Median $5.4k (exactly $5,395)
Top 25% $70k (exactly $70,472)
Top 5% $401k (exactly $401,001)
Developers, 2 yr 23
Released games 45
Announced 47
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 820% on the market, supply 55% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 24%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Fishing
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Horror
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Fishing; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Exploration, Choices Matter
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $9.99 or above
Art
6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, First-Person, Dark
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $9.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 87% positive over 7,598 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $450, median $5.4k, 1 in 4 over $70k, 1 in 20 over $400k.

3 in 10 developers made under $450. 7 in 10 of the 11 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 47 games are announced against 14 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.4 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Fishing with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FarmingFair31 devs · median $18k · 26 announced
  2. + AutomationFair40 devs · median $3.4k · 46 announced
  3. + IncrementalFair64 devs · median $1.8k · 87 announced
  4. + Score AttackFair11 devs · median $719 · 8 announced
  5. + ArcadeFair51 devs · median $716 · 64 announced
  6. + Co-opPoor odds39 devs · median $70k · 73 announced
  7. + RomancePoor odds14 devs · median $47k · 29 announced
  8. + Online Co-OpPoor odds34 devs · median $36k · 85 announced
  9. + EconomyPoor odds49 devs · median $23k · 66 announced
  10. + CapitalismPoor odds15 devs · median $23k · 18 announced
  11. + AgriculturePoor odds48 devs · median $18k · 80 announced
  12. + Dating SimPoor odds13 devs · median $15k · 30 announced

All 77 pairs on the Fishing page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
DREDGE older $24.99 47,624 95% 1.4M $36M (exactly $35,703,713) Black Salt Games
Fears to Fathom - Woodbury Getaway older $9.99 3,470 86% 104k $1.0M (exactly $1,039,959) Rayll Studios
GONE Fishing · EA $9.99 3,016 90% 90k $904k (exactly $903,895) GONE Studios
UMIGARI | ウミガリ $12.99 1,029 82% 31k $401k (exactly $401,001) Chilla's Art
Lakeview Valley older $14.99 710 82% 21k $319k (exactly $319,287) Roope Tamminen
Voodoo Fishin' · EA $9.99 800 81% 24k $240k (exactly $239,760) Lost Arcade
myPOPGOES older $4.99 752 86% 23k $113k (exactly $112,574) Kane Carter
Fishing The Abyss $6.99 421 95% 13k $88k (exactly $88,284) umaaaaaa studio
Loan Shark $3.99 635 84% 19k $76k (exactly $76,010) Studio Ortica
Water You Doing? $7.99 294 59% 8.8k $70k (exactly $70,472) DiSolve Studios
Knights End $7.99 286 90% 8.6k $69k (exactly $68,554) Knight Shift Studios
Don't Sleep With The Fishes $1.99 782 95% 23k $47k (exactly $46,685) Taiki
Crabmeat $7.99 181 86% 5.4k $43k (exactly $43,386) Nicholas McDonnell, Mitchell Pasmans
Dreadline: Net Quota $5.99 154 68% 4.6k $28k (exactly $27,674) Mana Brigade

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.