Do I ship it?

GamesPuzzle PlatformerPuzzle Platformer + Female Protagonist

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Female-Led Puzzle Platformer?

Puzzle Platformer + Female Protagonist

Of 167 developers who shipped a Female-Led Puzzle Platformer in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 288 more are announced, ×3.1 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 3 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $2.2k, ×4.5 the market's $480 for a 3 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $420; 1 in 20 cleared $520k, ×1105 the market median. Revenue is flat on the market; 288 games are announced against 93 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 4.5 times the market baseline, revenue flat on the market, 288 announced, ×3.1 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Puzzle Platformer + Female Protagonist
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 167
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $2.8k → $2.1k → $1.2k → $898 → $3.6k → $1.7k → $1.5k (still earning) → $719 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Puzzle Platformer + Female Protagonist: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 167
Bottom 30% $419 (exactly $419)
Median $2.2k (exactly $2,156)
Top 25% $18k (exactly $17,991)
Top 5% $525k (exactly $524,738)
Developers, 2 yr 167
Released games 739
Announced 288
Effort 3 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue flat on the market, supply 20% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 14%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Puzzle Platformer
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Female Protagonist
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
Systems
Puzzle Platformer; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Puzzle, Platformer
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Cute, Story Rich, 2D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 95% positive over 98,955 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $420, median $2.2k, 1 in 4 over $17k, 1 in 20 over $520k.

3 in 10 developers made under $420. 8 in 10 of the 126 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 288 games are announced against 93 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.1 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Puzzle Platformer with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + RomanceFair41 devs · median $1.5k · 38 announced
  2. + Inventory ManagementFair20 devs · median $1.1k · 26 announced
  3. + Life SimFair20 devs · median $657 · 21 announced
  4. + SimulationFair216 devs · median $479 · 181 announced
  5. + Grid-Based MovementFair62 devs · median $449 · 56 announced
  6. + SokobanFair51 devs · median $358 · 49 announced
  7. + LovecraftianPoor odds11 devs · median $9.3k · 22 announced
  8. + Co-op CampaignPoor odds26 devs · median $9.0k · 53 announced
  9. + MetroidvaniaPoor odds91 devs · median $5.3k · 264 announced
  10. + SwordplayPoor odds8 devs · median $4.2k · 19 announced
  11. + Split ScreenPoor odds24 devs · median $3.6k · 35 announced
  12. + Hack and SlashPoor odds18 devs · median $3.0k · 80 announced

All 169 pairs on the Puzzle Platformer page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
It Takes Two older $39.99 218,492 95% 6.6M $262M (exactly $262,124,852) Hazelight Studios
Split Fiction $49.99 78,378 97% 2.4M $118M (exactly $117,543,487) Hazelight Studios
Portal 2 older $9.99 390,412 98% 12M $117M (exactly $117,006,476) Valve
Celeste older $19.99 132,072 97% 4.0M $79M (exactly $79,203,578) Maddy Makes Games Inc., Extremely OK Ga… (Maddy Makes Games Inc., Extremely OK Games, Ltd.)
Portal older $9.99 173,594 98% 5.2M $52M (exactly $52,026,122) Valve
GRIS older $14.99 83,857 96% 2.5M $38M (exactly $37,710,493) Nomada Studio
Little Nightmares older $19.99 52,184 94% 1.6M $31M (exactly $31,294,745) Tarsier Studios
Mirror's Edge™ Catalyst older $19.99 14,078 79% 422k $8.4M (exactly $8,442,577) DICE
OPUS: Echo of Starsong - Full Bloom Edition older $24.99 8,722 96% 262k $6.5M (exactly $6,538,883) SIGONO INC.
Tomb Raider I-III Remastered Starring Lara Croft older $29.99 6,877 85% 206k $6.2M (exactly $6,187,237) Aspyr, Crystal Dynamics
Neva $19.99 9,343 93% 280k $5.6M (exactly $5,602,997) Nomada Studio
Echoes of the End: Enhanced Edition $39.99 1,484 78% 45k $1.8M (exactly $1,780,355) Myrkur Games
Tomb Raider IV-VI Remastered $29.99 1,507 89% 45k $1.4M (exactly $1,355,848) Aspyr, Crystal Dynamics
Monument Valley 3 $14.99 2,155 93% 65k $969k (exactly $969,104) ustwo games
Bye Sweet Carole $24.99 1,039 72% 31k $779k (exactly $778,938) Little Sewing Machine
Scarlet Idol $7.99 2,586 66% 78k $620k (exactly $619,864) 山雨工作室
1348 Ex Voto $24.99 705 53% 21k $529k (exactly $528,538) Sedleo
Planet of Lana II $19.99 875 91% 26k $525k (exactly $524,738) Wishfully
Succubus Successor: Delilah's Juicy Journey $14.99 883 90% 26k $397k (exactly $397,085) Ramen Cat Studio, 樹画祭

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.