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Should I ship a Faith Visual Novel?
Visual Novel + Faith
Of 45 developers who shipped a Faith Visual Novel in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 53 more are announced, ×2.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 3 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $900, ×1.9 the market's $480 for a 3 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $360; 1 in 20 cleared $65k, ×138 the market median. Revenue is down 65% on the market; 53 games are announced against 24 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $359 (exactly $359) |
|---|---|
| Median | $897 (exactly $897) |
| Top 25% | $5.2k (exactly $5,248) |
| Top 5% | $65k (exactly $65,465) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 45 |
| Released games | 133 |
| Announced | 53 |
| Effort | 3 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | High |
| Typical price | $6.66 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 65% on the market, supply 10% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 14%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Visual Novel
- effort 2 / 10 · high · script, choices and static art
- Faith
- effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
What it takes
- Effort
- 3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
- Systems
- Visual Novel; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Choices Matter, Interactive Fiction
- Price point
- $6.66 typical · top 25% priced $11.99 or above
- Art
- 4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Story Rich, 2D, Atmospheric
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $11.99 or above; the middle game at $6.66.
The top 10 games average 86% positive over 1,485 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $360. 9 in 10 of the 29 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 53 games are announced against 24 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.2 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Visual Novel with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + FMVStrong odds
- + City BuilderStrong odds
- + MusicStrong odds
- + TrainsStrong odds
- + Souls-likeFair
- + MinigamesFair
- + RhythmFair
- + JRPGFair
- + Immersive SimFair
- + SwordplayFair
- + GamblingFair
- + DiplomacyFair
Comparable games
Touhou Genso Wanderer -Reloaded- 2018 · $1.8M 
Touhou Danmaku Kagura Phantasia Lost 2024 · $1.4M 
Leap of Faith 2022 · $761k 
Tales from Toyotoki: Arrival of the Witch (The witch of the Ihanashi) 2022 · $655k 
Black & White 2023 · $275k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Touhou Genso Wanderer -Reloaded- | older | $34.99 | 1,734 93% | 52k | $1.8M (exactly $1,820,180) | AQUASTYLE |
| | Touhou Danmaku Kagura Phantasia Lost | older | $19.99 | 2,266 81% | 68k | $1.4M (exactly $1,358,920) | Alliance Arts, UnknownX |
| | Leap of Faith | older | $10.99 | 2,308 96% | 69k | $761k (exactly $760,948) | DriftyGames |
| | Tales from Toyotoki: Arrival of the Witch (The witch of the Ihanashi) | older | $24.98 | 874 95% | 26k | $655k (exactly $654,976) | Fragaria |
| | Black & White | older | $14.99 | 612 71% | 18k | $275k (exactly $275,216) | 零创游戏(ZerocreationGame) |
 | Working Sakuya | older | $6.99 | 768 96% | 23k | $161k (exactly $161,050) | ぬるぬる坊主 |
 | The Bible | older | $4.99 | 965 87% | 29k | $144k (exactly $144,460) | Bible Games |
 | The Mildew Children | older | $9.99 | 458 92% | 14k | $137k (exactly $137,263) | The Growing Stones |
 | Eden's Ritter - Paladins of Ecstasy | older | $29.99 | 138 84% | 4.1k | $124k (exactly $124,159) | Waffle |
 | 祈風 Inorikaze | older | $10.99 | 369 99% | 11k | $122k (exactly $121,659) | Twilight -日月之境-, 觀象草圖 Astrolabe Draft |
 | Gensokyo：Presumption of Guilt~Pansies Before Dawn | $14.99 | 250 92% | 7.5k | $112k (exactly $112,425) | 戏壤游戏(Xirang Games) | |
 | Sisters in Sin 🔞 | $14.99 | 165 75% | 5.0k | $74k (exactly $74,200) | Lewd Star | |
 | Holy Whore Emily | $11.99 | 182 75% | 5.5k | $65k (exactly $65,465) | Asami | |
 | Daemonologie | $2.99 | 561 92% | 17k | $50k (exactly $50,322) | Katanalevy | |
 | Nursing Back to Pleasure | $9.99 | 66 78% | 2.0k | $20k (exactly $19,780) | Daniels K. | |
 | Sainthood | $9.99 | 50 94% | 1.5k | $15k (exactly $14,985) | Sainthood Project | |
 | 东方裁判梦~Rookie Attorney Legendry | $4.99 | 96 63% | 2.9k | $14k (exactly $14,371) | YEARS | |
 | Irbet Tong | $6.99 | 56 100% | 1.7k | $12k (exactly $11,743) | Kyhynngy Oyuur | |
 | Miss Peacock | $9.99 | 33 96% | 990 | $9.9k (exactly $9,890) | Otter Club | |
 | Luce Spenta | $8.99 | 26 96% | 780 | $7.0k (exactly $7,012) | MrFaabry |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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