Do I ship it?

GamesTurn-Based TacticsTurn-Based Tactics + Faith

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Faith Turn-Based Tactics?

Turn-Based Tactics + Faith

Only 12 developers shipped a Faith Turn-Based Tactics in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Fantasy Maiden Wars - DREAM OF THE STRAY DREAMER -, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 23 more are announced, ×3.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $5.9k, ×9.5 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $2.9k; 1 in 20 cleared $610k, ×973 the market median. Revenue is up 960% on the market; 23 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 9.5 times the market baseline, revenue up 960% on the market, 23 announced, ×3.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Turn-Based Tactics + Faith
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 12
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $5.9k → $272k → $4.2k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Turn-Based Tactics + Faith: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 12
Bottom 30% $2.9k (exactly $2,873)
Median $5.9k (exactly $5,937)
Top 25% $114k (exactly $114,417)
Top 5% $611k (exactly $610,925)
Developers, 2 yr 12
Released games 37
Announced 23
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 960% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 16%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Turn-Based Tactics
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Faith
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Turn-Based Tactics
Price point
$9.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 89% positive over 1,594 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $2.9k, median $5.9k, 1 in 4 over $110k, 1 in 20 over $610k.

3 in 10 developers made under $2.9k. 9 in 10 of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 23 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.8 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Turn-Based Tactics with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + TanksFair24 devs · median $3.0k · 24 announced
  2. + AutomationFair28 devs · median $2.9k · 36 announced
  3. + ProgrammingFair14 devs · median $2.4k · 16 announced
  4. + DiceFair47 devs · median $1.6k · 53 announced
  5. + MiningFair10 devs · median $1.5k · 8 announced
  6. + Time ManagementFair65 devs · median $1.4k · 69 announced
  7. + IdlerFair47 devs · median $1.3k · 48 announced
  8. + Psychological HorrorFair55 devs · median $1.0k · 56 announced
  9. + Traditional RoguelikeFair78 devs · median $629 · 95 announced
  10. + PsychologicalFair34 devs · median $629 · 40 announced
  11. + PuzzleFair263 devs · median $598 · 308 announced
  12. + PlatformerLong shot15 devs · median $360 · 18 announced

All 189 pairs on the Turn-Based Tactics page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Touhou: Lost Branch of Legend · EA older $29.99 2,036 92% 61k $1.8M (exactly $1,831,789) Alioth Studio
Fantasy Maiden Wars - DREAM OF THE STRAY DREAMER - $34.99 582 98% 17k $611k (exactly $610,925) さんぼん堂
LABYRINTH OF TOUHOU - GENSOKYO AND THE HEAVEN-PIERCING TREE older $29.99 363 89% 11k $327k (exactly $326,591) Nise-Eikoku Studio, CUBETYPE
Black & White older $14.99 612 71% 18k $275k (exactly $275,216) 零创游戏(ZerocreationGame)
绯红编年史 ~ Chronicle of Scarlet ~ $12.99 697 88% 21k $272k (exactly $271,621) Charge Piggy Studio
AutoChess of Gensokyo · EA older $15.99 355 67% 11k $170k (exactly $170,294) MyACG Studio
TOUHOU GENSOU MAHJONG $34.99 109 46% 3.3k $114k (exactly $114,417) D.N.A. Softwares
Touhou SouzinengiV -The Genius of Sappheiros- older $24.99 93 90% 2.8k $70k (exactly $69,722) ハチクマソフト
東方幻想魔録W ~ The Devil of Decline older $29.99 49 89% 1.5k $44k (exactly $44,085) ハチクマソフト
Touhou Rinrinki ~ Crafts of the Lucky Beast · EA $9.99 117 92% 3.5k $35k (exactly $35,065) Starcrow Dev
Herogue $14.99 22 95% 660 $9.9k (exactly $9,893) 巴豆肥工作室
Journey of Resurgence · EA $17.99 11 81% 330 $5.9k (exactly $5,937) Stellar Realms Network
GensouKoroKoro $9.99 14 100% 420 $4.2k (exactly $4,196) mitiroom
不思議の大冒険 チルノ見参!2 $9.99 11 90% 330 $3.3k (exactly $3,297) CrossLodge
Emberlands: Desktop Village $3.99 24 83% 720 $2.9k (exactly $2,873) Tiny Roar
Espirito Delusion $6.99 7 100% 210 $1.5k (exactly $1,468) Aura, Flafo

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.