Do I ship it?

Games › JRPG › JRPG + Faith

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Faith JRPG?

JRPG + Faith

Only 14 developers shipped a Faith JRPG in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Fantasy Maiden Wars - DREAM OF THE STRAY DREAMER -, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 14 more are announced, ×2.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $11k, ×17 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $3.0k; 1 in 20 cleared $610k, ×973 the market median. Revenue is up 9705% on the market; 14 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 17.2 times the market baseline, revenue up 9705% on the market, 14 announced, ×2.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
JRPG + Faith
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 14
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $157k → $1.8k → $11k → $3.3k
Outcomes for JRPG + Faith: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 14
Bottom 30% $3.0k (exactly $2,997)
Median $11k (exactly $10,782)
Top 25% $164k (exactly $163,707)
Top 5% $611k (exactly $610,925)
Developers, 2 yr 14
Released games 55
Announced 14
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 9705% on the market, supply 45% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 15%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

JRPG
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Faith
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
JRPG
Price point
$9.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 91% positive over 3,089 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $3.0k, median $11k, 1 in 4 over $160k, 1 in 20 over $610k.

3 in 10 developers made under $3.0k. 8 in 10 of the 11 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 14 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.8 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

JRPG with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FMVStrong odds12 devs · median $54k · 6 announced
  2. + Mystery DungeonStrong odds43 devs · median $21k · 23 announced
  3. + NinjaFair7 devs · median $19k · 10 announced
  4. + RomanceFair153 devs · median $13k · 164 announced
  5. + Visual NovelFair219 devs · median $13k · 265 announced
  6. + ManagementFair37 devs · median $9.4k · 35 announced
  7. + Souls-likeFair31 devs · median $8.6k · 35 announced
  8. + Point & ClickFair41 devs · median $8.4k · 45 announced
  9. + LootFair34 devs · median $5.5k · 41 announced
  10. + RoguelikeFair85 devs · median $5.2k · 103 announced
  11. + 2D PlatformerFair150 devs · median $4.2k · 157 announced
  12. + Artificial IntelligenceFair25 devs · median $4.0k · 21 announced

All 142 pairs on the JRPG page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Touhou Mystia's Izakaya 2021 · $5.3M Touhou: Lost Branch of Legend 2022 · EA · $1.8M Touhou Genso Wanderer -Reloaded- 2018 · $1.8M 永远消失的幻想乡 ～ The Disappearing of Gensokyo 2018 · $997k Fantasy Maiden Wars - DREAM OF THE STRAY DREAMER - 2025 · $611k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Touhou Mystia's Izakaya older $5.99 29,517 98% 886k $5.3M (exactly $5,304,205) 二色幽紫蝶, Re零同人社
Touhou: Lost Branch of Legend · EA older $29.99 2,036 92% 61k $1.8M (exactly $1,831,789) Alioth Studio
Touhou Genso Wanderer -Reloaded- older $34.99 1,734 93% 52k $1.8M (exactly $1,820,180) AQUASTYLE
永远消失的幻想乡 ～ The Disappearing of Gensokyo older $10.99 3,023 83% 91k $997k (exactly $996,683) MyACG Studio
Fantasy Maiden Wars - DREAM OF THE STRAY DREAMER - $34.99 582 98% 17k $611k (exactly $610,925) さんぼん堂
Valkyrie of Phantasm $29.99 556 86% 17k $500k (exactly $500,233) AREAZERO
Touhou Artificial Dream in Arcadia older $9.99 1,157 96% 35k $347k (exactly $346,753) Bar Holographic Otaku
LABYRINTH OF TOUHOU - GENSOKYO AND THE HEAVEN-PIERCING TREE older $29.99 363 89% 11k $327k (exactly $326,591) Nise-Eikoku Studio, CUBETYPE
Black & White older $14.99 612 71% 18k $275k (exactly $275,216) 零创游戏(ZerocreationGame)
绯红编年史 ~ Chronicle of Scarlet ~ $12.99 697 88% 21k $272k (exactly $271,621) Charge Piggy Studio
Touhou Blooming Soul · EA $5.99 911 96% 27k $164k (exactly $163,707) 二色幽紫蝶
Holy Whore Emily $11.99 182 75% 5.5k $65k (exactly $65,465) Asami
Touhou Three Noisy Fairies' Adventure ~ Take it Easy $9.99 65 75% 2.0k $19k (exactly $19,480) 狐狸壶工作室
Touhou: Fearless Frogslayer $5.99 60 95% 1.8k $11k (exactly $10,782) SilvaMemoria
G-MODEアーカイブス+ DIGITAL DEVIL SAGA アバタール・チューナー A's TEST Server完全版 $15.99 15 93% 450 $7.2k (exactly $7,196) G-MODE, ATLUS
不思議の大冒険 チルノ見参！２ $9.99 11 90% 330 $3.3k (exactly $3,297) CrossLodge
Elohim Eternal II: Son of Man $9.99 10 100% 300 $3.0k (exactly $2,997) George Alexandros

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.