Do I ship it?

GamesImmersive SimImmersive Sim + Faith

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Faith Immersive Sim?

Immersive Sim + Faith

Only 17 developers shipped a Faith Immersive Sim in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, SUFFOCATE, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 28 more are announced, ×4.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 8 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $750, ×0.5 the market's $1.5k for a 8 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $300. 28 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.0 per shipper, while revenue is down 50% on the market.

Deciding numbers: median 0.5 times the market baseline, revenue down 50% on the market, 28 announced, ×4.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Immersive Sim + Faith
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 17

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Immersive Sim + Faith: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 17
Bottom 30% $299 (exactly $299)
Median $748 (exactly $748)
Top 25% $3.6k (exactly $3,596)
Top 5% $139k (exactly $138,638)
Developers, 2 yr 17
Released games 33
Announced 28
Effort 8 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $3.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 50% on the market, supply 30% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 18%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Immersive Sim
effort 8 / 10 · low · effort 8 sits in the low band
Faith
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
8 / 10 · online systems, open world
Systems
Immersive Sim; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Simulation, Adventure, Exploration
Price point
$3.99 typical · top 25% priced $9.99 or above
Art
6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Atmospheric, First-Person, Story Rich
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $9.99 or above; the middle game at $3.99.

The top 10 games average 78% positive over 858 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $300, median $750, 1 in 4 over $3.5k, 1 in 20 over $130k.

3 in 10 developers made under $300. 9 in 10 of the 11 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 28 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.0 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Immersive Sim with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FMVStrong odds112 devs · median $63k · 58 announced
  2. + Trading Card GameStrong odds18 devs · median $30k · 13 announced
  3. + MinigamesStrong odds15 devs · median $24k · 11 announced
  4. + WesternStrong odds17 devs · median $4.4k · 14 announced
  5. + BoxingStrong odds16 devs · median $2.7k · 12 announced
  6. + Job SimulatorFair152 devs · median $20k · 180 announced
  7. + Asynchronous MultiplayerFair8 devs · median $17k · 10 announced
  8. + Dating SimFair295 devs · median $13k · 296 announced
  9. + RomanceFair254 devs · median $12k · 266 announced
  10. + LGBTQ+Fair87 devs · median $11k · 93 announced
  11. + Visual NovelFair399 devs · median $7.8k · 453 announced
  12. + Split ScreenFair12 devs · median $6.0k · 14 announced

All 219 pairs on the Immersive Sim page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Leap of Faith older $10.99 2,308 96% 69k $761k (exactly $760,948) DriftyGames
SUFFOCATE $16.99 272 83% 8.2k $139k (exactly $138,638) Naughty Cow
The Unholy Priest $9.99 370 72% 11k $111k (exactly $110,889) Grejuva
Church Simulator $3.99 99 78% 3.0k $12k (exactly $11,850) EY GAMES
The You Testament: The 2D Coming older $2.99 103 90% 3.1k $9.2k (exactly $9,239) MDickie
Plum Blossom Divination older $4.99 46 86% 1.4k $6.9k (exactly $6,886) CSTG-小光
7 Days Shrine $3.99 42 83% 1.3k $5.0k (exactly $5,027) Na2Ka
The Heresy of Gibur $9.99 12 75% 360 $3.6k (exactly $3,596) Paper-Dolls-Game-studio, Towndarktales
YaeiJinja $3.99 30 96% 900 $3.6k (exactly $3,591) Kikka
宽恕我(Show me mercy) $6.99 17 70% 510 $3.6k (exactly $3,565) Evelita Studio
Pocket Oracle $3.99 7 100% 210 $838 (exactly $838) wanme times
Sense of Darkness $4.99 5 60% 150 $748 (exactly $748) Iurii Coseacov
The Lost Sheep $4.99 4 75% 120 $599 (exactly $599) Joan Sabé Martínez

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.