Do I ship it?

GamesImmersive SimImmersive Sim + Escape Room

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Escape Room Immersive Sim?

Immersive Sim + Escape Room

Of 23 developers who shipped an Escape Room Immersive Sim in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 11 more are announced.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 8 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $2.7k, ×1.8 the market's $1.5k for a 8 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $720; 1 in 20 cleared $170k, ×116 the market median. Revenue is down 30% on the market; 11 games are announced against 15 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.8 times the market baseline, revenue down 30% on the market, 11 announced, ×0.7 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Immersive Sim + Escape Room
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 23
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $449 → $23k → $4.7k → $359 → $2.7k (still earning) → $2.1k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Immersive Sim + Escape Room: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 23
Bottom 30% $718 (exactly $718)
Median $2.7k (exactly $2,696)
Top 25% $15k (exactly $14,915)
Top 5% $173k (exactly $173,303)
Developers, 2 yr 23
Released games 46
Announced 11
Effort 8 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 30% on the market, supply 35% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 13%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Immersive Sim
effort 8 / 10 · low · effort 8 sits in the low band
Escape Room
effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
8 / 10 · online systems, open world
Systems
Immersive Sim, Escape Room; 9 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Exploration, Puzzle
Price point
$6.99 typical · top 25% priced $12.99 or above
Art
6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Atmospheric, Realistic, First-Person
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $12.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.

The top 10 games average 91% positive over 3,117 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $720, median $2.7k, 1 in 4 over $14k, 1 in 20 over $170k.

3 in 10 developers made under $720. 8 in 10 of the 13 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 11 games are announced against 15 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Immersive Sim with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FMVStrong odds112 devs · median $63k · 58 announced
  2. + Trading Card GameStrong odds18 devs · median $30k · 13 announced
  3. + MinigamesStrong odds15 devs · median $24k · 11 announced
  4. + WesternStrong odds17 devs · median $4.4k · 14 announced
  5. + BoxingStrong odds16 devs · median $2.7k · 12 announced
  6. + Job SimulatorFair152 devs · median $20k · 180 announced
  7. + Asynchronous MultiplayerFair8 devs · median $17k · 10 announced
  8. + Dating SimFair295 devs · median $13k · 296 announced
  9. + RomanceFair254 devs · median $12k · 266 announced
  10. + LGBTQ+Fair87 devs · median $11k · 93 announced
  11. + Visual NovelFair399 devs · median $7.8k · 453 announced
  12. + Split ScreenFair12 devs · median $6.0k · 14 announced

All 219 pairs on the Immersive Sim page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Together: Moon Escape $9.99 868 90% 26k $260k (exactly $260,140) CarlosGameDev
Liminalcore $7.99 723 83% 22k $173k (exactly $173,303) Shadow Owl Studios, Ashen Studios
CAPTURED 2 $7.99 564 99% 17k $135k (exactly $135,191) Puck Redflix
Mad Experiments: Escape Room older $14.99 297 69% 8.9k $134k (exactly $133,561) PlayTogether Studio
CAPTURED $6.45 627 95% 19k $121k (exactly $121,324) Puck Redflix
My Fav Chill Streamer Dies a Million Times|ゆるゆる生配信する推しは100万回死ぬ $34.99 114 92% 3.4k $120k (exactly $119,666) VELUX STUDIO
Egression older $19.99 124 95% 3.7k $74k (exactly $74,363) Hyperquad Studio
The Devil is in the Details $12.99 58 98% 1.7k $23k (exactly $22,603) HideWorks
Hotel 188 $5.99 83 89% 2.5k $15k (exactly $14,915) Leonn Camayo
Stocksynd House older $7.99 53 83% 1.6k $13k (exactly $12,704) CyberFlux Games, Gabro Media
The Riese Project · EA $14.99 21 76% 630 $9.4k (exactly $9,444) MasashigeDev
Project Breakout $9.99 26 65% 780 $7.8k (exactly $7,792) maxkerpen
Liminal Department $4.99 33 84% 990 $4.9k (exactly $4,940) Digital Star Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.