Do I ship it?

GamesTurn-Based TacticsTurn-Based Tactics + Dystopian

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Dystopian Turn-Based Tactics?

Turn-Based Tactics + Dystopian

Of 38 developers who shipped a Dystopian Turn-Based Tactics in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 93 more are announced, ×4.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.2k, ×1.9 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $300; 1 in 20 cleared $800k, ×1276 the market median. Revenue is down 95% on the market; 93 games are announced against 22 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.9 times the market baseline, revenue down 95% on the market, 93 announced, ×4.2 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Turn-Based Tactics + Dystopian
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 38
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.5M → $163k → $2.2k → $13k → $37k → $1.5k → $300 (still earning) → $1.2k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Turn-Based Tactics + Dystopian: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 38
Bottom 30% $299 (exactly $299)
Median $1.2k (exactly $1,199)
Top 25% $37k (exactly $36,582)
Top 5% $801k (exactly $801,199)
Developers, 2 yr 38
Released games 102
Announced 93
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 95% on the market, supply 40% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 20%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Turn-Based Tactics
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Dystopian
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Turn-Based Tactics; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Strategy, Turn-Based Strategy, Adventure
Price point
$9.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Story Rich
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 87% positive over 10,454 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $300, median $1.2k, 1 in 4 over $36k, 1 in 20 over $800k.

3 in 10 developers made under $300. 7 in 10 of the 18 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 93 games are announced against 22 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.2 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Turn-Based Tactics with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + TanksFair24 devs · median $3.0k · 24 announced
  2. + AutomationFair28 devs · median $2.9k · 36 announced
  3. + ProgrammingFair14 devs · median $2.4k · 16 announced
  4. + DiceFair47 devs · median $1.6k · 53 announced
  5. + MiningFair10 devs · median $1.5k · 8 announced
  6. + Time ManagementFair65 devs · median $1.4k · 69 announced
  7. + IdlerFair47 devs · median $1.3k · 48 announced
  8. + Psychological HorrorFair55 devs · median $1.0k · 56 announced
  9. + Traditional RoguelikeFair78 devs · median $629 · 95 announced
  10. + PsychologicalFair34 devs · median $629 · 40 announced
  11. + PuzzleFair263 devs · median $598 · 308 announced
  12. + PlatformerLong shot15 devs · median $360 · 18 announced

All 189 pairs on the Turn-Based Tactics page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
The Hundred Line -Last Defense Academy- $59.99 6,893 88% 207k $12M (exactly $12,405,332) Too Kyo Games, Media.Vision Inc.
Colony Ship: A Post-Earth Role Playing Game older $39.99 4,087 87% 123k $4.9M (exactly $4,903,174) Iron Tower Studio
Miasma Chronicles older $34.99 2,013 79% 60k $2.1M (exactly $2,113,046) The Bearded Ladies
Showgunners older $29.99 1,642 93% 49k $1.5M (exactly $1,477,307) Artificer
As We Descend · EA $19.99 1,336 86% 40k $801k (exactly $801,199) Box Dragon
Capes older $39.99 446 67% 13k $535k (exactly $535,066) Spitfire Interactive
Jack Move older $19.99 813 80% 24k $488k (exactly $487,556) So Romantic
Chains of Freedom $24.99 520 80% 16k $390k (exactly $389,844) Nordcurrent
Vultures - Scavengers of Death $17.99 532 81% 16k $287k (exactly $287,120) Team Vultures
Black & White older $14.99 612 71% 18k $275k (exactly $275,216) 零创游戏(ZerocreationGame)
Shambles: Sons of Apocalypse $19.99 340 77% 10k $204k (exactly $203,898) EXLIX
Deified · EA $14.99 281 96% 8.4k $126k (exactly $126,366) Unexpected
Entropy · EA $11.99 293 94% 8.8k $105k (exactly $105,392) Lovely Hellplace
Vampire Syndicate: Gangs of MoonFall · EA $19.99 111 71% 3.3k $67k (exactly $66,567) A Memory of Eternity
Tarnished Blood 🩸 [Tactic RPG] · EA $19.99 87 88% 2.6k $52k (exactly $52,174) Juggler Games, Nakayama Games
Vanguard Exiles · EA $19.99 61 81% 1.8k $37k (exactly $36,582) The Tea Division

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.