Do I ship it?

GamesTurn-Based TacticsTurn-Based Tactics + Dynamic Narration

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Dynamic Narration Turn-Based Tactics?

Turn-Based Tactics + Dynamic Narration

Only 11 developers shipped a Dynamic Narration Turn-Based Tactics in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Dustgrave: A Sandbox RPG, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 22 more are announced, ×3.1 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $360, ×0.6 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $50. 22 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.1 per shipper, while revenue is down 100% on the market.

Deciding numbers: median 0.6 times the market baseline, revenue down 100% on the market, 22 announced, ×3.1 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Turn-Based Tactics + Dynamic Narration
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 11
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $124k → $24k → $1.8k → $359 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Turn-Based Tactics + Dynamic Narration: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 11
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $359 (exactly $359)
Top 25% $1.8k (exactly $1,798)
Top 5% $62k (exactly $62,012)
Developers, 2 yr 11
Released games 28
Announced 22
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 75% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 11%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Turn-Based Tactics
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Dynamic Narration
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Turn-Based Tactics, Dynamic Narration
Price point
$9.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 7 games average 77% positive over 131 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $360, 1 in 4 over $1.7k, 1 in 20 over $62k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. All of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 22 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.1 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Turn-Based Tactics with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + TanksFair24 devs · median $3.0k · 24 announced
  2. + AutomationFair28 devs · median $2.9k · 36 announced
  3. + ProgrammingFair14 devs · median $2.4k · 16 announced
  4. + DiceFair47 devs · median $1.6k · 53 announced
  5. + MiningFair10 devs · median $1.5k · 8 announced
  6. + Time ManagementFair65 devs · median $1.4k · 69 announced
  7. + IdlerFair47 devs · median $1.3k · 48 announced
  8. + Psychological HorrorFair55 devs · median $1.0k · 56 announced
  9. + Traditional RoguelikeFair78 devs · median $629 · 95 announced
  10. + PsychologicalFair34 devs · median $629 · 40 announced
  11. + PuzzleFair263 devs · median $598 · 308 announced
  12. + PlatformerLong shot15 devs · median $360 · 18 announced

All 189 pairs on the Turn-Based Tactics page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Invincible Presents: Atom Eve older $9.99 550 96% 17k $165k (exactly $164,835) Terrible Posture Games
AETHERIS older $24.99 166 75% 5.0k $124k (exactly $124,450) WILD WITS
Dustgrave: A Sandbox RPG · EA $21.99 94 71% 2.8k $62k (exactly $62,012) Innervoid Interactive
Heroes of Three Kingdoms · EA older $9.99 190 49% 5.7k $57k (exactly $56,943) Wuwei
Supercow older $7.99 183 97% 5.5k $44k (exactly $43,865) Nevosoft
Once Upon a Rogue's Tale · EA older $12.49 65 92% 2.0k $24k (exactly $24,356) PolyPirates UG, Lizard Child
The Trasamire Campaigns older $12.99 20 70% 600 $7.8k (exactly $7,794) Gemcutter Games
Ceaseless Night older $14.99 13 76% 390 $5.8k (exactly $5,846) JABDP Studio
Neverspring Chronicles $7.99 21 95% 630 $5.0k (exactly $5,034) Durance Gaming
PAGO FOREST: DRAGON'S REVENGE older $5.99 24 100% 720 $4.3k (exactly $4,313) Futurtech
Cataclysm Wars $9.99 6 100% 180 $1.8k (exactly $1,798) Chicken Cabal Games
Null State $9.99 4 100% 120 $1.2k (exactly $1,199) Triple Eye Games
SIM Election USA $10.99 3 66% 90 $989 (exactly $989) SunsixStudios
Intermundia: Dungeons, Polygons & Magic · EA $5.99 2 50% 60 $359 (exactly $359) Trinity Team, Excaliber
Endless Roll $3.49 1 100% 30 $105 (exactly $105) Hermit Hollow
Chaos of Destiny Remake · EA $19.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Klayerama
Gully Champ $9.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Studio Innovate Private Limited
Absolutes Akestas Tournament $19.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) KingS001

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.