Games › Visual Novel › Visual Novel + Dragons
Should I ship a Dragon Visual Novel?
Visual Novel + Dragons
Of 38 developers who shipped a Dragon Visual Novel in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 38 more are announced.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $1.4k, ×2.3 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $50; 1 in 20 cleared $630k, ×1005 the market median. Revenue is down 85% on the market; 38 games are announced against 23 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $0 (exactly $0) |
|---|---|
| Median | $1.4k (exactly $1,433) |
| Top 25% | $6.5k (exactly $6,472) |
| Top 5% | $631k (exactly $631,042) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 38 |
| Released games | 95 |
| Announced | 38 |
| Effort | 5 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $9.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 85% on the market, supply 45% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 5%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Visual Novel
- effort 2 / 10 · high · script, choices and static art
- Dragons
- effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
- Systems
- Visual Novel; 3 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Point & Click, Exploration
- Price point
- $9.99 typical · top 25% priced $17.99 or above
- Art
- 6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Anime, Cute
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $17.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.
The top 10 games average 90% positive over 3,147 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $50. 8 in 10 of the 16 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 38 games are announced against 23 developers who shipped in the last year.
Adjacent niches
Visual Novel with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + FMVStrong odds
- + City BuilderStrong odds
- + MusicStrong odds
- + TrainsStrong odds
- + Souls-likeFair
- + MinigamesFair
- + RhythmFair
- + JRPGFair
- + Immersive SimFair
- + SwordplayFair
- + GamblingFair
- + DiplomacyFair
Comparable games
Storyteller 2023 · $3.7M 
Knights College 2021 · $1.6M 
The Nameless: Slay Dragon 2024 · $1.1M 
Amerzone - The Explorer's Legacy 2025 · $631k 
Golden Treasure: The Great Green 2019 · $545k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Storyteller | older | $14.99 | 8,169 88% | 245k | $3.7M (exactly $3,673,599) | Daniel Benmergui |
| | Knights College | older | $24.99 | 2,088 96% | 63k | $1.6M (exactly $1,565,374) | KAIJYU-09 |
| | The Nameless: Slay Dragon | $17.99 | 2,050 91% | 62k | $1.1M (exactly $1,106,385) | The Nameless Epic | |
| | Amerzone - The Explorer's Legacy | $39.99 | 526 90% | 16k | $631k (exactly $631,042) | Microids Studio Paris | |
| | Golden Treasure: The Great Green | older | $19.99 | 909 95% | 27k | $545k (exactly $545,127) | Dreaming Door Studios |
 | Ravager | · EA older | $19.99 | 909 93% | 27k | $545k (exactly $545,127) | 4MinuteWarning |
 | Angels with Scaly Wings™ / 鱗羽の天使 | older | $9.99 | 1,533 96% | 46k | $459k (exactly $459,440) | Radical Phi |
 | VenusBlood HOLLOW International | older | $44.99 | 287 96% | 8.6k | $387k (exactly $387,364) | Ninetail, Dualtail |
 | Sex and the Furry Titty | older | $6.99 | 996 90% | 30k | $209k (exactly $208,861) | Furlough Games |
 | Changeling Tale | older | $19.99 | 218 98% | 6.5k | $131k (exactly $130,735) | Helmet Fox |
 | PROJEKT GODHAND | $15.80 | 158 96% | 4.7k | $75k (exactly $74,892) | Anarch Entertainment | |
 | Six Legends | $14.99 | 87 100% | 2.6k | $39k (exactly $39,124) | Vincent Paquin | |
 | Kingdom of Lust | · EA | $12.99 | 62 64% | 1.9k | $24k (exactly $24,161) | Alienguy |
 | Spellbound Beauties | $6.99 | 72 83% | 2.2k | $15k (exactly $15,098) | Lunar Kiss Games | |
 | Dragon Detective: A Friend from the Shadows | $9.99 | 49 97% | 1.5k | $15k (exactly $14,685) | Sungazer Software LLC | |
 | Chronicles of Delights: Isekai Adventure | $2.99 | 104 75% | 3.1k | $9.3k (exactly $9,329) | aquma | |
 | Welcome to Cafe Lumière! ~A Dragon Girl Concept Cafe~ | $19.99 | 12 100% | 360 | $7.2k (exactly $7,196) | Cuteuphoria | |
 | Love the Guard, Be the King - A Visual Novel | $7.99 | 27 100% | 810 | $6.5k (exactly $6,472) | Ligia Nunes |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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