Games › Procedural Generation › Procedural Generation + Dragons
Should I ship a Dragon Procedural Generation game?
Procedural Generation + Dragons
Only 17 developers shipped a Dragon Procedural Generation game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Mind Over Magic, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 35 more are announced, ×2.9 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $1.9k, ×3.1 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $900; 1 in 20 cleared $3.2M, ×5150 the market median. Revenue is down 45% on the market; 35 games are announced against 12 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $899 (exactly $899) |
|---|---|
| Median | $1.9k (exactly $1,918) |
| Top 25% | $8.4k (exactly $8,392) |
| Top 5% | $3.2M (exactly $3,234,206) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 17 |
| Released games | 53 |
| Announced | 35 |
| Effort | 5 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $7.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 45% on the market, supply 140% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 8%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Procedural Generation
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
- Dragons
- effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
- Systems
- Procedural Generation; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Base Building, Strategy
- Price point
- $7.99 typical · top 25% priced $24.99 or above
- Art
- 5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Pixel Graphics
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.
The top 10 games average 86% positive over 4,631 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $900. 7 in 10 of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 35 games are announced against 12 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.9 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Procedural Generation with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + SnowFair
- + Traditional RoguelikeFair
- + DetectiveFair
- + Word GameFair
- + TypingFair
- + IdlerFair
- + LogicFair
- + Walking SimulatorFair
- + Precision PlatformerFair
- + Hidden ObjectFair
- + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds
- + TrainsPoor odds
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Dungeon Alchemist | · EA older | $44.99 | 2,666 94% | 80k | $3.6M (exactly $3,598,300) | Briganti |
| | Mind Over Magic | $24.99 | 4,314 86% | 129k | $3.2M (exactly $3,234,206) | Sparkypants | |
| | Slice & Dice | older | $8.99 | 2,484 96% | 75k | $670k (exactly $669,935) | Tann |
| | FlowScape | older | $14.99 | 1,230 84% | 37k | $553k (exactly $553,131) | Pixel Forest Games |
| | Pathfinder: Gallowspire Survivors | older | $6.99 | 559 59% | 17k | $117k (exactly $117,222) | BKOM Studios |
| | The Dragoness: Command of the Flame | older | $19.99 | 134 67% | 4.0k | $80k (exactly $80,360) | Crazy Goat Games |
| | Rogue | older | $2.99 | 498 94% | 15k | $45k (exactly $44,671) | Epyx, Inc. |
| | Choice Chamber | older | $9.99 | 123 89% | 3.7k | $37k (exactly $36,863) | Studio Bean |
| | Dragon Extinction | · EA older | $14.99 | 80 77% | 2.4k | $36k (exactly $35,976) | Xefier Games Inc. |
| | Dragon Front: Adventures | $19.99 | 58 89% | 1.7k | $35k (exactly $34,783) | High Voltage Software, Inc. | |
| | Black Dragon Mage | · EA | $5.99 | 140 70% | 4.2k | $25k (exactly $25,158) | datablob |
| | Demiurges | $14.99 | 36 88% | 1.1k | $16k (exactly $16,189) | Berih | |
| | Rustic Defense | $9.99 | 28 96% | 840 | $8.4k (exactly $8,392) | Lasot Interactive | |
| | Wilderless: Meadowfell | $7.99 | 25 84% | 750 | $6.0k (exactly $5,992) | Protopop | |
| | Pawful Dice | $14.99 | 8 100% | 240 | $3.6k (exactly $3,598) | Anomalie Studio | |
| | Boundless AI Fantasy | $9.99 | 8 87% | 240 | $2.4k (exactly $2,398) | João Vitor Andrioli de Souza | |
| | Dragonwake | $7.99 | 8 62% | 240 | $1.9k (exactly $1,918) | Mr Crops | |
| | Dungeon World | $6.99 | 6 83% | 180 | $1.3k (exactly $1,258) | FBRZD |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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