Do I ship it?

GamesProcedural GenerationProcedural Generation + Dinosaurs

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Dinosaur Procedural Generation game?

Procedural Generation + Dinosaurs

Only 5 developers shipped a Dinosaur Procedural Generation game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Dino Path Trail, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 10 more are announced, ×2.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 6 / 10 build.

Only 4 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $9.3k against a market of $630. 10 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 14.8 times the market baseline, revenue too few recent games to read momentum, 10 announced, ×2.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Procedural Generation + Dinosaurs
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 5

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Procedural Generation + Dinosaurs: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 5
Bottom 30% $6.0k (exactly $5,994)
Median $9.3k (exactly $9,281)
Top 25% $16k (exactly $16,189)
Top 5% $89k (exactly $88,591)
Developers, 2 yr 5
Released games 25
Announced 10
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 300% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 16%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Procedural Generation
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Dinosaurs
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Procedural Generation
Price point
$9.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 90% positive over 11,677 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $6.0k, median $9.3k, 1 in 4 over $16k, 1 in 20 over $88k.

3 in 10 developers made under $6.0k. 10 games are announced against 4 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.5 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Procedural Generation with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + SnowFair11 devs · median $3.0k · 16 announced
  2. + Traditional RoguelikeFair71 devs · median $2.0k · 93 announced
  3. + DetectiveFair29 devs · median $1.5k · 30 announced
  4. + Word GameFair22 devs · median $1.3k · 23 announced
  5. + TypingFair26 devs · median $1.1k · 11 announced
  6. + IdlerFair98 devs · median $807 · 107 announced
  7. + LogicFair137 devs · median $478 · 149 announced
  8. + Walking SimulatorFair57 devs · median $449 · 62 announced
  9. + Precision PlatformerFair49 devs · median $449 · 42 announced
  10. + Hidden ObjectFair58 devs · median $418 · 56 announced
  11. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds31 devs · median $77k · 95 announced
  12. + TrainsPoor odds22 devs · median $30k · 35 announced

All 222 pairs on the Procedural Generation page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Curious Expedition 2 older $19.99 3,861 88% 116k $2.3M (exactly $2,315,442) Maschinen-Mensch
Curious Expedition older $14.99 3,951 91% 119k $1.8M (exactly $1,776,765) Maschinen-Mensch
The Sapling · EA older $17.99 1,922 89% 58k $1.0M (exactly $1,037,303) Wessel Stoop
Dino Run DX older $5.99 1,124 95% 34k $202k (exactly $201,983) Pixeljam
Six Ages 2: Lights Going Out older $24.99 165 96% 5.0k $124k (exactly $123,700) A Sharp
Fossil Corner older $9.99 330 98% 9.9k $99k (exactly $98,901) Brady Soglin
Dino Path Trail $14.99 197 76% 5.9k $89k (exactly $88,591) Void Pointer
Demiurges $14.99 36 88% 1.1k $16k (exactly $16,189) Berih
CorgiSpace $4.99 62 96% 1.9k $9.3k (exactly $9,281) Adam Saltsman
The Feathered Serpent older $9.99 29 96% 870 $8.7k (exactly $8,691) Matthew Young
Never Ending Beyond $9.99 20 80% 600 $6.0k (exactly $5,994) One More Dream Studios
Eon of Life $1.99 8 87% 240 $478 (exactly $478) PaleoEvo Games, Miguel Andújar Navarro

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.