Do I ship it?

GamesPlatformerPlatformer + Dinosaurs

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Dinosaur Platformer?

Platformer + Dinosaurs

Only 19 developers shipped a Dinosaur Platformer in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Primal Planet, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 22 more are announced, ×2.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $600, level with the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $89; 1 in 20 cleared $370k, ×601 the market median. Revenue is down 15% on the market; 22 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.0 times the market baseline, revenue down 15% on the market, 22 announced, ×2.4 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Platformer + Dinosaurs
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 19
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $299 → $2.3k → $599 → $748 → $89 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Platformer + Dinosaurs: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 19
Bottom 30% $89 (exactly $89)
Median $599 (exactly $599)
Top 25% $1.5k (exactly $1,498)
Top 5% $377k (exactly $377,211)
Developers, 2 yr 19
Released games 75
Announced 22
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 15% on the market, supply 10% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 17%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Platformer
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Dinosaurs
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Platformer; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry 2D Platformer, Action, Adventure
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $11.99 or above
Art
6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Pixel Graphics, Colorful
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $11.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 86% positive over 959 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $89, median $600, 1 in 4 over $1.4k, 1 in 20 over $370k.

3 in 10 developers made under $89. 9 in 10 of the 11 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 22 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.4 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Platformer with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Dating SimStrong odds19 devs · median $3.0k · 15 announced
  2. + PinballStrong odds10 devs · median $2.5k · 6 announced
  3. + Combat RacingFair28 devs · median $899 · 38 announced
  4. + FMVFair9 devs · median $899 · 10 announced
  5. + SimulationFair281 devs · median $628 · 235 announced
  6. + Grid-Based MovementFair23 devs · median $539 · 18 announced
  7. + AutomationFair13 devs · median $449 · 16 announced
  8. + Turn-Based TacticsLong shot15 devs · median $360 · 18 announced
  9. + LGBTQ+Poor odds42 devs · median $7.2k · 90 announced
  10. + Co-op CampaignPoor odds32 devs · median $6.5k · 90 announced
  11. + JRPGPoor odds14 devs · median $5.8k · 38 announced
  12. + SkateboardingPoor odds14 devs · median $4.8k · 23 announced

All 206 pairs on the Platformer page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Turok older $19.99 3,377 93% 101k $2.0M (exactly $2,025,187) Iguana Entertainment, Nightdive Studios
Tomb Raider: Anniversary older $8.99 6,644 81% 199k $1.8M (exactly $1,791,887) Crystal Dynamics
Tomb Raider I (1996) older $6.99 4,039 85% 121k $847k (exactly $846,978) Core Design
Primal Planet $19.99 629 88% 19k $377k (exactly $377,211) Seethingswarm
Super Time Force Ultra older $14.99 677 90% 20k $304k (exactly $304,447) Capybara Games
Dino Run DX older $5.99 1,124 95% 34k $202k (exactly $201,983) Pixeljam
Dewdrop Dynasty $11.99 233 78% 7.0k $84k (exactly $83,810) Goodgis
JumpJet Rex older $9.99 248 91% 7.4k $74k (exactly $74,326) TreeFortress Games
Little Orpheus older $4.99 393 67% 12k $59k (exactly $58,832) The Chinese Room
New Joe & Mac - Caveman Ninja older $24.99 78 55% 2.3k $58k (exactly $58,477) Mr. Nutz Studio
Dino Quake $7.99 54 100% 1.6k $13k (exactly $12,944) Neutronized
Dinopunk: the Cacops adventure $7.99 18 94% 540 $4.3k (exactly $4,315) The Dude Games
Roxy Raccoon 3: Troubles in Time $9.99 5 100% 150 $1.5k (exactly $1,498) Sinomod Studios
Dinosaur Cousin Squad $12.99 3 100% 90 $1.2k (exactly $1,169) Stegalosaurus Game Development
Neanderthallica $7.99 4 100% 120 $959 (exactly $959) Cheers LLC
Akimbo: Kung-Fu Hero $7.99 4 100% 120 $959 (exactly $959) Iridon Interactive AB
DREAM WAVE'84 $4.99 5 100% 150 $748 (exactly $748) John Pfeifer
Anzu $4.99 4 25% 120 $599 (exactly $599) Was Running Studio

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.