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Should I ship a Destruction Immersive Sim?
Immersive Sim + Destruction
Of 30 developers who shipped a Destruction Immersive Sim in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 75 more are announced, ×3.6 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 8 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $1.6k, level with the market's $1.5k for a 8 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $900; 1 in 20 cleared $820k, ×550 the market median. Revenue is up 50% on the market; 75 games are announced against 21 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $899 (exactly $899) |
|---|---|
| Median | $1.6k (exactly $1,559) |
| Top 25% | $20k (exactly $19,780) |
| Top 5% | $824k (exactly $823,988) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 30 |
| Released games | 102 |
| Announced | 75 |
| Effort | 8 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $9.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 50% on the market, supply 110% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 15%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Immersive Sim
- effort 8 / 10 · low · effort 8 sits in the low band
- Destruction
- effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 8 / 10 · online systems, open world
- Systems
- Immersive Sim, Destruction; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Simulation, Building, Physics
- Price point
- $9.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
- Art
- 6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Realistic, First-Person
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.
The top 10 games average 75% positive over 16,296 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $900. 6 in 10 of the 11 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 75 games are announced against 21 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.6 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Immersive Sim with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + FMVStrong odds
- + Trading Card GameStrong odds
- + MinigamesStrong odds
- + WesternStrong odds
- + BoxingStrong odds
- + Job SimulatorFair
- + Asynchronous MultiplayerFair
- + Dating SimFair
- + RomanceFair
- + LGBTQ+Fair
- + Visual NovelFair
- + Split ScreenFair
Comparable games
Universe Sandbox 2015 · EA · $25M 
Contraband Police 2023 · $22M 
RoadCraft 2025 · $16M 
Gunner, HEAT, PC! 2022 · EA · $6.8M 
OUTBRK 2024 · EA · $3.4M | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Universe Sandbox | · EA older | $29.99 | 27,843 96% | 835k | $25M (exactly $25,050,347) | Giant Army |
| | Contraband Police | older | $29.99 | 24,882 95% | 746k | $22M (exactly $22,386,335) | Crazy Rocks |
| | RoadCraft | $39.99 | 13,527 74% | 406k | $16M (exactly $16,228,342) | Saber Interactive | |
| | Gunner, HEAT, PC! | · EA older | $29.99 | 7,603 91% | 228k | $6.8M (exactly $6,840,419) | Radian Simulations LLC |
| | OUTBRK | · EA older | $34.99 | 3,221 82% | 97k | $3.4M (exactly $3,381,084) | Sublime |
 | Electrician Simulator | older | $17.99 | 4,061 80% | 122k | $2.2M (exactly $2,191,722) | Take IT Studio! |
 | Hotel Renovator | older | $24.99 | 2,223 77% | 67k | $1.7M (exactly $1,666,583) | Two Horizons |
 | House Builder | older | $19.99 | 2,194 79% | 66k | $1.3M (exactly $1,315,742) | FreeMind S.A. |
 | Warbox | · EA older | $9.99 | 3,430 55% | 103k | $1.0M (exactly $1,027,971) | Mantaliss |
 | Builder Simulator | older | $19.99 | 1,637 72% | 49k | $982k (exactly $981,709) | Live Motion Games, Frozen Way |
 | Deconstruction Simulator | $19.99 | 1,374 74% | 41k | $824k (exactly $823,988) | Games Incubator, Hypnotic Ants | |
 | Smash Hit Museum | $6.99 | 507 85% | 15k | $106k (exactly $106,318) | InIt Games | |
 | Junkyard Builder | $14.99 | 223 70% | 6.7k | $100k (exactly $100,283) | FreeMind S.A. | |
 | Rock Crusher | $6.99 | 352 84% | 11k | $74k (exactly $73,814) | Mini Fun Games | |
 | Good Kill! | · EA | $13.99 | 104 68% | 3.1k | $44k (exactly $43,649) | gamegine |
 | Medieval Machines Builder | $11.99 | 99 77% | 3.0k | $36k (exactly $35,610) | FreeMind S.A., Solverto | |
 | The Dream Office | $9.99 | 66 86% | 2.0k | $20k (exactly $19,780) | BEPLAYER, Nesalis Games | |
 | Flip My Room: Makeover | $12.99 | 27 70% | 810 | $11k (exactly $10,522) | CGI LAB GmbH | |
 | The Core | · EA | $19.99 | 17 70% | 510 | $10k (exactly $10,195) | Electric Machine Games |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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