Do I ship it?

GamesDesktop CompanionDesktop Companion + Fantasy

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Fantasy Desktop Companion?

Desktop Companion + Fantasy

Of 20 developers who shipped a Fantasy Desktop Companion in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 51 more are announced, ×3.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $2.9k, ×6.0 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $450; 1 in 20 cleared $690k, ×1460 the market median. Revenue is up 1630% on the market; 51 games are announced against 17 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 6.0 times the market baseline, revenue up 1630% on the market, 51 announced, ×3.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Desktop Companion + Fantasy
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 20
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $298 → $31k (still earning) → $1.7k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Desktop Companion + Fantasy: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 20
Bottom 30% $449 (exactly $449)
Median $2.9k (exactly $2,873)
Top 25% $19k (exactly $18,793)
Top 5% $693k (exactly $693,359)
Developers, 2 yr 20
Released games 25
Announced 51
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 1630% on the market, supply 465% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 16%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Desktop Companion
effort 1 / 10 · high · effort 1 sits in the high band
Fantasy
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Desktop Companion; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Idler, Incremental, RPG
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $10.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Pixel Graphics, Anime
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $10.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 85% positive over 5,958 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $450, median $2.9k, 1 in 4 over $18k, 1 in 20 over $690k.

3 in 10 developers made under $450. 51 games are announced against 17 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.0 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Desktop Companion with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + AnimalsFair22 devs · median $5.6k · 38 announced
  2. + CatsPoor odds20 devs · median $21k · 35 announced
  3. + BuildingPoor odds27 devs · median $20k · 28 announced
  4. + CollectathonPoor odds30 devs · median $6.6k · 45 announced
  5. + Point & ClickPoor odds29 devs · median $5.9k · 34 announced
  6. + Creature CollectorPoor odds63 devs · median $5.6k · 72 announced
  7. + ManagementPoor odds57 devs · median $5.6k · 75 announced
  8. + EconomyPoor odds32 devs · median $4.9k · 37 announced
  9. + RPGPoor odds21 devs · median $4.9k · 55 announced
  10. + Character CustomizationPoor odds44 devs · median $4.5k · 91 announced
  11. + Female ProtagonistPoor odds21 devs · median $4.5k · 24 announced
  12. + Resource ManagementPoor odds50 devs · median $3.7k · 81 announced

All 21 pairs on the Desktop Companion page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Ithya: Magic Studies $10.99 2,103 97% 63k $693k (exactly $693,359) BlueTurtle
Crusaders Quest : Hero Town $6.99 2,564 76% 77k $538k (exactly $537,671) CQ LABS
Desktop Raid $8.99 672 76% 20k $181k (exactly $181,238) Lee_Studio
NejicomiSimulator Vol.5 older $12.99 80 83% 2.4k $31k (exactly $31,176) やぶから堂, たまぷろじぇくと
Book of Fei $2.99 347 93% 10k $31k (exactly $31,126) TAO Studio
Hocus Focus $10.99 57 91% 1.7k $19k (exactly $18,793) Stuck In Attic
Goblin Attack $3.99 73 76% 2.2k $8.7k (exactly $8,738) BODOS
Deadline Savior · EA $4.99 56 96% 1.7k $8.4k (exactly $8,383) Cointinue Games
Tiny Monster Haven $7.99 25 100% 750 $6.0k (exactly $5,992) Digging Dino
Peckers $4.99 37 97% 1.1k $5.5k (exactly $5,539) Humblebright Studio
Boil Cabbage Make Soup $3.99 24 100% 720 $2.9k (exactly $2,873) Valorware

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.