Do I ship it?

GamesDesktop CompanionDesktop Companion + Female Protagonist

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Female-Led Desktop Companion?

Desktop Companion + Female Protagonist

Of 21 developers who shipped a Female-Led Desktop Companion in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 24 more are announced.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 3 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $4.5k, ×9.5 the market's $480 for a 3 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $1.1k; 1 in 20 cleared $270k, ×582 the market median. Revenue is down 95% on the market; 24 games are announced against 16 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 9.5 times the market baseline, revenue down 95% on the market, 24 announced, ×1.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Desktop Companion + Female Protagonist
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 21
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $251k → $2.9k → $7.4k (still earning) → $3.1k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Desktop Companion + Female Protagonist: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 21
Bottom 30% $1.0k (exactly $1,048)
Median $4.5k (exactly $4,496)
Top 25% $19k (exactly $18,793)
Top 5% $276k (exactly $276,418)
Developers, 2 yr 21
Released games 25
Announced 24
Effort 3 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $1.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 95% on the market, supply 220% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 8%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Desktop Companion
effort 1 / 10 · high · effort 1 sits in the high band
Female Protagonist
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
Systems
Desktop Companion; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Character Customization, Dating Sim, Idler
Price point
$1.99 typical · top 25% priced $1.99 or above
Art
8 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Relaxing, Anime, Cute
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $1.99 or above; the middle game at $1.99.

The top 10 games average 93% positive over 24,047 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $1.1k, median $4.5k, 1 in 4 over $18k, 1 in 20 over $270k.

3 in 10 developers made under $1.1k. 4 in 10 of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 24 games are announced against 16 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Desktop Companion with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + AnimalsFair22 devs · median $5.6k · 38 announced
  2. + CatsPoor odds20 devs · median $21k · 35 announced
  3. + BuildingPoor odds27 devs · median $20k · 28 announced
  4. + CollectathonPoor odds30 devs · median $6.6k · 45 announced
  5. + Point & ClickPoor odds29 devs · median $5.9k · 34 announced
  6. + Creature CollectorPoor odds63 devs · median $5.6k · 72 announced
  7. + ManagementPoor odds57 devs · median $5.6k · 75 announced
  8. + EconomyPoor odds32 devs · median $4.9k · 37 announced
  9. + RPGPoor odds21 devs · median $4.9k · 55 announced
  10. + Character CustomizationPoor odds44 devs · median $4.5k · 91 announced
  11. + Resource ManagementPoor odds50 devs · median $3.7k · 81 announced
  12. + NaturePoor odds46 devs · median $3.7k · 36 announced

All 21 pairs on the Desktop Companion page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Ithya: Magic Studies $10.99 2,103 97% 63k $693k (exactly $693,359) BlueTurtle
your wife $0.99 9,307 95% 279k $276k (exactly $276,418) HaHaHaGame
Your Mother $0.99 8,436 92% 253k $251k (exactly $250,549) M for Mother
The NOexistenceN of Lilith $1.99 2,162 98% 65k $129k (exactly $129,071) Nino Games
NejicomiSimulator TMA01 older $12.99 100 76% 3.0k $39k (exactly $38,970) やぶから堂, たまぷろじぇくと
With Your Coworker $0.99 1,220 82% 37k $36k (exactly $36,234) 搖滾冰塊
Your Cute Wife older $18.99 41 78% 1.2k $23k (exactly $23,358) 1UP Games
Hocus Focus $10.99 57 91% 1.7k $19k (exactly $18,793) Stuck In Attic
Your Fiancée $2.99 181 99% 5.4k $16k (exactly $16,236) DigitalDream
Your Second Wife $3.99 135 84% 4.1k $16k (exactly $16,160) Kygua Tech
Your Stepmom $0.99 248 73% 7.4k $7.4k (exactly $7,366) smsmsm
Sister $0.99 198 99% 5.9k $5.9k (exactly $5,881) HaHaHaGame

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.