Do I ship it?

GamesEconomyEconomy + Desktop Companion

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Desktop Companion Economy game?

Economy + Desktop Companion

Of 32 developers who shipped a Desktop Companion Economy game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 37 more are announced.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $4.9k, ×7.9 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $2.2k; 1 in 20 cleared $260k, ×419 the market median. Revenue is down 85% on the market; 37 games are announced against 25 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 7.9 times the market baseline, revenue down 85% on the market, 37 announced, ×1.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Economy + Desktop Companion
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 32
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $49k → $9.7k → $2.3k (still earning) → $2.2k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Economy + Desktop Companion: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 32
Bottom 30% $2.2k (exactly $2,157)
Median $4.9k (exactly $4,934)
Top 25% $20k (exactly $19,587)
Top 5% $263k (exactly $262,951)
Developers, 2 yr 32
Released games 39
Announced 37
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 85% on the market, supply 255% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 3%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Economy
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Desktop Companion
effort 1 / 10 · high · effort 1 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Economy, Desktop Companion; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Idler, Simulation, Management
Price point
$5.99 typical · top 25% priced $9.99 or above
Art
9 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Relaxing, 2D, Pixel Graphics
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $9.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 10 games average 92% positive over 13,650 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $2.2k, median $4.9k, 1 in 4 over $19k, 1 in 20 over $260k.

3 in 10 developers made under $2.2k. 4 in 10 of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 37 games are announced against 25 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Economy with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Job SimulatorFair116 devs · median $22k · 125 announced
  2. + Football (Soccer)Fair21 devs · median $6.8k · 29 announced
  3. + ScienceFair39 devs · median $5.9k · 39 announced
  4. + MiningFair116 devs · median $5.0k · 173 announced
  5. + LootFair74 devs · median $4.6k · 114 announced
  6. + CollectathonFair125 devs · median $3.8k · 151 announced
  7. + God GameFair47 devs · median $2.8k · 58 announced
  8. + Auto BattlerFair59 devs · median $2.4k · 79 announced
  9. + IdlerFair441 devs · median $2.3k · 589 announced
  10. + IncrementalFair408 devs · median $2.2k · 612 announced
  11. + ArcadeFair199 devs · median $2.1k · 285 announced
  12. + Strategy RPGFair95 devs · median $2.0k · 128 announced

All 161 pairs on the Economy page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Cast n Chill $14.99 8,383 94% 251k $3.8M (exactly $3,769,835) Wombat Brawler
Rusty's Retirement older $6.99 13,902 96% 417k $2.9M (exactly $2,915,249) Mister Morris Games
Your Big, Cute Monster Farm $7.99 1,097 78% 33k $263k (exactly $262,951) KaiPlay Studio
Cornerpond $2.99 2,567 97% 77k $230k (exactly $230,260) foolsroom
Chonkers $4.99 518 87% 16k $78k (exactly $77,545) Solar Eclipse Games
Bao Bao's™ Cozy Laundromat $3.99 410 83% 12k $49k (exactly $49,077) Destroyer Doggo
Little Aviary $3.99 231 86% 6.9k $28k (exactly $27,651) atomco
Desktop Cat Cafe $9.99 83 75% 2.5k $25k (exactly $24,875) samyam, lockyaw
Tidehaven: Ale & Trade · EA $5.99 109 74% 3.3k $20k (exactly $19,587) Bunch'o'Nerds
Corner Market · EA $3.99 135 89% 4.1k $16k (exactly $16,160) Tiny Orbit
Ramen-ten ‘Heart Abyss’ $2.99 117 70% 3.5k $10k (exactly $10,495) DEADMAP

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.