Do I ship it?

GamesTurn-Based TacticsTurn-Based Tactics + Demons

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Demon Turn-Based Tactics?

Turn-Based Tactics + Demons

Of 48 developers who shipped a Demon Turn-Based Tactics in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 88 more are announced, ×3.7 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.3k, ×2.1 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $180; 1 in 20 cleared $100k, ×166 the market median. Revenue is up 50% on the market; 88 games are announced against 24 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 2.1 times the market baseline, revenue up 50% on the market, 88 announced, ×3.7 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Turn-Based Tactics + Demons
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 48
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $43k → $1.8k → $5.4k → $3.0k → $1.1k → $898 → $2.5k (still earning) → $1.2k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Turn-Based Tactics + Demons: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 48
Bottom 30% $180 (exactly $180)
Median $1.3k (exactly $1,347)
Top 25% $8.6k (exactly $8,630)
Top 5% $104k (exactly $104,086)
Developers, 2 yr 48
Released games 109
Announced 88
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 50% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 14%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Turn-Based Tactics
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Demons
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Turn-Based Tactics; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry RPG, Strategy, Dungeon Crawler
Price point
$5.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
3 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Anime, Dark
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 10 games average 93% positive over 10,053 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $180, median $1.3k, 1 in 4 over $8.6k, 1 in 20 over $100k.

3 in 10 developers made under $180. 9 in 10 of the 27 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 88 games are announced against 24 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.7 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Turn-Based Tactics with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + TanksFair24 devs · median $3.0k · 24 announced
  2. + AutomationFair28 devs · median $2.9k · 36 announced
  3. + ProgrammingFair14 devs · median $2.4k · 16 announced
  4. + DiceFair47 devs · median $1.6k · 53 announced
  5. + MiningFair10 devs · median $1.5k · 8 announced
  6. + Time ManagementFair65 devs · median $1.4k · 69 announced
  7. + IdlerFair47 devs · median $1.3k · 48 announced
  8. + Psychological HorrorFair55 devs · median $1.0k · 56 announced
  9. + Traditional RoguelikeFair78 devs · median $629 · 95 announced
  10. + PsychologicalFair34 devs · median $629 · 40 announced
  11. + PuzzleFair263 devs · median $598 · 308 announced
  12. + PlatformerLong shot15 devs · median $360 · 18 announced

All 189 pairs on the Turn-Based Tactics page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Warhammer 40,000: Chaos Gate - Daemonhunters older $44.99 11,426 76% 343k $15M (exactly $15,421,672) Complex Games
Monster Train older $24.99 19,950 95% 599k $15M (exactly $14,956,515) Shiny Shoe
Monster Train 2 $24.99 8,647 95% 259k $6.5M (exactly $6,482,656) Shiny Shoe
Disgaea PC older $19.99 4,296 87% 129k $2.6M (exactly $2,576,311) Nippon Ichi Software, Inc.
Hard West 2 older $29.99 2,717 80% 82k $2.4M (exactly $2,444,485) Ice Code Games
Sumerian Six older $29.99 1,101 94% 33k $991k (exactly $990,570) Artificer
VenusBlood HOLLOW International older $44.99 287 96% 8.6k $387k (exactly $387,364) Ninetail, Dualtail
Mahokenshi - The Samurai Deckbuilder older $24.99 464 77% 14k $348k (exactly $347,861) Game Source Studio
Sex Chess older $9.99 1,064 78% 32k $319k (exactly $318,881) Evil Boobs Cult
Pyrene older $14.99 676 92% 20k $304k (exactly $303,997) Two Tiny Dice
HellSlave II: Judgment of the Archon $19.99 316 77% 9.5k $190k (exactly $189,505) Ars Goetia
The Brave of Boner and the Demon of Halphas $13.99 248 95% 7.4k $104k (exactly $104,086) AVANTGARDE
Jupiter Hell Classic · EA $14.99 230 95% 6.9k $103k (exactly $103,431) ChaosForge
Married Into Hell $11.99 265 80% 8.0k $95k (exactly $95,320) WorkNite Games
Lost in Prayer · EA $19.99 92 80% 2.8k $55k (exactly $55,172) Nine Dots Studio
The Fortress $6.99 151 68% 4.5k $32k (exactly $31,665) Baryonyx Games
Flocking Hell $9.99 45 93% 1.4k $13k (exactly $13,486) Sextant Studios
Futa Succubus Slay! $12.99 26 65% 780 $10k (exactly $10,132) Npolish
Escape the Dynasty · EA $9.99 33 75% 990 $9.9k (exactly $9,890) CoolStar Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.