Do I ship it?

Games › Procedural Generation › Procedural Generation + Demons

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Demon Procedural Generation game?

Procedural Generation + Demons

Of 66 developers who shipped a Demon Procedural Generation game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 112 more are announced, ×3.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.2k, ×2.5 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $240; 1 in 20 cleared $100k, ×218 the market median. Revenue is up 315% on the market; 112 games are announced against 33 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 2.5 times the market baseline, revenue up 315% on the market, 112 announced, ×3.4 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Procedural Generation + Demons
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 66
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $3.6k → $1.1k → $4.5k → $719 → $359 → $2.6k → $2.1k (still earning) → $420 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Procedural Generation + Demons: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 66
Bottom 30% $239 (exactly $239)
Median $1.2k (exactly $1,198)
Top 25% $8.1k (exactly $8,092)
Top 5% $103k (exactly $103,431)
Developers, 2 yr 66
Released games 141
Announced 112
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 315% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 11%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Procedural Generation
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Demons
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Procedural Generation; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Action Roguelike, RPG
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $15.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Pixel Graphics, 2D, Top-Down
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $15.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 93% positive over 11,666 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $240, median $1.2k, 1 in 4 over $8.0k, 1 in 20 over $100k.

3 in 10 developers made under $240. 9 in 10 of the 35 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 112 games are announced against 33 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.4 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Procedural Generation with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + SnowFair11 devs · median $3.0k · 16 announced
  2. + Traditional RoguelikeFair71 devs · median $2.0k · 93 announced
  3. + DetectiveFair29 devs · median $1.5k · 30 announced
  4. + Word GameFair22 devs · median $1.3k · 23 announced
  5. + TypingFair26 devs · median $1.1k · 11 announced
  6. + IdlerFair98 devs · median $807 · 107 announced
  7. + LogicFair137 devs · median $478 · 149 announced
  8. + Walking SimulatorFair57 devs · median $449 · 62 announced
  9. + Precision PlatformerFair49 devs · median $449 · 42 announced
  10. + Hidden ObjectFair58 devs · median $418 · 56 announced
  11. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds31 devs · median $77k · 95 announced
  12. + TrainsPoor odds22 devs · median $30k · 35 announced

All 222 pairs on the Procedural Generation page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Monster Train 2020 · $15M Monster Train 2 2025 · $6.5M Pacify 2019 · $4.9M Dead Estate 2021 · $2.6M Jupiter Hell 2021 · $1.3M
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Monster Train older $24.99 19,950 95% 599k $15M (exactly $14,956,515) Shiny Shoe
Monster Train 2 $24.99 8,647 95% 259k $6.5M (exactly $6,482,656) Shiny Shoe
Pacify older $4.99 32,921 86% 988k $4.9M (exactly $4,928,274) Shawn Hitchcock
Dead Estate older $14.99 5,778 95% 173k $2.6M (exactly $2,598,367) Milkbar Lads
Jupiter Hell older $24.99 1,795 91% 54k $1.3M (exactly $1,345,712) ChaosForge
The Classrooms · EA older $12.99 3,040 89% 91k $1.2M (exactly $1,184,688) Xefier Games, Hillcrest Games Inc.
Scarlet Tower older $6.99 1,831 81% 55k $384k (exactly $383,961) Pyxeralia LLC
Mama's Sleeping Angels $9.99 1,040 93% 31k $312k (exactly $311,688) itamu
Paranormal Cleanup $9.99 961 88% 29k $288k (exactly $288,012) Manic Mice
Project Nightmares Case 36: Henrietta Kedward older $19.99 362 76% 11k $217k (exactly $217,091) NC Studio
Jupiter Hell Classic · EA $14.99 230 95% 6.9k $103k (exactly $103,431) ChaosForge
Second Sun $19.99 115 69% 3.5k $69k (exactly $68,966) Grey Wolf Entertainment
Hellbrella $7.99 182 95% 5.5k $44k (exactly $43,625) Icy Mountain Studios
The Last Man Survivor $4.99 279 67% 8.4k $42k (exactly $41,766) Renderise
The Last Citadel $14.99 70 85% 2.1k $31k (exactly $31,479) Honest Demon
Monster Girls and the Mysterious Adventure Remastered Edition $9.99 103 94% 3.1k $31k (exactly $30,869) NEKOTOKAGE GAMES
Fortifend $15.99 39 89% 1.2k $19k (exactly $18,708) Side Crumb

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.