Do I ship it?

GamesParty-Based RPGParty-Based RPG + Deckbuilding

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Deckbuilding Party-Based RPG?

Party-Based RPG + Deckbuilding

Of 38 developers who shipped a Deckbuilding Party-Based RPG in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 70 more are announced, ×2.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $12k, ×19 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $2.7k; 1 in 20 cleared $640k, ×1032 the market median. Revenue is up 195% on the market; 70 games are announced against 29 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 19.0 times the market baseline, revenue up 195% on the market, 70 announced, ×2.4 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Party-Based RPG + Deckbuilding
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 38
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $132k → $3.4k → $312k → $1.4M → $648k → $7.2k → $17k (still earning) → $4.5k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Party-Based RPG + Deckbuilding: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 38
Bottom 30% $2.7k (exactly $2,697)
Median $12k (exactly $11,909)
Top 25% $73k (exactly $73,127)
Top 5% $648k (exactly $648,051)
Developers, 2 yr 38
Released games 73
Announced 70
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $11.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 195% on the market, supply 220% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 10%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Party-Based RPG
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Deckbuilding
effort 3 / 10 · high · card pools and run logic

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Party-Based RPG, Deckbuilding; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry RPG, Strategy, Card Battler
Price point
$11.99 typical · top 25% priced $17.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Anime, Colorful
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $17.99 or above; the middle game at $11.99.

The top 10 games average 90% positive over 10,077 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $2.7k, median $12k, 1 in 4 over $73k, 1 in 20 over $640k.

3 in 10 developers made under $2.7k. 7 in 10 of the 9 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 70 games are announced against 29 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.4 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Party-Based RPG with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Board GameFair24 devs · median $18k · 29 announced
  2. + Point & ClickFair17 devs · median $2.5k · 20 announced
  3. + 2D PlatformerFair55 devs · median $599 · 42 announced
  4. + Hidden ObjectFair15 devs · median $479 · 16 announced
  5. + Martial ArtsPoor odds5 devs · median $230k · 16 announced
  6. + Dating SimPoor odds13 devs · median $49k · 25 announced
  7. + SandboxPoor odds23 devs · median $34k · 71 announced
  8. + BuildingPoor odds12 devs · median $32k · 37 announced
  9. + AutomationPoor odds14 devs · median $21k · 28 announced
  10. + Turn-BasedPoor odds67 devs · median $19k · 76 announced
  11. + Base BuildingPoor odds19 devs · median $19k · 51 announced
  12. + IncrementalPoor odds18 devs · median $15k · 45 announced

All 111 pairs on the Party-Based RPG page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Gloomhaven older $34.99 13,628 82% 409k $14M (exactly $14,305,312) Flaming Fowl Studios, Saber Interactive
Chrono Ark older $24.99 12,623 90% 379k $9.5M (exactly $9,463,463) Al Fine
Gordian Quest older $19.99 5,259 88% 158k $3.2M (exactly $3,153,822) Mixed Realms Pte Ltd, Swag Soft Holding… (Mixed Realms Pte Ltd, Swag Soft Holdings Pte Ltd)
Knock on the Coffin Lid older $24.99 2,727 82% 82k $2.0M (exactly $2,044,432) RedBoon
SteamWorld Quest: Hand of Gilgamech older $24.99 1,953 87% 59k $1.5M (exactly $1,464,164) Image & Form Games
DRAGON QUEST MONSTERS: The Dark Prince older $39.99 1,158 71% 35k $1.4M (exactly $1,389,253) Square Enix
Rebellion GODSOUL: Awakening · EA $17.99 2,458 85% 74k $1.3M (exactly $1,326,583) U-Secret Studio
Ooblets older $29.99 1,388 91% 42k $1.2M (exactly $1,248,784) Glumberland
Journey to the West older $19.99 1,470 79% 44k $882k (exactly $881,559) Z Studio
Kabuto Park $4.99 4,329 99% 130k $648k (exactly $648,051) Doot
Viractal: Will You Trust Your Party? $24.99 448 88% 13k $336k (exactly $335,866) Sting
Battle Suit Aces $19.99 347 90% 10k $208k (exactly $208,096) Trinket Studios
Shards of Order $9.99 578 90% 17k $173k (exactly $173,227) Fardust
Bones and Coins $7.99 638 72% 19k $153k (exactly $152,929) Troyd Games
Hive Blight · EA $12.49 367 94% 11k $138k (exactly $137,515) OptizOnion
NEODUEL: Backpack Monsters $11.99 357 79% 11k $128k (exactly $128,413) dicehit, Rogue Duck Interactive
YGGDRA REFRAIN $9.99 311 79% 9.3k $93k (exactly $93,207) BD
Water Margin Scrolls $9.99 244 40% 7.3k $73k (exactly $73,127) QingHe Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.