Do I ship it?

GamesTime ManagementTime Management + Dark Fantasy

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Dark-Fantasy Time Management game?

Time Management + Dark Fantasy

Of 42 developers who shipped a Dark-Fantasy Time Management game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 54 more are announced.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $5.7k, ×9.0 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $450; 1 in 20 cleared $18M, ×29918 the market median. Revenue is down 100% on the market; 54 games are announced against 29 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 9.0 times the market baseline, revenue down 100% on the market, 54 announced, ×1.9 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Time Management + Dark Fantasy
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 42
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $672 → $26k → $33k → $3.2k → $799 (still earning) → $3.3k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Time Management + Dark Fantasy: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 42
Bottom 30% $449 (exactly $449)
Median $5.7k (exactly $5,662)
Top 25% $147k (exactly $146,716)
Top 5% $19M (exactly $18,788,232)
Developers, 2 yr 42
Released games 87
Announced 54
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 100% on the market, supply 125% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 23%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Time Management
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Dark Fantasy
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Time Management; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry RPG, Strategy, Choices Matter
Price point
$9.99 typical · top 25% priced $24.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Story Rich, Anime, 2D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 89% positive over 77,881 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $450, median $5.7k, 1 in 4 over $140k, 1 in 20 over $18M.

3 in 10 developers made under $450. 7 in 10 of the 20 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 54 games are announced against 29 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Time Management with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Dungeon CrawlerFair35 devs · median $7.0k · 44 announced
  2. + ProgrammingFair15 devs · median $7.0k · 26 announced
  3. + Inventory ManagementFair181 devs · median $2.9k · 228 announced
  4. + AgricultureFair57 devs · median $2.3k · 73 announced
  5. + Time TravelFair17 devs · median $2.2k · 19 announced
  6. + ZombiesFair27 devs · median $2.1k · 29 announced
  7. + LootFair34 devs · median $1.5k · 47 announced
  8. + Turn-Based TacticsFair65 devs · median $1.4k · 69 announced
  9. + AutomationFair162 devs · median $1.2k · 191 announced
  10. + Bullet HellFair11 devs · median $1.2k · 15 announced
  11. + ThrillerFair42 devs · median $1.1k · 65 announced
  12. + Artificial IntelligenceFair53 devs · median $1.0k · 65 announced

All 179 pairs on the Time Management page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Metaphor: ReFantazio $69.99 25,224 89% 757k $53M (exactly $52,962,833) ATLUS
The Blood of Dawnwalker $69.99 15,789 86% 474k $33M (exactly $33,152,163) Rebel Wolves
Sultan's Game $24.99 25,061 93% 752k $19M (exactly $18,788,232) Double Cross
Loop Hero older $14.99 33,816 92% 1.0M $15M (exactly $15,207,055) Four Quarters
The King is Watching $14.99 9,006 88% 270k $4.0M (exactly $4,049,998) Hypnohead
Corruption Town · EA $14.99 992 88% 30k $446k (exactly $446,102) BoredBasmati
Ark of Charon $24.99 389 75% 12k $292k (exactly $291,633) Angoo Inc., SUNSOFT
Stuck In Time older $7.99 1,018 84% 31k $244k (exactly $244,015) Housemade Inc.
Hotel Tales $14.99 455 80% 14k $205k (exactly $204,614) TopHouse Studio
HellSlave II: Judgment of the Archon $19.99 316 77% 9.5k $190k (exactly $189,505) Ars Goetia
Star Knightess Aura $24.99 211 86% 6.3k $158k (exactly $158,187) AuraGamedev
CiniCross $11.99 438 85% 13k $158k (exactly $157,549) Hydrobates

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.