Do I ship it?

GamesJRPGJRPG + Cyberpunk

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Cyberpunk JRPG?

JRPG + Cyberpunk

Of 27 developers who shipped a Cyberpunk JRPG in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 52 more are announced, ×3.7 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $2.7k, ×4.3 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $1.1k; 1 in 20 cleared $140k, ×225 the market median. Revenue is down 55% on the market; 52 games are announced against 14 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 4.3 times the market baseline, revenue down 55% on the market, 52 announced, ×3.7 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
JRPG + Cyberpunk
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 27
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $41k → $6.0k → $12k → $1.5k → $2.7k (still earning) → $299 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for JRPG + Cyberpunk: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 27
Bottom 30% $1.1k (exactly $1,075)
Median $2.7k (exactly $2,697)
Top 25% $39k (exactly $39,398)
Top 5% $141k (exactly $141,206)
Developers, 2 yr 27
Released games 74
Announced 52
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 55% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 9%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

JRPG
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Cyberpunk
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
JRPG; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry RPG, Turn-Based Combat, Adventure
Price point
$9.99 typical · top 25% priced $17.99 or above
Art
6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Story Rich, 2D, Anime
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $17.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 81% positive over 3,938 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $1.1k, median $2.7k, 1 in 4 over $39k, 1 in 20 over $140k.

3 in 10 developers made under $1.1k. 7 in 10 of the 14 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 52 games are announced against 14 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.7 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

JRPG with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FMVStrong odds12 devs · median $54k · 6 announced
  2. + Mystery DungeonStrong odds43 devs · median $21k · 23 announced
  3. + NinjaFair7 devs · median $19k · 10 announced
  4. + RomanceFair153 devs · median $13k · 164 announced
  5. + Visual NovelFair219 devs · median $13k · 265 announced
  6. + ManagementFair37 devs · median $9.4k · 35 announced
  7. + Souls-likeFair31 devs · median $8.6k · 35 announced
  8. + Point & ClickFair41 devs · median $8.4k · 45 announced
  9. + LootFair34 devs · median $5.5k · 41 announced
  10. + RoguelikeFair85 devs · median $5.2k · 103 announced
  11. + 2D PlatformerFair150 devs · median $4.2k · 157 announced
  12. + Artificial IntelligenceFair25 devs · median $4.0k · 21 announced

All 142 pairs on the JRPG page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Digimon Story Cyber Sleuth: Complete Edition older $49.99 10,810 89% 324k $16M (exactly $16,211,757) h.a.n.d., Inc., Media.Vision Inc.
CrossCode older $19.99 16,376 92% 491k $9.8M (exactly $9,820,687) Radical Fish Games
Soul Hackers 2 older $59.99 2,300 65% 69k $4.1M (exactly $4,139,310) ATLUS
Haven older $24.99 5,294 88% 159k $4.0M (exactly $3,968,912) The Game Bakers
Master Detective Archives: RAIN CODE Plus older $29.99 2,142 80% 64k $1.9M (exactly $1,927,157) Spike Chunsoft Co., Ltd.
Rebellion GODSOUL: Awakening · EA $17.99 2,458 85% 74k $1.3M (exactly $1,326,583) U-Secret Studio
FINAL FANTASY VII older $11.99 1,464 74% 44k $527k (exactly $526,601) Square Enix, FINE Co., Ltd.
MECHANICA: A Ballad of the Rabbit and Mercury older $19.99 830 95% 25k $498k (exactly $497,751) Loser/s
Jack Move older $19.99 813 80% 24k $488k (exactly $487,556) So Romantic
Cosmic Star Heroine older $14.99 819 89% 25k $368k (exactly $368,304) Zeboyd Digital Entertainment LLC
Beyond Galaxyland $14.99 314 85% 9.4k $141k (exactly $141,206) Sam Enright
Keylocker | Turn Based Cyberpunk Action $19.99 225 84% 6.8k $135k (exactly $134,932) Moonana
TK Punk Gold $11.99 291 87% 8.7k $105k (exactly $104,673) 桑尼游戏(Sunny Game)
永生之庭 $7.99 284 48% 8.5k $68k (exactly $68,075) IMaiIna
CyberPimp 2069 $17.99 118 87% 3.5k $64k (exactly $63,685) Entropy Digital Entertainment
Neon Blood $17.99 73 60% 2.2k $39k (exactly $39,398) ChaoticBrain Studios
Welcome to Planet E1d0r4d0! $8.99 119 68% 3.6k $32k (exactly $32,094) LuluGames
New Eromancer $11.99 33 48% 990 $12k (exactly $11,870) OneCoin
G-MODEアーカイブス+ ゼノサーガ パイドパイパー $15.99 23 100% 690 $11k (exactly $11,033) G-MODE, Bandai Namco Entertainment Inc.

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.