Should I ship a Sports CRPG?
CRPG + Sports
Only 8 developers shipped a Sports CRPG in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Master of 4 Swords, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 6 more are announced.
Verdict: dead, for a 7 / 10 build.
Only 3 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $1.8k against a market of $1.5k. 6 games are announced.
not enough cohorts to draw
| Bottom 30% | $180 (exactly $180) |
|---|---|
| Median | $1.8k (exactly $1,798) |
| Top 25% | $108k (exactly $107,973) |
| Top 5% | $112k (exactly $111,572) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 8 |
| Released games | 35 |
| Announced | 6 |
| Effort | 7 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $9.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 1695% on the market, supply 40% fewer developers than the period before.
Free games: 6%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
What it takes
- Effort
- 7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
- Systems
- CRPG, Sports
- Price point
- $9.99 typical
Why players buy here
Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.
The top 25% priced at $39.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.
The top 10 games average 87% positive over 358 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $180. 9 in 10 of the 11 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 6 games are announced against 3 developers who shipped in the last year.
Adjacent niches
CRPG with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Martial ArtsFair
- + Female ProtagonistFair
- + TabletopFair
- + Traditional RoguelikeFair
- + 2D PlatformerFair
- + IncrementalLong shot
- + FMVPoor odds
- + Card BattlerPoor odds
- + Grid-Based MovementPoor odds
- + SpacePoor odds
- + Online Co-OpPoor odds
- + Souls-likePoor odds
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Master of 4 Swords | $39.99 | 93 93% | 2.8k | $112k (exactly $111,572) | Don BASS | |
| | TurboJoy | $39.99 | 90 93% | 2.7k | $108k (exactly $107,973) | TurboJo | |
| | Foot Odor Girl | older | $4.99 | 24 45% | 720 | $3.6k (exactly $3,593) | MX Nice Game |
| | Magical Runes | $0.99 | 100 88% | 3.0k | $3.0k (exactly $2,970) | ZERO5GAMES | |
| | Otaku VR: Sit-ups and Kisses | · EA | $9.99 | 6 100% | 180 | $1.8k (exactly $1,798) | LUO WENJUN |
| | Last Dream Fishing Arcade | older | $4.99 | 8 100% | 240 | $1.2k (exactly $1,198) | White Giant RPG Studios |
| | Best Pearl | older | $0.99 | 12 91% | 360 | $356 (exactly $356) | Gamesforgames |
| | FOOTBALLER | older | $1.00 | 11 54% | 330 | $330 (exactly $330) | LAERT |
| | Field Pong: Gamesforfarm | $0.99 | 11 100% | 330 | $327 (exactly $327) | Gamesforfarm | |
| | GOT HIGH | older | $2.99 | 3 66% | 90 | $269 (exactly $269) | Cow Games, Hexxx Game Studio |
| | Life and death are predetermined by heaven | $5.99 | 1 100% | 30 | $180 (exactly $180) | Southern Vermilion Bird | |
| | Home | · EA | $18.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | Shenzhen Yiling Industrial Design Center |
| | 桌上足球 TableSoccer | $0.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | YongyeGames |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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