Do I ship it?

GamesCRPGCRPG + Resource Management

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Resource Management CRPG?

CRPG + Resource Management

Only 18 developers shipped a Resource Management CRPG in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Big Ambitions, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 48 more are announced, ×5.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 7 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $12k, ×7.9 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $1.5k; 1 in 20 cleared $10M, ×7288 the market median. Revenue is up 1735% on the market; 48 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 7.9 times the market baseline, revenue up 1735% on the market, 48 announced, ×5.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
CRPG + Resource Management
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 18
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $7.5k → $1.5k → $120k → $37k → $9.0k → $12k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for CRPG + Resource Management: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 18
Bottom 30% $1.5k (exactly $1,468)
Median $12k (exactly $11,860)
Top 25% $58k (exactly $58,461)
Top 5% $11M (exactly $10,918,139)
Developers, 2 yr 18
Released games 49
Announced 48
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $8.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 1735% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 16%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

CRPG
effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
Resource Management
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
CRPG, Resource Management; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry RPG, Simulation, Economy
Price point
$8.99 typical · top 25% priced $24.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, 3D, Anime
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $8.99.

The top 10 games average 90% positive over 15,040 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $1.5k, median $12k, 1 in 4 over $58k, 1 in 20 over $10M.

3 in 10 developers made under $1.5k. 7 in 10 of the 9 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 48 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year, ×5.3 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

CRPG with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Martial ArtsFair13 devs · median $26k · 14 announced
  2. + Female ProtagonistFair84 devs · median $2.4k · 95 announced
  3. + TabletopFair22 devs · median $1.9k · 26 announced
  4. + Traditional RoguelikeFair12 devs · median $1.9k · 13 announced
  5. + 2D PlatformerFair62 devs · median $1.2k · 76 announced
  6. + IncrementalLong shot32 devs · median $449 · 27 announced
  7. + FMVPoor odds16 devs · median $58k · 14 announced
  8. + Card BattlerPoor odds15 devs · median $25k · 28 announced
  9. + Grid-Based MovementPoor odds26 devs · median $23k · 46 announced
  10. + SpacePoor odds11 devs · median $22k · 23 announced
  11. + Online Co-OpPoor odds13 devs · median $22k · 23 announced
  12. + Souls-likePoor odds12 devs · median $20k · 24 announced

All 123 pairs on the CRPG page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Big Ambitions $25.99 14,003 92% 420k $11M (exactly $10,918,139) Hovgaard Games
Vagrus - The Riven Realms older $29.99 1,746 84% 52k $1.6M (exactly $1,570,876) Lost Pilgrims Studio
Immortal Family older $13.99 1,213 54% 36k $509k (exactly $509,096) 一起来修仙工作室
Robber Knight · EA older $39.99 284 64% 8.5k $341k (exactly $340,715) Sartorian
A Hero's Rest: An RPG Town Simulator $24.99 160 67% 4.8k $120k (exactly $119,952) Vanargand Games
Latex & Tentacles $10.99 343 67% 10k $113k (exactly $113,087) ZXC, GODNASK
大衍江湖 - Evolution Of JiangHu older $4.99 688 60% 21k $103k (exactly $102,994) SourceIn Games
Music Band Manager older $7.99 339 52% 10k $81k (exactly $81,258) Hamsters Gaming
REAL ESTATE Simulator - FROM BUM TO MILLIONAIRE older $12.99 175 44% 5.3k $68k (exactly $68,198) Geekon
Vampire Syndicate: Gangs of MoonFall · EA $19.99 111 71% 3.3k $67k (exactly $66,567) A Memory of Eternity
PuPu's Adventure Park $14.99 130 64% 3.9k $58k (exactly $58,461) 西梅树工作室
Herbals tycoon · EA $9.99 123 76% 3.7k $37k (exactly $36,863) Orange Paper Studio
Joy Malignant $8.99 66 100% 2.0k $18k (exactly $17,800) Petros Anastasiadis
The Traveller Tale $19.99 26 69% 780 $16k (exactly $15,592) Mystic Dream Studio's
AFKandia - Epoch of Idle $5.99 66 45% 2.0k $12k (exactly $11,860) Yang++ Game Studio
DROD RPG 2: A Courageous Rescue $24.99 12 83% 360 $9.0k (exactly $8,996) Caravel Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.