Do I ship it?

GamesCRPGCRPG + Puzzle Platformer

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Puzzle Platformer CRPG?

CRPG + Puzzle Platformer

Only 11 developers shipped a Puzzle Platformer CRPG in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Threefold Recital, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 16 more are announced.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 7 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $530, ×0.4 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $210. Revenue is down 75% on the market, with 16 games announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 0.4 times the market baseline, revenue down 75% on the market, 16 announced, ×2.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
CRPG + Puzzle Platformer
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 11
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $11k → $3.6k → $11k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for CRPG + Puzzle Platformer: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 11
Bottom 30% $210 (exactly $210)
Median $525 (exactly $525)
Top 25% $11k (exactly $10,904)
Top 5% $2.3M (exactly $2,301,115)
Developers, 2 yr 11
Released games 35
Announced 16
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 75% on the market, supply 165% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 17%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

CRPG
effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
Puzzle Platformer
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
CRPG, Puzzle Platformer
Price point
$4.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 9 games average 98% positive over 5,320 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $210, median $530, 1 in 4 over $10k, 1 in 20 over $2.3M.

3 in 10 developers made under $210. 16 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

CRPG with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Martial ArtsFair13 devs · median $26k · 14 announced
  2. + Female ProtagonistFair84 devs · median $2.4k · 95 announced
  3. + TabletopFair22 devs · median $1.9k · 26 announced
  4. + Traditional RoguelikeFair12 devs · median $1.9k · 13 announced
  5. + 2D PlatformerFair62 devs · median $1.2k · 76 announced
  6. + IncrementalLong shot32 devs · median $449 · 27 announced
  7. + FMVPoor odds16 devs · median $58k · 14 announced
  8. + Card BattlerPoor odds15 devs · median $25k · 28 announced
  9. + Grid-Based MovementPoor odds26 devs · median $23k · 46 announced
  10. + SpacePoor odds11 devs · median $22k · 23 announced
  11. + Online Co-OpPoor odds13 devs · median $22k · 23 announced
  12. + Souls-likePoor odds12 devs · median $20k · 24 announced

All 123 pairs on the CRPG page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Threefold Recital $14.99 5,117 98% 154k $2.3M (exactly $2,301,115) Everscape Games
心动满屋 older $3.99 218 75% 6.5k $26k (exactly $26,095) 成都萌创科技有限公司
虫鸣 older $5.99 115 63% 3.5k $21k (exactly $20,666) 深圳市创源互娱科技有限公司
禁地直播 $4.99 109 88% 3.3k $16k (exactly $16,317) Say Hi Hi
Ruzar - The Dark Stones older $17.99 21 76% 630 $11k (exactly $11,334) Hammer Glass Studio Inc.
Get Up In The Night $6.99 52 98% 1.6k $11k (exactly $10,904) GUITN Studio
PP older $0.99 142 88% 4.3k $4.2k (exactly $4,217) -乌鸦男-
SixteenPetals · EA $6.99 17 47% 510 $3.6k (exactly $3,565) Husky366Studio
Hello World older $2.99 31 93% 930 $2.8k (exactly $2,781) Hello World Studio
Drop: Save the Forest $4.99 11 100% 330 $1.6k (exactly $1,647) Riccardo Giol, Games Greenhouse
欺心恋曲/亵渎神明的少女 Deceptiive Love Ballad The Blasphemer 偽りの恋の旋律/神を冒涜する少女 $2.50 7 100% 210 $525 (exactly $525) Hjian
Tales of the Phantom World $3.99 4 50% 120 $479 (exactly $479) SSSXXXGame
MandarinMastermind · EA $6.99 1 0% 30 $210 (exactly $210) J.Chen
谜境·AI剧本杀互动剧场 $0.99 2 50% 60 $59 (exactly $59) 灵思AI工作室
Pointer Manual $2.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) 川月瑰奇

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.