Games › CRPG › CRPG + Post-apocalyptic
Should I ship a Post-apocalyptic CRPG?
CRPG + Post-apocalyptic
Only 17 developers shipped a Post-apocalyptic CRPG in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Stellar Tactics, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 61 more are announced, ×5.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 7 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $6.3k, ×4.2 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $2.1k; 1 in 20 cleared $1.2M, ×834 the market median. Revenue is down 85% on the market; 61 games are announced against 11 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $2.1k (exactly $2,100) |
|---|---|
| Median | $6.3k (exactly $6,294) |
| Top 25% | $22k (exactly $22,485) |
| Top 5% | $1.2M (exactly $1,249,000) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 17 |
| Released games | 88 |
| Announced | 61 |
| Effort | 7 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $9.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 85% on the market, supply 85% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 9%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
- CRPG
- effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
- Post-apocalyptic
- effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
- Systems
- CRPG; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry RPG, Adventure, Tactical RPG
- Price point
- $9.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
- Art
- 6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Story Rich
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.
The top 10 games average 79% positive over 2,698 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $2.1k. 9 in 10 of the 8 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 61 games are announced against 11 developers who shipped in the last year, ×5.5 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
CRPG with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Martial ArtsFair
- + Female ProtagonistFair
- + TabletopFair
- + Traditional RoguelikeFair
- + 2D PlatformerFair
- + IncrementalLong shot
- + FMVPoor odds
- + Card BattlerPoor odds
- + Grid-Based MovementPoor odds
- + SpacePoor odds
- + Online Co-OpPoor odds
- + Souls-likePoor odds
Comparable games
Wasteland 3 2020 · $21M 
Fallout: A Post Nuclear Role Playing Game 2015 · $5.0M 
ATOM RPG: Post-apocalyptic indie game 2018 · $4.5M 
Wasteland 2: Director's Cut 2014 · $4.2M 
Fallout 2: A Post Nuclear Role Playing Game 2009 · $4.2M | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Wasteland 3 | older | $39.99 | 17,263 84% | 518k | $21M (exactly $20,710,421) | inXile Entertainment |
| | Fallout: A Post Nuclear Role Playing Game | older | $9.99 | 16,722 95% | 502k | $5.0M (exactly $5,011,583) | Interplay Inc. |
| | ATOM RPG: Post-apocalyptic indie game | older | $14.99 | 9,991 84% | 300k | $4.5M (exactly $4,492,953) | AtomTeam |
| | Wasteland 2: Director's Cut | older | $29.99 | 4,664 82% | 140k | $4.2M (exactly $4,196,201) | inXile Entertainment |
| | Fallout 2: A Post Nuclear Role Playing Game | older | $9.99 | 13,868 93% | 416k | $4.2M (exactly $4,156,240) | Black Isle Studios |
 | Encased: A Sci-Fi Post-Apocalyptic RPG | older | $29.99 | 4,193 77% | 126k | $3.8M (exactly $3,772,442) | Dark Crystal Games |
 | UnderRail | older | $14.99 | 6,385 86% | 192k | $2.9M (exactly $2,871,334) | Stygian Software |
 | Death Trash | · EA older | $19.99 | 3,460 91% | 104k | $2.1M (exactly $2,074,962) | Crafting Legends |
 | Vagrus - The Riven Realms | older | $29.99 | 1,746 84% | 52k | $1.6M (exactly $1,570,876) | Lost Pilgrims Studio |
 | ATOM RPG Trudograd | older | $10.99 | 3,976 83% | 119k | $1.3M (exactly $1,310,887) | AtomTeam |
 | Stellar Tactics | $24.99 | 1,666 77% | 50k | $1.2M (exactly $1,249,000) | Don Wilkins | |
 | Entropy | · EA | $11.99 | 293 94% | 8.8k | $105k (exactly $105,392) | Lovely Hellplace |
 | Time Space Rebuild | $4.99 | 377 76% | 11k | $56k (exactly $56,437) | INNOVATION DREAM | |
 | Voice of Belldona | · EA | $11.99 | 117 72% | 3.5k | $42k (exactly $42,085) | StoryCropStudio |
 | Songs of Rats | $14.99 | 50 78% | 1.5k | $22k (exactly $22,485) | Tesseract Games | |
 | Rust of Steel | $10.99 | 67 65% | 2.0k | $22k (exactly $22,090) | Fortress13 Game Studio | |
 | RECORD_DrowsyVortex | $9.99 | 54 100% | 1.6k | $16k (exactly $16,184) | LunarHillz | |
 | Prometheus Wept | · EA | $15.99 | 14 92% | 420 | $6.7k (exactly $6,716) | Timeslip Softworks |
 | A Tale of Silent Depths | $9.99 | 21 80% | 630 | $6.3k (exactly $6,294) | Crit42 Studio | |
 | Day Zero | · EA | $4.99 | 39 79% | 1.2k | $5.8k (exactly $5,838) | Imdie Studios |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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