Do I ship it?

Games › CRPG › CRPG + Logic

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Logic CRPG?

CRPG + Logic

Only 17 developers shipped a Logic CRPG in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, The Case of the Golden Night Apartment, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 17 more are announced.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 7 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $630, ×0.4 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $90; 1 in 20 cleared $26k, ×18 the market median. Revenue is up 20% on the market; 17 games are announced against 13 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 0.4 times the market baseline, revenue up 20% on the market, 17 announced, ×1.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
CRPG + Logic
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 17
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $836 → $5.7k → $2.2k → $449 → $1.6k (still earning) → $629 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for CRPG + Logic: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 17
Bottom 30% $90 (exactly $90)
Median $629 (exactly $629)
Top 25% $2.4k (exactly $2,397)
Top 5% $27k (exactly $26,673)
Developers, 2 yr 17
Released games 48
Announced 17
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 20% on the market, supply 225% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 17%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

CRPG
effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
Logic
effort 2 / 10 · high · deductive rules and grids

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
CRPG, Logic; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry RPG, Exploration, Interactive Fiction
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $9.99 or above
Art
6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with First-Person, Realistic, Relaxing
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $9.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 59% positive over 217 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $90, median $630, 1 in 4 over $2.3k, 1 in 20 over $26k.

3 in 10 developers made under $90. All of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 17 games are announced against 13 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

CRPG with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Martial ArtsFair13 devs · median $26k · 14 announced
  2. + Female ProtagonistFair84 devs · median $2.4k · 95 announced
  3. + TabletopFair22 devs · median $1.9k · 26 announced
  4. + Traditional RoguelikeFair12 devs · median $1.9k · 13 announced
  5. + 2D PlatformerFair62 devs · median $1.2k · 76 announced
  6. + IncrementalLong shot32 devs · median $449 · 27 announced
  7. + FMVPoor odds16 devs · median $58k · 14 announced
  8. + Card BattlerPoor odds15 devs · median $25k · 28 announced
  9. + Grid-Based MovementPoor odds26 devs · median $23k · 46 announced
  10. + SpacePoor odds11 devs · median $22k · 23 announced
  11. + Online Co-OpPoor odds13 devs · median $22k · 23 announced
  12. + Souls-likePoor odds12 devs · median $20k · 24 announced

All 123 pairs on the CRPG page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Parking Tycoon: Business Simulator 2023 · $343k 1428: Shadows over Silesia 2022 · $121k Hotel Business Simulator 2024 · $74k The Case of the Golden Night Apartment 2026 · $27k BORIS THE ROCKET 🚀 2020 · $26k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Parking Tycoon: Business Simulator older $12.99 879 64% 26k $343k (exactly $342,546) Geekon
1428: Shadows over Silesia older $19.99 201 72% 6.0k $121k (exactly $120,540) KUBI Games
Hotel Business Simulator older $12.99 191 46% 5.7k $74k (exactly $74,433) Geekon
The Case of the Golden Night Apartment $9.99 89 44% 2.7k $27k (exactly $26,673) Buddy Studio
BORIS THE ROCKET 🚀 older $9.99 87 97% 2.6k $26k (exactly $26,074) toR Studio
Between older $6.99 46 69% 1.4k $9.6k (exactly $9,646) Artesign
Jesus Simulator $12.99 24 54% 720 $9.4k (exactly $9,353) VRCFORGE STUDIOS
Work Life Balance $8.99 33 96% 990 $8.9k (exactly $8,900) LandUni Studio
Code Wizard: Java Edition older $5.99 41 85% 1.2k $7.4k (exactly $7,368) Duckisoft
TRIBAL "The 12 Gates" older $24.99 9 88% 270 $6.7k (exactly $6,747) Tribal.Games
SixteenPetals · EA $6.99 17 47% 510 $3.6k (exactly $3,565) Husky366Studio
Mom Life Simulator · EA $7.99 10 20% 300 $2.4k (exactly $2,397) RioverseGames
Chilling Silence $3.99 16 56% 480 $1.9k (exactly $1,915) podushki
LITTLE CAT TINY STRAYS · EA $8.99 6 83% 180 $1.6k (exactly $1,618) Phillip Burton
Hentai Uni 3 $1.99 16 87% 480 $955 (exactly $955) Anime Mania
Doomsday Draft $6.99 3 100% 90 $629 (exactly $629) Palm and Stars
Cook and Play: Animal Friends · EA $4.99 3 100% 90 $449 (exactly $449) Mattia Zanarella

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.