Do I ship it?

Games › CRPG › CRPG + Futuristic

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Futuristic CRPG?

CRPG + Futuristic

Only 19 developers shipped a Futuristic CRPG in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, LumenTale: Memories of Trey, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 48 more are announced, ×3.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 7 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $450, ×0.3 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $270. 48 games are announced against 14 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.4 per shipper, while revenue is up 10% on the market.

Deciding numbers: median 0.3 times the market baseline, revenue up 10% on the market, 48 announced, ×3.4 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
CRPG + Futuristic
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 19
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $3.6k → $269 → $330 → $267 → $599 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for CRPG + Futuristic: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 19
Bottom 30% $267 (exactly $267)
Median $450 (exactly $450)
Top 25% $8.9k (exactly $8,900)
Top 5% $847k (exactly $847,161)
Developers, 2 yr 19
Released games 55
Announced 48
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $8.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 10% on the market, supply 180% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 20%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

CRPG
effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
Futuristic
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
CRPG; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry RPG, JRPG, Adventure
Price point
$8.99 typical · top 25% priced $24.99 or above
Art
6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Anime, Pixel Graphics
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $8.99.

The top 10 games average 74% positive over 1,823 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $270, median $450, 1 in 4 over $8.9k, 1 in 20 over $840k.

3 in 10 developers made under $270. 8 in 10 of the 10 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 48 games are announced against 14 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.4 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

CRPG with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Martial ArtsFair13 devs · median $26k · 14 announced
  2. + Female ProtagonistFair84 devs · median $2.4k · 95 announced
  3. + TabletopFair22 devs · median $1.9k · 26 announced
  4. + Traditional RoguelikeFair12 devs · median $1.9k · 13 announced
  5. + 2D PlatformerFair62 devs · median $1.2k · 76 announced
  6. + IncrementalLong shot32 devs · median $449 · 27 announced
  7. + FMVPoor odds16 devs · median $58k · 14 announced
  8. + Card BattlerPoor odds15 devs · median $25k · 28 announced
  9. + Grid-Based MovementPoor odds26 devs · median $23k · 46 announced
  10. + SpacePoor odds11 devs · median $22k · 23 announced
  11. + Online Co-OpPoor odds13 devs · median $22k · 23 announced
  12. + Souls-likePoor odds12 devs · median $20k · 24 announced

All 123 pairs on the CRPG page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

LumenTale: Memories of Trey 2026 · $847k FANTASIAN Neo Dimension 2024 · $750k Moves Of The Diamond Hand 2026 · EA · $63k Chronos Builder 2022 · $51k SOULVARS 2023 · $36k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
LumenTale: Memories of Trey $24.99 1,130 70% 34k $847k (exactly $847,161) Beehive Studios
FANTASIAN Neo Dimension $49.99 500 76% 15k $750k (exactly $749,850) Mistwalker Corporation
Moves Of The Diamond Hand · EA $19.99 105 100% 3.2k $63k (exactly $62,968) Cosmo D Studios
Chronos Builder older $29.99 57 38% 1.7k $51k (exactly $51,283) Mistwall Studio
SOULVARS older $16.99 70 78% 2.1k $36k (exactly $35,679) ginolabo, SUCCESS Corp.
Chaos Chain · EA older $14.99 68 92% 2.0k $31k (exactly $30,580) Corrosive Studios LLC
StarCrawlers Chimera older $19.99 43 69% 1.3k $26k (exactly $25,787) Juggernaut Games
Light Fairytale Episode 2 older $9.99 58 94% 1.7k $17k (exactly $17,383) miyu.works
Eclipse older $2.99 173 68% 5.2k $16k (exactly $15,518) MadRock
G-MODEアーカイブス+ ゼノサーガ パイドパイパー $15.99 23 100% 690 $11k (exactly $11,033) G-MODE, Bandai Namco Entertainment Inc.
Work Life Balance $8.99 33 96% 990 $8.9k (exactly $8,900) LandUni Studio
SaveShe $69.99 1 100% 30 $2.1k (exactly $2,100) shibahuax
NYXverse.AI · EA $1.99 21 61% 630 $1.3k (exactly $1,254) 2033Tech
Void Foundation: Into The Void $4.99 5 80% 150 $748 (exactly $748) #30A6D-S (Kuma)
Cyberstray 202 (Season 2) · EA $4.99 4 25% 120 $599 (exactly $599) NoiseKitty
GRIDFALL $14.99 1 100% 30 $450 (exactly $450) markelphoenix

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.