Do I ship it?

GamesCRPGCRPG + Farming Sim

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Farming Sim CRPG?

CRPG + Farming Sim

Only 9 developers shipped a Farming Sim CRPG in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Halcyon Days at Taoyuan, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 25 more are announced, ×6.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 7 / 10 build.

Only 4 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $1.5k against a market of $1.5k. 25 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 1.0 times the market baseline, revenue up 2265% on the market, 25 announced, ×6.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
CRPG + Farming Sim
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 9
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $3.8k → $120 → $898
Outcomes for CRPG + Farming Sim: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 9
Bottom 30% $599 (exactly $599)
Median $1.5k (exactly $1,497)
Top 25% $44k (exactly $44,461)
Top 5% $392k (exactly $391,713)
Developers, 2 yr 9
Released games 30
Announced 25
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 2265% on the market, supply 20% fewer developers than the period before.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

CRPG
effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
Farming Sim
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
CRPG, Farming Sim
Price point
$6.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $16.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.

The top 10 games average 72% positive over 7,794 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $600, median $1.5k, 1 in 4 over $44k, 1 in 20 over $390k.

3 in 10 developers made under $600. 7 in 10 of the 6 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 25 games are announced against 4 developers who shipped in the last year, ×6.3 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

CRPG with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Martial ArtsFair13 devs · median $26k · 14 announced
  2. + Female ProtagonistFair84 devs · median $2.4k · 95 announced
  3. + TabletopFair22 devs · median $1.9k · 26 announced
  4. + Traditional RoguelikeFair12 devs · median $1.9k · 13 announced
  5. + 2D PlatformerFair62 devs · median $1.2k · 76 announced
  6. + IncrementalLong shot32 devs · median $449 · 27 announced
  7. + FMVPoor odds16 devs · median $58k · 14 announced
  8. + Card BattlerPoor odds15 devs · median $25k · 28 announced
  9. + Grid-Based MovementPoor odds26 devs · median $23k · 46 announced
  10. + SpacePoor odds11 devs · median $22k · 23 announced
  11. + Online Co-OpPoor odds13 devs · median $22k · 23 announced
  12. + Souls-likePoor odds12 devs · median $20k · 24 announced

All 123 pairs on the CRPG page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Immortal Life older $16.99 3,853 79% 116k $2.0M (exactly $1,963,874) YiFang Studio
Sword and Fairy Inn 2 older $19.99 2,013 49% 60k $1.2M (exactly $1,207,196) SOFTSTAR ENTERTAINMENT
Halcyon Days at Taoyuan $11.99 1,089 89% 33k $392k (exactly $391,713) BotanX
Border Town $14.99 253 77% 7.6k $114k (exactly $113,774) GoHoGames
Immortal Farmer: System’s Mandate · EA $4.99 297 68% 8.9k $44k (exactly $44,461) oyogame
The Legend of Pomodoro $6.99 94 82% 2.8k $20k (exactly $19,712) Tony Wang
A Little Shop in Squirrel Town · EA older $12.99 44 81% 1.3k $17k (exactly $17,147) Superluminal Cat
Drug Business older $9.99 42 42% 1.3k $13k (exactly $12,587) Black Flamingo
白马非马 a white horse is not a horse · EA older $9.99 38 73% 1.1k $11k (exactly $11,389) 卧熊工作室
新叶旅者与少年的回忆 older $3.99 71 83% 2.1k $8.5k (exactly $8,499) project bamboo
帝缚山海 · EA $4.99 10 80% 300 $1.5k (exactly $1,497) 赤月抉择
Landmaster · EA $4.99 6 33% 180 $898 (exactly $898) Creative Quark
The Farming Frontier $9.99 2 100% 60 $599 (exactly $599) Cuneyt Aliustaoglu
生计与沉冤 $3.99 3 66% 90 $359 (exactly $359) XGame游戏工作室
Bramblewood $15.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Gilded Octopus

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.