Do I ship it?

GamesCRPGCRPG + Creature Collector

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Creature Collector CRPG?

CRPG + Creature Collector

Only 19 developers shipped a Creature Collector CRPG in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, LumenTale: Memories of Trey, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 20 more are announced, ×3.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 7 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $2.4k, ×1.6 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $120; 1 in 20 cleared $840k, ×566 the market median. Revenue is up 145% on the market; 20 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.6 times the market baseline, revenue up 145% on the market, 20 announced, ×3.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
CRPG + Creature Collector
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 19
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $3.1k → $7.3k → $3.3k
Outcomes for CRPG + Creature Collector: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 19
Bottom 30% $120 (exactly $120)
Median $2.4k (exactly $2,399)
Top 25% $12k (exactly $11,696)
Top 5% $847k (exactly $847,161)
Developers, 2 yr 19
Released games 50
Announced 20
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $11.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 145% on the market, supply 55% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 22%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

CRPG
effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
Creature Collector
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
CRPG, Creature Collector; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry RPG, Open World, Action-Adventure
Price point
$11.99 typical · top 25% priced $24.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $11.99.

The top 10 games average 79% positive over 2,713 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $120, median $2.4k, 1 in 4 over $11k, 1 in 20 over $840k.

3 in 10 developers made under $120. 9 in 10 of the 16 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 20 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.3 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

CRPG with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Martial ArtsFair13 devs · median $26k · 14 announced
  2. + Female ProtagonistFair84 devs · median $2.4k · 95 announced
  3. + TabletopFair22 devs · median $1.9k · 26 announced
  4. + Traditional RoguelikeFair12 devs · median $1.9k · 13 announced
  5. + 2D PlatformerFair62 devs · median $1.2k · 76 announced
  6. + IncrementalLong shot32 devs · median $449 · 27 announced
  7. + FMVPoor odds16 devs · median $58k · 14 announced
  8. + Card BattlerPoor odds15 devs · median $25k · 28 announced
  9. + Grid-Based MovementPoor odds26 devs · median $23k · 46 announced
  10. + SpacePoor odds11 devs · median $22k · 23 announced
  11. + Online Co-OpPoor odds13 devs · median $22k · 23 announced
  12. + Souls-likePoor odds12 devs · median $20k · 24 announced

All 123 pairs on the CRPG page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
LumenTale: Memories of Trey $24.99 1,130 70% 34k $847k (exactly $847,161) Beehive Studios
Halcyon Days at Taoyuan $11.99 1,089 89% 33k $392k (exactly $391,713) BotanX
Geneforge 1 - Mutagen older $19.99 355 93% 11k $213k (exactly $212,893) Spiderweb Software
Geneforge 1 older $19.99 324 91% 9.7k $194k (exactly $194,303) Spiderweb Software
Start an egg · EA older $15.99 332 77% 10k $159k (exactly $159,260) Ting Game
Border Town $14.99 253 77% 7.6k $114k (exactly $113,774) GoHoGames
Geneforge 5: Overthrow older $19.99 100 95% 3.0k $60k (exactly $59,970) Spiderweb Software
XiuzhenWorld2 $12.99 134 67% 4.0k $52k (exactly $52,220) Noforgetit
Geneforge 2 older $19.99 73 89% 2.2k $44k (exactly $43,778) Spiderweb Software
Geneforge 3 older $19.99 48 87% 1.4k $29k (exactly $28,786) Spiderweb Software
WarOfGods 2 $29.99 13 76% 390 $12k (exactly $11,696) Mensa World
Gloamvault $9.99 36 91% 1.1k $11k (exactly $10,789) Grave Hammer Games
Sauna of the DEAD $6.99 35 97% 1.1k $7.3k (exactly $7,340) Finger tip
MonGirl Conquest · EA $19.99 8 75% 240 $4.8k (exactly $4,798) Yeehaw Games
Drowning Ashes · EA $9.99 11 100% 330 $3.3k (exactly $3,297) Elston Studios
Throne Requiem $19.99 4 25% 120 $2.4k (exactly $2,399) Michael Richard Lannon

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.