Do I ship it?

GamesTurn-Based TacticsTurn-Based Tactics + Crime

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Crime Turn-Based Tactics?

Turn-Based Tactics + Crime

Only 17 developers shipped a Crime Turn-Based Tactics in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Rina's Undercover Train Operation, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 29 more are announced, ×2.6 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.4k, ×2.3 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $360; 1 in 20 cleared $120k, ×191 the market median. Revenue is up 315% on the market; 29 games are announced against 11 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 2.3 times the market baseline, revenue up 315% on the market, 29 announced, ×2.6 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Turn-Based Tactics + Crime
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 17
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $80k → $1.4k → $3.8k → $180 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Turn-Based Tactics + Crime: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 17
Bottom 30% $359 (exactly $359)
Median $1.4k (exactly $1,435)
Top 25% $3.8k (exactly $3,775)
Top 5% $120k (exactly $120,034)
Developers, 2 yr 17
Released games 53
Announced 29
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $3.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 315% on the market, supply 85% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 19%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Turn-Based Tactics
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Crime
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Turn-Based Tactics; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Turn-Based Strategy, RPG, Roguelike
Price point
$3.99 typical · top 25% priced $13.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Pixel Graphics
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $13.99 or above; the middle game at $3.99.

The top 10 games average 81% positive over 758 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $360, median $1.4k, 1 in 4 over $3.7k, 1 in 20 over $120k.

3 in 10 developers made under $360. 9 in 10 of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 29 games are announced against 11 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.6 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Turn-Based Tactics with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + TanksFair24 devs · median $3.0k · 24 announced
  2. + AutomationFair28 devs · median $2.9k · 36 announced
  3. + ProgrammingFair14 devs · median $2.4k · 16 announced
  4. + DiceFair47 devs · median $1.6k · 53 announced
  5. + MiningFair10 devs · median $1.5k · 8 announced
  6. + Time ManagementFair65 devs · median $1.4k · 69 announced
  7. + IdlerFair47 devs · median $1.3k · 48 announced
  8. + Psychological HorrorFair55 devs · median $1.0k · 56 announced
  9. + Traditional RoguelikeFair78 devs · median $629 · 95 announced
  10. + PsychologicalFair34 devs · median $629 · 40 announced
  11. + PuzzleFair263 devs · median $598 · 308 announced
  12. + PlatformerLong shot15 devs · median $360 · 18 announced

All 189 pairs on the Turn-Based Tactics page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Empire of Sin older $39.99 4,544 49% 136k $5.5M (exactly $5,451,437) Romero Games
This Is the Police 2 older $14.99 5,330 77% 160k $2.4M (exactly $2,396,901) Weappy Studio
Omerta - City of Gangsters older $14.99 1,597 67% 48k $718k (exactly $718,171) Haemimont Games
Rebel Cops older $9.99 1,564 76% 47k $469k (exactly $468,731) Weappy Studio
Police Shootout older $14.99 449 55% 13k $202k (exactly $201,915) Games Incubator, Hypnotic Ants
Mohism: Battle of Words older $9.99 570 76% 17k $171k (exactly $170,829) 玄镜工作室
This Is the President older $14.99 359 67% 11k $161k (exactly $161,442) SuperPAC
The DeLuca Family - Season 1 older $15.99 301 75% 9.0k $144k (exactly $144,390) MemoGaming
Vigilantes older $14.99 276 80% 8.3k $124k (exactly $124,117) Timeslip Softworks
Rina's Undercover Train Operation $13.99 286 70% 8.6k $120k (exactly $120,034) Metamorphose
The Fable: Manga Build Roguelike $9.99 240 91% 7.2k $72k (exactly $71,928) MONO ENTERTAINMENT
Liar Game $2.99 109 82% 3.3k $9.8k (exactly $9,777) Kark Project
Paracom $10.99 21 90% 630 $6.9k (exactly $6,924) Steel Widow Klan
Roulette Heist $6.99 18 94% 540 $3.8k (exactly $3,775) DreamArk Lab
Seven Sinners $7.99 14 85% 420 $3.4k (exactly $3,356) BillysBones, Grable Team
Blackjack Roulette $2.99 30 83% 900 $2.7k (exactly $2,691) DreamArk Lab
Bratki $5.99 11 72% 330 $2.0k (exactly $1,977) VZLab
Дейтсим Говна $2.99 16 100% 480 $1.4k (exactly $1,435) Traxmaster Productions
Convict Team Tactics $2.99 13 92% 390 $1.2k (exactly $1,166) Asocial Guarantee

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.