Do I ship it?

GamesCookingCooking + Roguelite

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Cooking Roguelite?

Cooking + Roguelite

Of 45 developers who shipped a Cooking Roguelite in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 118 more are announced, ×4.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 3 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $3.8k, ×8.1 the market's $480 for a 3 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $450; 1 in 20 cleared $680k, ×1442 the market median. Revenue is up 1690% on the market; 118 games are announced against 28 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 8.1 times the market baseline, revenue up 1690% on the market, 118 announced, ×4.2 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Cooking + Roguelite
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 45
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.2k → $140k → $27k → $1.1k → $3.8k → $31k (still earning) → $24k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Cooking + Roguelite: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 45
Bottom 30% $449 (exactly $449)
Median $3.8k (exactly $3,835)
Top 25% $45k (exactly $45,303)
Top 5% $685k (exactly $684,893)
Developers, 2 yr 45
Released games 68
Announced 118
Effort 3 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 1690% on the market, supply 65% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 3%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Cooking
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Roguelite
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
Systems
Cooking, Roguelite; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Strategy, Roguelike, Deckbuilding
Price point
$7.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.90 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Pixel Graphics, Cute
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.90 or above; the middle game at $7.99.

The top 10 games average 88% positive over 15,719 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $450, median $3.8k, 1 in 4 over $45k, 1 in 20 over $680k.

3 in 10 developers made under $450. 8 in 10 of the 18 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 118 games are announced against 28 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.2 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Cooking with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Job SimulatorFair54 devs · median $14k · 68 announced
  2. + DogsFair12 devs · median $8.1k · 12 announced
  3. + Turn-Based CombatFair15 devs · median $6.0k · 22 announced
  4. + Point & ClickFair68 devs · median $1.8k · 79 announced
  5. + LogicFair27 devs · median $1.6k · 26 announced
  6. + Score AttackFair28 devs · median $1.4k · 30 announced
  7. + Hidden ObjectFair25 devs · median $1.0k · 20 announced
  8. + PuzzleFair77 devs · median $958 · 92 announced
  9. + Artificial IntelligencePoor odds15 devs · median $73k · 10 announced
  10. + JRPGPoor odds13 devs · median $34k · 25 announced
  11. + LGBTQ+Poor odds16 devs · median $30k · 32 announced
  12. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds12 devs · median $26k · 23 announced

All 95 pairs on the Cooking page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
PlateUp! older $19.99 18,500 94% 555k $11M (exactly $11,094,450) It's happening
SULFUR · EA $24.99 9,641 87% 289k $7.2M (exactly $7,227,858) Perfect Random
Feed the Cups · EA older $15.99 4,708 72% 141k $2.3M (exactly $2,258,428) Vambear Games
Cuisineer older $24.99 1,820 76% 55k $1.4M (exactly $1,364,454) BattleBrew Productions
Restaurats $19.90 1,640 89% 49k $979k (exactly $979,080) toR Studio
Omelet You Cook $14.99 1,523 97% 46k $685k (exactly $684,893) Dan Schumacher, Hjalte Tagmose
Coffee Caravan older $11.99 1,400 92% 42k $504k (exactly $503,580) Broccoli Games
Pizza Possum older $6.99 1,800 93% 54k $377k (exactly $377,460) Friedemann, Noio Games
Beastro $19.99 598 92% 18k $359k (exactly $358,621) Timberline Studio
Kinny and the Cosmic Cauldron $12.99 563 85% 17k $219k (exactly $219,401) Kinnymoms
Big Winner $12.99 550 82% 17k $214k (exactly $214,335) iFAction Studio
Feed the Scorchpot $14.99 371 87% 11k $167k (exactly $166,839) Moravian
Hungry Horrors · EA $14.99 209 98% 6.3k $94k (exactly $93,987) Clumsy Bear Studio
Feastopia $13.99 211 77% 6.3k $89k (exactly $88,557) White Star Studio
Skewer Squad $5.49 413 88% 12k $68k (exactly $68,021) Fake Owls

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.