Do I ship it?

GamesProcedural GenerationProcedural Generation + Cooking

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Procedural Generation Cooking game?

Procedural Generation + Cooking

Only 9 developers shipped a Procedural Generation Cooking game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Call of Boba, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 58 more are announced, ×15 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 4 / 10 build.

Only 4 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $3.0k against a market of $480. 58 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 6.3 times the market baseline, revenue down 70% on the market, 58 announced, ×15 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Procedural Generation + Cooking
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 9
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $629 → $2.0k → $18k
Outcomes for Procedural Generation + Cooking: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 9
Bottom 30% $1.2k (exactly $1,212)
Median $3.0k (exactly $2,997)
Top 25% $18k (exactly $18,350)
Top 5% $49k (exactly $48,712)
Developers, 2 yr 9
Released games 27
Announced 58
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 70% on the market, supply 20% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 4%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Procedural Generation
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Cooking
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Procedural Generation, Cooking
Price point
$4.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 89% positive over 26,383 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $1.3k, median $3.0k, 1 in 4 over $18k, 1 in 20 over $48k.

3 in 10 developers made under $1.3k. 8 in 10 of the 6 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 58 games are announced against 4 developers who shipped in the last year, ×15 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Procedural Generation with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + SnowFair11 devs · median $3.0k · 16 announced
  2. + Traditional RoguelikeFair71 devs · median $2.0k · 93 announced
  3. + DetectiveFair29 devs · median $1.5k · 30 announced
  4. + Word GameFair22 devs · median $1.3k · 23 announced
  5. + TypingFair26 devs · median $1.1k · 11 announced
  6. + IdlerFair98 devs · median $807 · 107 announced
  7. + LogicFair137 devs · median $478 · 149 announced
  8. + Walking SimulatorFair57 devs · median $449 · 62 announced
  9. + Precision PlatformerFair49 devs · median $449 · 42 announced
  10. + Hidden ObjectFair58 devs · median $418 · 56 announced
  11. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds31 devs · median $77k · 95 announced
  12. + TrainsPoor odds22 devs · median $30k · 35 announced

All 222 pairs on the Procedural Generation page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
PlateUp! older $19.99 18,500 94% 555k $11M (exactly $11,094,450) It's happening
One Hour One Life older $14.99 3,988 79% 120k $1.8M (exactly $1,793,404) Jason Rohrer
Cuisineer older $24.99 1,820 76% 55k $1.4M (exactly $1,364,454) BattleBrew Productions
Recipe for Disaster older $14.99 591 69% 18k $266k (exactly $265,773) Dapper Penguin Studios
Spacelines from the Far Out older $14.99 457 75% 14k $206k (exactly $205,513) Coffeenauts
Badiya: Desert Survival · EA older $19.99 284 50% 8.5k $170k (exactly $170,315) Semaphore
Call of Boba · EA $12.99 125 67% 3.8k $49k (exactly $48,712) Tomatoast, Tomatoast
Vagabond · EA older $14.99 94 76% 2.8k $42k (exactly $42,272) Pierre Vigier
Another Farm Roguelike older $2.99 449 81% 13k $40k (exactly $40,275) Zabbo Games
Node Farm $11.99 75 81% 2.3k $27k (exactly $26,978) ByerN
Tales from The Dancing Moon $17.99 34 88% 1.0k $18k (exactly $18,350) DjMonkey
Sigma World Online $4.99 37 70% 1.1k $5.5k (exactly $5,539) Crematorium of Time
By My Side $9.99 10 70% 300 $3.0k (exactly $2,997) OverLKD Studio
Staying Fresh · EA $3.99 17 100% 510 $2.0k (exactly $2,035) Rubel Games
Tower o-ven $4.49 9 100% 270 $1.2k (exactly $1,212) Dessert Seed Studio
Crazy Roads · EA $4.99 6 100% 180 $898 (exactly $898) ShuffleGames
Let Him Bake $2.99 5 100% 150 $449 (exactly $449) CHRISTO2K

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.