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Should I ship a Procedural Generation Cooking game?
Procedural Generation + Cooking
Only 9 developers shipped a Procedural Generation Cooking game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Call of Boba, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 58 more are announced, ×15 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: dead, for a 4 / 10 build.
Only 4 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $3.0k against a market of $480. 58 games are announced.
| Bottom 30% | $1.2k (exactly $1,212) |
|---|---|
| Median | $3.0k (exactly $2,997) |
| Top 25% | $18k (exactly $18,350) |
| Top 5% | $49k (exactly $48,712) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 9 |
| Released games | 27 |
| Announced | 58 |
| Effort | 4 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $4.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 70% on the market, supply 20% fewer developers than the period before.
Free games: 4%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Procedural Generation
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
- Cooking
- effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
What it takes
- Effort
- 4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
- Systems
- Procedural Generation, Cooking
- Price point
- $4.99 typical
Why players buy here
Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.
The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.
The top 10 games average 89% positive over 26,383 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $1.3k. 8 in 10 of the 6 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 58 games are announced against 4 developers who shipped in the last year, ×15 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Procedural Generation with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + SnowFair
- + Traditional RoguelikeFair
- + DetectiveFair
- + Word GameFair
- + TypingFair
- + IdlerFair
- + LogicFair
- + Walking SimulatorFair
- + Precision PlatformerFair
- + Hidden ObjectFair
- + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds
- + TrainsPoor odds
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | PlateUp! | older | $19.99 | 18,500 94% | 555k | $11M (exactly $11,094,450) | It's happening |
| | One Hour One Life | older | $14.99 | 3,988 79% | 120k | $1.8M (exactly $1,793,404) | Jason Rohrer |
| | Cuisineer | older | $24.99 | 1,820 76% | 55k | $1.4M (exactly $1,364,454) | BattleBrew Productions |
| | Recipe for Disaster | older | $14.99 | 591 69% | 18k | $266k (exactly $265,773) | Dapper Penguin Studios |
| | Spacelines from the Far Out | older | $14.99 | 457 75% | 14k | $206k (exactly $205,513) | Coffeenauts |
| | Badiya: Desert Survival | · EA older | $19.99 | 284 50% | 8.5k | $170k (exactly $170,315) | Semaphore |
| | Call of Boba | · EA | $12.99 | 125 67% | 3.8k | $49k (exactly $48,712) | Tomatoast, Tomatoast |
| | Vagabond | · EA older | $14.99 | 94 76% | 2.8k | $42k (exactly $42,272) | Pierre Vigier |
| | Another Farm Roguelike | older | $2.99 | 449 81% | 13k | $40k (exactly $40,275) | Zabbo Games |
| | Node Farm | $11.99 | 75 81% | 2.3k | $27k (exactly $26,978) | ByerN | |
| | Tales from The Dancing Moon | $17.99 | 34 88% | 1.0k | $18k (exactly $18,350) | DjMonkey | |
| | Sigma World Online | $4.99 | 37 70% | 1.1k | $5.5k (exactly $5,539) | Crematorium of Time | |
| | By My Side | $9.99 | 10 70% | 300 | $3.0k (exactly $2,997) | OverLKD Studio | |
| | Staying Fresh | · EA | $3.99 | 17 100% | 510 | $2.0k (exactly $2,035) | Rubel Games |
| | Tower o-ven | $4.49 | 9 100% | 270 | $1.2k (exactly $1,212) | Dessert Seed Studio | |
| | Crazy Roads | · EA | $4.99 | 6 100% | 180 | $898 (exactly $898) | ShuffleGames |
| | Let Him Bake | $2.99 | 5 100% | 150 | $449 (exactly $449) | CHRISTO2K |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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