Do I ship it?

GamesCookingCooking + Modern

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Modern-Day Cooking game?

Cooking + Modern

Of 23 developers who shipped a Modern-Day Cooking game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 34 more are announced, ×2.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $3.0k, ×6.3 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $540; 1 in 20 cleared $150k, ×335 the market median. Revenue is down 10% on the market; 34 games are announced against 14 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 6.3 times the market baseline, revenue down 10% on the market, 34 announced, ×2.4 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Cooking + Modern
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 23
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $33k → $147k → $1.8k → $3.0k → $313 → $16k → $1.3k (still earning) → $300 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Cooking + Modern: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 23
Bottom 30% $539 (exactly $539)
Median $3.0k (exactly $2,985)
Top 25% $54k (exactly $53,514)
Top 5% $159k (exactly $158,920)
Developers, 2 yr 23
Released games 49
Announced 34
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 10% on the market, supply 55% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 2%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Cooking
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Modern
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Cooking; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Immersive Sim, Life Sim, Simulation
Price point
$6.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
8 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, First-Person, Realistic
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.

The top 10 games average 78% positive over 2,896 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $540, median $3.0k, 1 in 4 over $53k, 1 in 20 over $150k.

3 in 10 developers made under $540. 6 in 10 of the 10 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 34 games are announced against 14 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.4 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Cooking with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Job SimulatorFair54 devs · median $14k · 68 announced
  2. + DogsFair12 devs · median $8.1k · 12 announced
  3. + Turn-Based CombatFair15 devs · median $6.0k · 22 announced
  4. + Point & ClickFair68 devs · median $1.8k · 79 announced
  5. + LogicFair27 devs · median $1.6k · 26 announced
  6. + Score AttackFair28 devs · median $1.4k · 30 announced
  7. + Hidden ObjectFair25 devs · median $1.0k · 20 announced
  8. + PuzzleFair77 devs · median $958 · 92 announced
  9. + Artificial IntelligencePoor odds15 devs · median $73k · 10 announced
  10. + JRPGPoor odds13 devs · median $34k · 25 announced
  11. + LGBTQ+Poor odds16 devs · median $30k · 32 announced
  12. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds12 devs · median $26k · 23 announced

All 95 pairs on the Cooking page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Brewpub Simulator older $17.99 521 56% 16k $281k (exactly $281,184) Star Drifters
Gaming Cafe Simulator $13.99 385 83% 12k $162k (exactly $161,584) Prapancha Studios
Rancher: A new life · EA $19.99 265 64% 8.0k $159k (exactly $158,920) Sim Farm S.A.
Cafemart Simulator · EA $7.99 616 72% 18k $148k (exactly $147,655) Science Interactive
Cafe Master Story older $12.99 378 96% 11k $147k (exactly $147,307) Kairosoft Co.,Ltd
Sandwich Simulator $4.99 901 77% 27k $135k (exactly $134,880) FiftyEight Studios
Onigiri Shop Simulator $8.99 431 96% 13k $116k (exactly $116,241) Yagni Lab
Bartender VR Simulator older $19.99 168 56% 5.0k $101k (exactly $100,750) VR Factory Games Sp. z o.o.
Burger Bistro Story older $8.99 319 81% 9.6k $86k (exactly $86,034) Kairosoft Co.,Ltd
Bonjour, Cream Inside 💦 $14.99 119 68% 3.6k $54k (exactly $53,514) Juicy Peach Games 🍑
Barman Simulator $9.99 52 65% 1.6k $16k (exactly $15,584) VirtualMind
Tasty Bite: Food dating simulator $6.99 63 95% 1.9k $13k (exactly $13,211) DuckMemeticsGames
Kimbap Heaven Simulator · EA $14.99 28 85% 840 $13k (exactly $12,592) Joyful Jo
Lost Abroad Café: A Language Learning Management Sim $4.99 36 66% 1.1k $5.4k (exactly $5,389) Lost Abroad

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.