Do I ship it?

GamesCookingCooking + Medieval

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Medieval Cooking game?

Cooking + Medieval

Of 29 developers who shipped a Medieval Cooking game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 77 more are announced, ×3.7 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $5.1k, ×11 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $960; 1 in 20 cleared $740k, ×1576 the market median. Revenue is down 30% on the market; 77 games are announced against 21 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 10.7 times the market baseline, revenue down 30% on the market, 77 announced, ×3.7 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Cooking + Medieval
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 29
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $839 → $5.1k → $3.9k → $4.6k → $22k → $7.0k → $5.1k (still earning) → $9.6k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Cooking + Medieval: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 29
Bottom 30% $959 (exactly $959)
Median $5.1k (exactly $5,090)
Top 25% $22k (exactly $22,213)
Top 5% $749k (exactly $748,760)
Developers, 2 yr 29
Released games 63
Announced 77
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $10.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 30% on the market, supply 165% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 10%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Cooking
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Medieval
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Cooking; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Crafting, Building, Life Sim
Price point
$10.99 typical · top 25% priced $24.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Atmospheric, Relaxing
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $10.99.

The top 10 games average 56% positive over 15,023 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $960, median $5.1k, 1 in 4 over $22k, 1 in 20 over $740k.

3 in 10 developers made under $960. 6 in 10 of the 11 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 77 games are announced against 21 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.7 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Cooking with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Job SimulatorFair54 devs · median $14k · 68 announced
  2. + DogsFair12 devs · median $8.1k · 12 announced
  3. + Turn-Based CombatFair15 devs · median $6.0k · 22 announced
  4. + Point & ClickFair68 devs · median $1.8k · 79 announced
  5. + LogicFair27 devs · median $1.6k · 26 announced
  6. + Score AttackFair28 devs · median $1.4k · 30 announced
  7. + Hidden ObjectFair25 devs · median $1.0k · 20 announced
  8. + PuzzleFair77 devs · median $958 · 92 announced
  9. + Artificial IntelligencePoor odds15 devs · median $73k · 10 announced
  10. + JRPGPoor odds13 devs · median $34k · 25 announced
  11. + LGBTQ+Poor odds16 devs · median $30k · 32 announced
  12. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds12 devs · median $26k · 23 announced

All 95 pairs on the Cooking page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Black Desert older $9.99 63,052 75% 1.9M $19M (exactly $18,896,684) Pearl Abyss
The Hungry Lamb: Traveling in the Late Ming Dynasty older $9.99 49,765 94% 1.5M $15M (exactly $14,914,570) 零创游戏(ZerocreationGame)
The Quinfall $9.99 12,073 50% 362k $3.6M (exactly $3,618,278) Vawraek Technology Inc.
Tavern Manager Simulator 🍻 older $14.99 4,018 91% 121k $1.8M (exactly $1,806,895) One More Time
Card Survival: Fantasy Forest · EA $21.99 1,135 76% 34k $749k (exactly $748,760) WinterSpring Games
Inn Tycoon $11.99 727 76% 22k $262k (exactly $261,502) Evil Goose Games
DYSPLACED · EA $24.99 296 87% 8.9k $222k (exactly $221,911) 10tons Ltd
Korea Dynasty (조선메타실록) · EA older $23.99 267 72% 8.0k $192k (exactly $192,160) Happy Daram Inc.
Feed the Scorchpot $14.99 371 87% 11k $167k (exactly $166,839) Moravian
Tavern Legends $24.99 160 91% 4.8k $120k (exactly $119,952) CROWFORGE Games
Alchemist Shop Simulator $11.99 111 75% 3.3k $40k (exactly $39,927) Kool2Play
Potion Shop Simulator $12.99 57 77% 1.7k $22k (exactly $22,213) Pebbles Games, Bird Pals SIA
Medieval StartUp · EA $10.99 55 98% 1.7k $18k (exactly $18,134) Editions Aspic Games
Medieval Juice Crafter $11.99 38 81% 1.1k $14k (exactly $13,669) Timeless Rush

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.